Overthrowing Iran Brings Middle East Peace
False Assumption: US military intervention with Israel will overthrow Iran's regime, avenge 1979, and lead to regional stability.
Written by FARAgent on February 10, 2026
The US invaded Iraq in 2003 expecting quick success and stability. It failed badly. Two decades later, Israel fights Iran's allies and starts direct conflict while holding the advantage. Israel now takes hits in return.
Israel's fans demand US intervention to overthrow Iran. They promise vengeance for 1979 and a happy Middle East afterward. Trump hints at joining, alarming observers.
Growing recognition holds that Middle East regime change wars fail. Iraq proved the point. Critics see no reason Iran differs.
People Involved
- In late 2024, Donald Trump, as US President-elect, hinted at the possibility of America abruptly joining a war on Israel's side against Iran. This statement alarmed observers, who expressed hope that it amounted to mere posturing rather than serious intent. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (1)
“Trump’s latest hints about America suddenly going to war on Israel’s side against Iran are alarming.”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
Organizations Involved
Israel initiated the ongoing conflict with Iran at a time when it held a clear advantage over Iran's allies. As the fighting progressed, Israel absorbed significant setbacks and began pressing for US assistance to turn the tide. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (1)
“Israel started the current war with Iran because it held the upper hand.”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
The Foundation
Advocates of the assumption maintained that a joint effort by Israel and America could topple Iran's regime, exact revenge for the 1979 hostage crisis, and usher in lasting peace across the Middle East. They drew parallels to the Iraq invasion, yet overlooked the heightened risks posed by Iran's population, which is twice that of Iraq. Growing evidence suggests this view increasingly appears flawed, as proponents equated the feasibility of regime change in Iran with the Iraq case despite the evident disparities. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (2)
“They hold out the carrot that Israel and America could together overthrow the Iran regime, giving American vengeance for 1979. And then everybody in the Middle East would live happily ever after.”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
“Iran has twice the population of Iraq (90 million to 45 million).”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
How It Spread
Following Israel's setbacks in the conflict with Iran, supporters of Israel amplified calls for US military intervention. These appeals gained traction among certain circles, echoing earlier narratives about regime change in the region. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (1)
“its fans are getting worked up and demanding U.S. intervene on Israel’s side”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
Harm Caused
The 2003 invasion of Iraq, though on a smaller scale than any potential action against Iran, resulted in a substantial failure for the United States. Increasingly recognized as flawed, the assumption of easy regime change contributed to prolonged instability and heavy costs in lives and resources. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (1)
“We went to war against Iraq in 2003. How’d that work out for us? Not so hot, right? Iran has twice the population of Iraq (90 million to 45 million).”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
Downfall
The poor outcome of the Iraq war began to expose the flaws in assumptions about regime change through military intervention. Growing evidence from that conflict suggests such strategies often lead to greater chaos rather than stability, though the debate over their viability in cases like Iran remains unsettled. [1]
▶ Supporting Quotes (1)
“We went to war against Iraq in 2003. How’d that work out for us? Not so hot, right?”— Let's Not Go to War with Iran
Sources
- [1]