False Assumption Registry

Benefits of Mass Migration Outweigh Costs


False Assumption: Immigration is inherently and reliably economically positive regardless of scale, composition, or management.

Summaries Written by FARAgent (AI) on February 09, 2026 · Pending Verification

In Britain, hundreds of girls were sexually abused over years in towns such as Rotherham, Rochdale, and Telford while authorities were accused of looking away; official reports later described fear of being called racist as one reason warnings were missed. Across Europe, the 2015 migrant surge was followed by high profile crimes, including the Cologne New Year's Eve assaults, and by repeated arguments over policing, integration, and public order. The broader assumption behind much elite rhetoric was simpler and cleaner: immigration is good, diversity is strength, and more people mean more growth, more dynamism, more taxpayers. That view took hold from the late twentieth century onward because standard economics stressed gains from trade, larger labor markets, entrepreneurship, and relief for aging societies, and because many studies found immigrants had low crime rates overall and positive effects on output.

For years, that case was reinforced by business groups, mainstream economists, and institutions such as Brookings, Cato, the IMF, and Federal Reserve researchers, who pointed to higher GDP, labor force growth, innovation, and the long American record of immigrant assimilation. Studies in the United States often found immigrants, including undocumented immigrants, were no more crime-prone, and sometimes less so, than natives; other work argued immigration helped offset demographic decline and labor shortages. The challenge has come less from one dramatic refutation than from accumulation: fiscal studies finding low-skill immigration can impose net costs in generous welfare states, evidence that wage effects are not evenly distributed, research suggesting social trust can weaken in more fragmented settings, and crime data in some European countries showing disproportionate offending by particular migrant cohorts, especially young men from poorly integrated backgrounds. Critics also argue that scale, selection, and state capacity matter, that importing workers is not the same as importing interchangeable units of labor, and that some political systems suppressed discussion of these tradeoffs until scandals forced the issue.

The current debate is not whether immigration can produce economic gains, but whether those gains are inherent and reliable regardless of numbers, origins, and institutions. A substantial body of experts now rejects that blanket claim and treats immigration as highly conditional, with outcomes varying by skill mix, cultural distance, labor market structure, and welfare design. Yet many economists and policy analysts still defend the older broad proposition in qualified form, arguing that most negative findings are local, short run, or the result of bad management rather than immigration itself. So the assumption survives, but in a narrower and more argued-over shape than when "immigration is good" passed for a complete sentence.

Status: A significant portion of experts think this assumption was false
  • Noah Smith built a reputation as one of the more level-headed economic commentators of the 2010s and 2020s yet repeatedly framed the immigration question in the bluntest terms. He declared that immigration is good and treated the proposition as self-evident without reference to differences in skills, origins or scale. His statements carried weight among educated readers who saw him as a careful synthesizer of data. The result was reinforcement of the idea that any serious economist had already settled the matter in favor of more inflows. [1]
  • Scott Sumner spent years as a perceptive voice in monetary economics and market monetarism. He advanced the assumption by stating simply that he favored immigration, implying reliable net benefits across all groups and scales. The declaration came from a proponent regarded as acting in good faith. It helped lock the view into place among those who followed his blog and podcast appearances. [1]
  • Thomas Sowell had warned for decades that simplistic economic analysis ignored trade-offs and cultural realities. As an early critic he pointed out that treating people as interchangeable units left out too many variables that mattered to ordinary citizens. His books and columns stood as a persistent counterpoint yet gained little traction inside the mainstream policy conversation of the 2000s and 2010s. [2]
  • Giovanni Peri served as professor of economics and director of the Global Migration Center at the University of California, Davis. He argued that immigration could solve the demographic dilemma facing aging Northern economies by stabilizing populations, expanding the labor force and delivering fiscal gains. His papers and IMF contributions became standard references for policymakers who wanted academic cover for higher targets. [17]
  • Justin Trudeau became Prime Minister of Canada in 2015 and promptly doubled annual immigration intakes. After the pandemic he pushed the figure above one million per year in a country of roughly forty million people. The policy reflected confidence that selective inflows would deliver clear economic advantages. Subsequent data on per-capita GDP, housing costs and productivity raised questions about the original calculations. [8]
Supporting Quotes (194)
“as sensible an economic commentator as Noah Smith thinks it fine to say “immigration is good””— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“as perceptive an economist as Scott Sumner thinks he has said something sensible when he says “I favor immigration”.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Conversely, Australia crushed its local problem by the simple expedient of enforcing its laws. See Louise Perry’s excellent discussion below.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“It is magical thinking that falls foul of economist Thomas Sowell’s dictum that there are no solutions, only trade-offs.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The GLOBE study found that societal culture had a far greater impact on leadership, management, and organizational behavior than market forces and industry effects (i.e., industry-wide practices across societies).”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“Economist Arnold Kling is correct: economics should be the study of human interdependence”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“economic historian Robert Fogel published in 1989 a study (Without Consent or Contract)—republished in 1994, after he won the Nobel memorial—that explained in detail how mass migration, resulting from the development of steamships and railways, fractured the American Republic along its then fault-line of slavery.”— The failure of economists...
“after taking office in 2015, Trudeau doubled this already high level to the extreme level of half a million per year. Then after COVID, Trudeau more than doubled Canadian immigration again, to 1.25 million per year”— The Canadian Question
“This approach has been explicitly endorsed by multiple pro-immigration intellectuals, such as Tyler Cowen, Alec Stapp, Noah Smith, and Matthew Yglesias”— The Canadian Question
“As for Nowrasteh, when I asked him whether he believes that low-skilled immigration into Europe from Muslim countries has been or will be good for the economy, he replied, “Yes”.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“And Matt Darling of the Niskanen Center called it “perhaps, the worst economic reasoning” he had ever seen (in a tweet that got nearly 5,000 likes).”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Anthropologist Greg Cochran made this point in a characteristically funny blog post from 2017, which I will quote in its entirety: [full quote follows]”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Richard Hanania recently posted the following on Twitter: Why are Japanese manual laborers and low wage workers so competent? As Bryan Caplan points out, they’re massively overqualified! The lack of immigration means natives work worse jobs.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“As Bryan Caplan points out, they’re massively overqualified! The lack of immigration means natives work worse jobs.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“A better way of phrasing it would have been, “If they’re less skilled, they’ll be bad for the economy.” Or simply, “If they’re less intelligent, they’ll be bad for the economy”.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Anthropologist Greg Cochran made this point in a characteristically funny blog post from 2017, which I will quote in its entirety: [full quote follows]”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The Cambodian donut empire got its start with refugee Ted Ngoy, who first learned the trade thanks to an affirmative action program”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“The Patel motel cartel got its start with an illegal immigrant, Kanjibhai Desai, in the 1940s.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
““In Indian culture, if it’s a friend of your father you still call him uncle,” Shah said. “You are family through respect because your parents are friends; everybody’s family. That makes a big difference on a daily basis in business. “We all help each other,” said Shah”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“Elon Musk is the highest-profile member of the tech-right.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“I would identify Peter Thiel, Marc Andreessen, Vivek Ramaswamy, David Sacks, Mike Solana, and even heterodox right-leaning intellectuals like Crémieux and Samuel Hammond as members as well.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Trump himself has endorsed giving green cards to all foreign students.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Distinguished scholar Lawrence Mead was publicly skewered in 2020 for suggesting (in a now retracted article) that immigrants from the developing world struggle to achieve parity with native-born Americans because they lack the individualistic culture of earlier immigrants from Europe.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“Giovanni Peri is professor of economics and director of the Global Migration Center at the University of California, Davis.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“"America is not having enough babies to keep our populations up, so we need immigrants that have been vetted to do work," Clinton said Sunday at a campaign event for Vice President Kamala Harris in Fort Valley, Georgia.”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“"We got the lowest birth rate we've had in well over 100 years. We're not at replacement level, which means we got to have somebody come here if we want to keep growing the economy."”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York, who in 2022 argued that migrants are essential to filling the workforce gaps left by declining birth rates. Schumer said that "the only way we're going to have a great future in America is if we welcome and embrace immigrants."”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“If European countries let them in, young immigrants would increase the ratio of working to retired people and hence the sustainability of the pension systems.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“In the coming decades, for geographical and historical proximity to Africa, immigration pressures are likely to be higher in Europe than in North America.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“Authors Evgeniya Duzhak Addie New-Schmidt”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“As a whole, immigrants are a net benefit to the U.S. economy, but based largely on immigrants’ education levels, the fiscal cost is disproportionately paid by certain state and local areas.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Together with co-author Tara Watson, Edelberg proposes a way to redirect some of the federal gains to these communities, piggy-backing on existing programs.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Most economists I know are enthusiastic about immigration and it’s an important part of globalization... positive effects on the growth and the dynamism of the economy.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“My guest today is Wendy Edelberg, a senior fellow at Brookings and director of The Hamilton Project.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Together with co-author Tara Watson, Edelberg proposes a way to redirect some of the federal gains”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“My name is David Bier. I am the Associate Director of Immigration Studies at the Cato Institute, a nonpartisan public policy research organization in Washington, D.C. For nearly half a century, the Cato Institute has produced original immigration research showing that a freer, more orderly, and more lawful immigration system benefits Americans.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“In The Immigrant Superpower, Tim Kane argues that immigration has been a source of American strength and American exceptionalism since the nation's founding.”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Using original, in-depth surveys of American attitudes toward immigration reform he maps out a step-by-step process to achieve reform.”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Authors: Jason Richwine, Ph.D. and Robert Rector”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“future Nobel winner David Card announced that immigration must not lower wages because the 1980 Mariel boatlift from Cuba didn’t cause pay in Miami to drop relative to several other cities from 1980 to 1984”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
“I responded that Miami in those exact years was enjoying the most notorious Cocaine Boom”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
“Since being elected, I have used what little influence I hold to try and uncover the impact of these migrants and just how severely the British people are suffering because of it. I have asked more than 600 questions of the Home Office... During all this, a Home Office whistleblower presented themselves with these figures, in black and white, regularly disseminated within the Home Office.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“On 20 January, I asked the Home Office “what information the Department holds on the number of irregular migrants defined as absconders.” A Minister replied: “The requested data is not readily accessible from published statistics, and could only be collated and verified for the purpose of answering this question at a disproportionate cost.” That was not true. On 3 September, I asked the Home Secretary “what estimate she has made of the number of foreign nationals who have absconded after being served with a deportation order.” The answer, from a different Minister, was: “The Home Office does not hold any central record of the requested information.” That was not true.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“During all this, a Home Office whistleblower presented themselves with these figures, in black and white, regularly disseminated within the Home Office. The actual data is as follows: there are 736 foreign criminals in the total absconder pool for foreign national offenders.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
““From Henry Cabot Lodge in the late 19th century to Donald Trump, anti-immigration politicians have repeatedly tried to link immigrants to crime, but our research confirms that this is a myth and not based on fact,” says Abramitzky, whose 2022 book, Streets of Gold: America’s Untold Story of Immigrant Success, examines the many misconceptions around immigration.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“Abramitzky’s co-authors include Leah Platt Boustan, an economics professor at Princeton and co-author of Streets of Gold;”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“From Henry Cabot Lodge in the late 19th century to Donald Trump, anti-immigration politicians have repeatedly tried to link immigrants to crime”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“From Henry Cabot Lodge in the late 19th century to Donald Trump, anti-immigration politicians have repeatedly tried to link immigrants to crime”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“UW–Madison sociology professor Michael Light and co-authors Jingying He and Jason Robey — who were both UW–Madison graduate students — were able to directly calculate the rates at which U.S.-born citizens, legal immigrants and undocumented immigrants were arrested for a range of felony offenses.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“UW–Madison sociology professor Michael Light and co-authors Jingying He and Jason Robey — who were both UW–Madison graduate students — were able to directly calculate the rates”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“By: Ahmad Ismail, Arturo Vargas Bustamante, Jie Zong, Silvia R. González”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Essay by Pia Orrenius”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Ahmad Ismail, Arturo Vargas Bustamante, Jie Zong, and Silvia R. González”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Pia Orrenius is a vice president in the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Madeline Zavodny is a professor of economics at the University of North Florida.”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Pia Orrenius”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Emily Kerr”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Academic and intellectual voices of this view came from cornucopian economists, such as Julian Simon;”— The Costs of Immigration
“That’s the takeaway from two new reports by Steven Camarota and Karen Zeigler of the Center for Immigration Studies.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“I wrote the landmark speech given by then immigration minister Barbara Roche in September 2000, calling for a loosening of controls. [...] For despite Roche's keenness to make her big speech and to be upfront, there was a reluctance elsewhere in government”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“I wrote the landmark speech given by then immigration minister Barbara Roche in September 2000 [...] I remember coming away from some discussions with the clear sense that the policy was intended - even if this wasn't its main purpose - to rub the Right's nose in diversity”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Yesterday MPs Frank Field and Nicholas Soames called for a 75 per cent cut in immigration and accused the Government of "clamping down" on any debate.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Mr Neather was a speech writer who worked in Downing Street for Tony Blair and in the Home Office for Jack Straw and David Blunkett, in the early 2000s.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“He wrote a major speech for Barbara Roche, the then immigration minister, in 2000, which was largely based on drafts of the report.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“a former adviser to Tony Blair, Jack Straw and David Blunkett.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“Sir Andrew Green, chairman of the Migrationwatch think tank, said: "Now at least the truth is out, and it's dynamite. Many have long suspected that mass immigration under Labour was not just a cock up but also a conspiracy."”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“In an interview on PBS in 2017, Mayorkas was asked whether his preferred legislative solution would be essentially a codifying of DACA. He said it would be a “start,” but that he “would hope that it would be even more expansive than that.” He went on to say when considering who should get amnesty that it would be determined by their age when they came to the U.S., not their present age.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
““The refugee program is also an important tool of American foreign policy and has enhanced our global standing and security,” wrote Blinken in a 2018 New York Times op-ed that ended by warning that “if Mr. Trump effectively shuts down the refugee program, he will be plunging the world — and Americans with it — into greater darkness.””— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Kerry has been asserting for years that climate change is creating “climate refugees.””— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“In her role at the White House, the Wall Street Journal reports, Haines oversaw the drastic increase in refugee admissions during the Obama-Biden administration.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Jaddou works with the pro-mass immigration group Americas Voice as Director of “DHS Watch.””— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Unfortunately, some activists and allied media have ignored the contents of the National Academies’ report and taken to citing it as an entirely pro-immigration work. One of the most egregious offenders is the economist Esther Duflo. She claimed that the report “summarized maybe hundreds of studies, and they all come to the conclusion that the effect of low-skilled migration on low-skilled wages is zero”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“By Byron Gangnes”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“in their widely cited 1995 survey, Rachel Friedberg and Jennifer Hunt conclude that, “…a 10 percent increase in the fraction of immigrants in the population reduces native wages by at most 1 percent.””— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Card, now a Nobel Laureate, had identified a unique “natural experiment” in the 1980 Mariel Boatlift, which brought about 125,000 mostly low-skilled Cuban refugees to Miami. Perhaps surprisingly, he found that the arrival of these immigrants had no effect on wages or unemployment rates of low-skilled Miami natives.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“In a rebuttal first presented in 2015, Borjas instead reported a large decline in the wages of high school dropouts, whose skills were most similar to those of the Marielitos. Borjas’s findings remain controversial, with a number of studies challenging his analysis.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“John Stuart Mill even went so far as to say that migration was “one of the primary sources of progress.””— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“Adam Smith opposed mercantilist restrictions not just on capital, but on labor as well.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“Ludwig von Mises, the guru of the Austrian school, advocated a system of free trade where capital and labor would be employed wherever conditions are most favorable for production.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“There is no simple link between immigration and crime. Most studies find that larger immigrant concentrations in an area have no association with violent crime and, overall, fairly weak effects on property crime.”— Crime and immigration
“Unfortunately, some activists and allied media have ignored the contents of the National Academies’ report and taken to citing it as an entirely pro-immigration work. One of the most egregious offenders is the economist Esther Duflo. She claimed that the report “summarized maybe hundreds of studies, and they all come to the conclusion that the effect of low-skilled migration on low-skilled wages is zero”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“as a recent Swedish conservative Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt put it, only ‘barbarism’ comes from countries like his whereas only good things come from outside.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“At the peak of the crisis in September 2015 Chancellor Merkel of Germany asked the Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, what could be done to stop European citizens writing criticisms of her migration policy on Facebook. ‘Are you working on this?’ she asked him. He assured her that he was.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“At the peak of the crisis in September 2015 Chancellor Merkel of Germany asked the Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, what could be done to stop European citizens writing criticisms of her migration policy on Facebook. ‘Are you working on this?’ she asked him. He assured her that he was.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“‘The world is coming into Europe at precisely the moment that Europe has lost sight of what it is,’ Douglas Murray writes. ‘And while the movement from other cultures into a strong and assertive culture might have worked, the movement of millions into a guilty, jaded and dying culture cannot.’”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“As German Chancellor Angela Merkel discovered, it is difficult to say ‘no’. However, Murray believes Europe accepted mass-movement from a position of weakness, not strength.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Bassam Tibi, a Syrian immigrant to Germany in 1962, described this as a leitkultur or ‘core culture’. Within the confines of this core culture people should be free to live their lives how they please, however they must accept its premises to be a member of that society.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
““American blacks had a hard enough time competing with American whites. Putting them up against ever more of the cleverest and most ambitious of four billion Asians is increasingly a wipe-out.””— Steve Sailer: Still noticing after all these years
“Alex Nowrasteh of the Cato Institute argues that brain drain is a “bad argument for closed borders”.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“My claim is that high-skilled emigration is bad for the people left behind.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“In his 2015 book Hive Mind, Jones sketched out a solution to the puzzle: high intelligence has positive spillovers.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“In response, the economist Noah Smith penned an article titled ‘Why skilled immigration (usually) benefits both countries’. Although “there might be a few cases in which we should actually be worried,” he notes, “there are both theoretical and empirical reasons to think that skilled emigration can help the economies of developing countries”.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“In a recent viral tweet, Samo Burja wrote: “Few economists bite the bullet that if immigration is good for the countries gaining people, emigration is bad for the countries losing people.””— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“A 2016 paper by the economist Fabian Waldinger is particularly illustrative. He obtained department-level data from German universities between 1930 and 1980, and found that the Nazis’ dismissal of Jewish scientists had a much greater negative impact on research output than did the wholesale destruction of buildings and equipment by allied bombers!”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Here’s what the Haitian-born social scientist Louis Marcelin had to say to the Miami Herald: How can a country rebuild itself if 80% of its educated young workforce are among those leaving the country? A country cannot rebuild itself if it doesn’t have the human power, educated, skilled youth to help implement the kind of policy recommendations that will emerge from any kind of analysis of social issues.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“His sentiments are echoed by Conor Bohan, founder of the Haitian Education and Leadership Program, who spoke to Newsweek about the situation in Haiti: Take the place where you work, and tell 84% of the employees with a college degree not to show up tomorrow morning. Replace them all with people, a third of whom have a high school degree, a third who have a ninth-grade education, and a third who have a sixth-grade education … Now, take that same scenario, and try to build a country and organize a government. The whole thing falls apart … It is impossible to make progress and rebuild the country if the educated classes keep fleeing.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“Her father is vice president of Haiti’s sole ready-mix concrete supplier, GDG Béton. (Her uncle happens to be president.)”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“As Ed West observed, the potential for high-skilled emigration to harm sending countries was laid bare in the debate over what to do about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“One Albanian who won’t be sent home is a man named Gjelosh Kolicaj. The Home Office had sought to deport him after he was jailed for smuggling £8 million of his gang’s profits out of the UK in suitcases. Yet British judges blocked Kolicaj’s deportation on the grounds that the Home Office had “failed to take sufficient account of his human rights”.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“This reinforces my claim that it is meaningless to talk about the impact of immigration per se. Noah Carl is an Editor at Aporia.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“As recently as June of 2020, the debate on undocumented criminality made its way to the US Supreme Court, where the US solicitor general sought to invalidate California’s “sanctuary” policies because “[w]hen officers are unable to arrest aliens—often criminal aliens—who are in removal proceedings or have been ordered removed from the United States, those aliens instead return to the community, where criminal aliens are disproportionately likely to commit crimes” (3, p. 13).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“wishful-thinking Republican politicians and business-seeking pollsters who refuse to acknowledge the stability of individual party identification”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
““Most people in America don’t know that the census is based on a simple headcount of people (including illegals) not just citizens." Musk tweeted in February. "This shifts political power and money to states and Congressional districts with the highest number of illegals." In March, Musk tweeted "Since illegals are mostly in Democrat states, both the House and the Presidential vote are shifted ~5% to the left, which is enough to change the entire balance of power!" In a subsequent X interview with Don Lemon, Musk put a number on that political power alleging that Democrats have gained 20 seats in the House due to illegal immigration.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“Republican Senator Bill Hagerty of Tennessee said Democrats "want these illegal migrants to create more electoral power for them in their blue states" and estimated Democrats gained 13 seats because of them.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“as sensible an economic commentator as Noah Smith thinks it fine to say “immigration is good” and as perceptive an economist as Scott Sumner thinks he has said something sensible when he says “I favor immigration".”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“It is magical thinking that falls foul of economist Thomas Sowell’s dictum that there are no solutions, only trade-offs.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“economic historian Robert Fogel published in 1989 a study (Without Consent or Contract)—republished in 1994, after he won the Nobel memorial—that explained in detail how mass migration, resulting from the development of steamships and railways, fractured the American Republic along its then fault-line of slavery.”— The failure of economists...
“From the Canadian Century Initiative to Bill Clinton, “we need immigration to compensate for the low birth rate” is a common refrain.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“Gregory Cochran lays out the intuition: Imagine a country with an average IQ of 100... it’s kind of hard to see how bringing in people with low human capital benefits the original citizens more than bringing in people with considerably higher human capital.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“The Institute for Diversity and Ethics in Sport, founded by Dr. Richard E. Lapchick, who is “often described as the racial conscience of sport,” assesses the diversity of various sports leagues with a race and gender report card.”— The Diversity Lie
“The 1965 Immigration Reform Act promoted by President Kennedy, drafted by Attorney General Robert Kennedy, and pushed through the Senate by Ted Kennedy has resulted in a wave of immigration from the Third World that should shift the nation in a more liberal direction within a generation.”— The Diversity Lie
“Elon Musk is the highest-profile member of the tech-right. I would identify Peter Thiel, Marc Andreessen, Vivek Ramaswamy, David Sacks, Mike Solana, and even heterodox right-leaning intellectuals like Crémieux and Samuel Hammond as members as well.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“after taking office in 2015, Trudeau doubled this already high level to the extreme level of half a million per year. Then after COVID, Trudeau more than doubled Canadian immigration again, to 1.25 million per year”— The Canadian Question
“This approach has been explicitly endorsed by multiple pro-immigration intellectuals, such as Tyler Cowen, Alec Stapp, Noah Smith, and Matthew Yglesias”— The Canadian Question
“Richard Hanania recently posted the following on Twitter: Why are Japanese manual laborers and low wage workers so competent? As Bryan Caplan points out, they’re massively overqualified! The lack of immigration means natives work worse jobs. The world works in the exact opposite way nativists think.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“As Bryan Caplan points out, they’re massively overqualified! The lack of immigration means natives work worse jobs.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Well I'm afraid my, as I've said before, my gall rises in me when you start using terms like “white”. I'm very much from the generation which remembers the great Martin Luther King speech, so [someone] should be judged by the content of his character not the colour of his skin and I reject all classification of people by skin colour instinctively. I'm still very much a “one race the human race” person.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“He also argues that it will be impossible to prevent Africans immigrating to the West. Walls will not suffice, he claims, again without supporting argument. Also, he asserts that there are good economic reasons to allow Africans and other non-European peoples to enter the West. An example he gives is that inflation will get worse without them.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“This was the view adopted by John Howard who, as Australia’s prime minister from 1996 to 2007, oversaw massive non-European immigration.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“didn’t stop Tony Blair’s government throwing the doors open as a way to “rub the right’s nose in diversity”.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“It shows that border apprehensions reached a multi-year low in the final year of his presidency, but then skyrocketed soon after Biden took office.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“Trump: What I want to do, and what I will do, is you graduate from a [U.S.] college, I think you should get automatically, as part of your diploma, a green card to be able to stay in this country.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Distinguished scholar Lawrence Mead was publicly skewered in 2020 for suggesting (in a now retracted article) that immigrants from the developing world struggle to achieve parity with native-born Americans because they lack the individualistic culture of earlier immigrants from Europe.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
““Denmark’s Social Democrats have gone down what I would call a hardcore approach to immigration,” “They’ve adopted many of the talking points of what we would call the far right.””— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“Shabana Mahmood sent officials to Denmark to study its immigration system. At the Labour conference in September, Mahmood promised to “do whatever it takes” to regain control of Britain’s borders.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“Karl Rove’s Republican Brain Trust, egged on by their Democratic and media friends, repeatedly explained: Sure, the GOP would lose votes with every immigrant let in, but the Republicans would make up for it on volume.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“you wouldn’t want to be like California Republican governor Pete Wilson in 1994 (who came from twenty points behind in the polls to win by fifteen by campaigning against subsidizing illegal immigration)”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“On November 28, 2000, while the Bush and Gore campaigns were still arguing over hanging chads in Florida, Sailer wrote a blog post. Citing exit-poll data, he demonstrated that if Bush had increased his share of the white vote by just 3 percent—if 57 percent of white Americans had voted for him, rather than 54 percent—he would have won in a landslide.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“The U.K. prime minister maligns critics of immigration and Islamism as “far right,” and his Labour government is committed to defining “Islamophobia” in law.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“Renaud Camus may be the most important living thinker no one has heard of. He’s certainly the most misunderstood. Mr. Camus, 78, is author of “Le Grand Remplacement” (2011), which describes how decades of mass migration have altered his native France.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“Green party parliamentary leader Cyrielle Chatelain said she was "extremely shocked" by Bayrou's "shameful" remarks, which she said reflected "a false idea fueled by the far right."”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Pope Francis has made a generous attitude toward migrants a cornerstone of his pontificate, underlining the Christian duty to "welcome the stranger" over political or demographic considerations”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“"To resist large-scale Muslim immigration in my judgment is to be responsible," Burke said”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“In early May, Cardinal Konrad Krajewski, the pope's almoner, told a reporter that the Vatican would refuse a papal blessing to Matteo Salvini, Italy's deputy prime minister, who is known for his restrictive immigration policies.”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“"Il n'y a pas de submersion migratoire, mais il y a des endroits où la concentration d'immigration pose des problèmes sociaux importants qu'il faut arriver à résoudre"”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“"Quiconque est confronté à la situation à Mayotte, et ce n'est pas le seul endroit de France, mesure que le mot de submersion est celui qui est le plus adapté. Parce que tout un pays, (...) toute une communauté de départements français est confrontée à des vagues d'immigration illégale telles qu'elles atteignent 25% de la population"”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“‘If liberals won’t enforce borders, fascists will.’ Say what you like about the American writer David Frum... but he certainly knows how to coin a pithy phrase. Frum wrote this line in an article for The Atlantic magazine in 2019, but it has stayed with me ever since.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“In 2019 Boris Johnson, the prime minister, told us he wanted to “restore democratic control” of immigration policy after leaving the EU and “assure the public we have control over the number of unskilled immigrants coming into the country”.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“And that until this happens, Nigel Farage will continue to play an outsize role in our politics.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“Responding to last week’s ONS figures, he gave an intriguing press conference in which he castigated the Tories for “turning Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders”, and doing so “by design, not accident”.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“Address by the Archbishop of Bologna to the Migrantes Foundation Seminar — September 30, 2000”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“"I would never have made such statements and I am embarrassed by them," she said, adding that France "has always welcomed" immigrants.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Radical left La France Insoumise (LFI) party parliamentary leader Mathilde Panot called Retailleau and his allies' position on immigration "racist."”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“In a post on X, Socialist parliamentary leader Boris Vallaud wrote it was "disgraceful" of Bayrou to "borrow the words and the fantasies of the far right."”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“"Foreign contributions are positives for a people, so long as they don't exceed a proportion," Bayrou told the LCI news channel late on Monday. "But as soon as you get the feeling of submersion, of no longer recognizing your own country, its lifestyle and its culture, from that instant you get rejection." He said such a feeling was not yet widespread, but it was growing and "a certain number of cities and regions" were already experiencing it.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“In 2019 Boris Johnson, the prime minister, told us he wanted to “restore democratic control” of immigration policy after leaving the EU and “assure the public we have control over the number of unskilled immigrants coming into the country”.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“And that until this happens, Nigel Farage will continue to play an outsize role in our politics.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
““I’ve no hesitation in saying we need more migrants in London”.”— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
“Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s reply at the last Question Time... when asked where he would put the “tens of thousands of aggressive males” coming across the Channel... Starmer said it’ll be ok, because there’s lots of social housing in the country. There’s almost none.”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“These arguments I’ve made for a very, very long time, for which I’ve been abused, had pints of beer chucked at me, and God knows what else.”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“Dutifully, state Assemblyman Gilbert Cedano introduced a bill providing for free prenatal care. Against some opposition, the bill made its way through both houses and was signed by Governor Gray Davis.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“the Mexican consul general in California, Jose Angel Pescador Osuna... proclaimed, “And even though I am saying this part serious, part joking, I think we are practicing La Reconquista in California.””— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“Somehow the Reagan administration at least momentarily adopted the cramped Club-of-Rome vision, forgetting which side of this debate it is supposed to support.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Steven A. Camarota is Director of Research at the Center for Immigration Studies. He holds a Ph.D. in Public Policy Analysis from the University of Virginia. Dr. Camarota has testified before Congress and written extensively on the effects of low-skilled immigration on American workers.”— Importing Poverty
“Most of the perpetrators of “violence in Berlin are young, male and have a non-German background. This also applies to knife violence,” says Barbara Slowik, the police commissioner of Berlin.”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
““The established parties deny the link between immigration and everyday knife crime, although the facts refute these claims,” the anti-immigration party AfD tweeted”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“The late minister Eberhard van der Laan said in the NOS-journaal news program of 4 September 2009 that the cabinet is not interested in putting people along the yardstick of euros. ... The then director of the CPB, Laura van Geest, stated in an interview: “I don't think you should talk about refugees and start calculating something.” And Klaas Dijkhoff stated in 2016 as State Secretary for Security and Justice in response to parliamentary questions3 that the government does not evaluate citizens, but policy.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“one economist (Sombart) has assigned a Jewish origin to capitalism”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“another (Weber) has discovered a causal link between the Protestant Ethic and laissez faire... The link which Weber should really have pointed out was that between Northern European genes”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“"This bill we sign today is not a revolutionary bill. It does not affect the lives of millions. It will not restructure the shape of our daily lives."”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“"With the end of discrimination due to place of birth, there will be shifts in countries other than those of northern and western Europe. Immigrants from Asia and Africa will have to compete and qualify in order to get in, quantitatively and qualitatively, which, itself will hold the numbers down. There will not be, comparatively, many Asians or Africans entering this country. .. .Since the people of Africa and Asia have very few relatives here, comparatively few could immigrate from those countries because they have no family ties in the U.S."”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“"I would say for the Asia-Pacific Triangle it [immigration] would be approximately 5,000, Mr. Chairman, after which immigration from that source would virtually disappear; 5,000 immigrants would come the first year, but we do not expect that there would be any great influx after that."”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“dissects Julian Simon's The Economic Consequences of Immigration”— A Flawed Jewel
“bases much of his thinking on the work of Prof. George Borjas.”— A Flawed Jewel
“Brimelow, a financial writer for Forbes, describes the harm done by mass immigration”— A Flawed Jewel
“Bei einer Nettozuwanderung von etwa 400.000 pro Jahr können wir es knapp konstant halten.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“"Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“But Dieter Salomon, the mayor of Freiburg warned people not to "apply perpetrator background for sweeping judgements, but to view it as an isolated incident".”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“The horror killing piles more pressure on Chancellor Angela Merkel who opened the nation's borders to more than one million migrants since 2015.”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“In May 2025, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer referred to the risk of our country becoming an 'island of strangers'.”— What is the problem?
“General Pierre de Villiers, who was chief of staff of the French Armed Forces before he resigned from the post at the beginning of Emmanuel Macron’s presidency, is the latest of a series of top officials in France who have warned against a looming civil war due to mass immigration.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“In October 2018, when handing over his function as interior minister to Prime Minister Édouard Philippe after he had resigned because of deepening discrepancies with Emmanuel Macron, Gérard Collomb, a Socialist, talked of a ghettoization of migrant districts and warned : “Today we live side by side and, as I always say, I fear that tomorrow we will live face to face”.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“Macron’s predecessor in the Élysée, while presiding over the same kind of mass-immigration policies, also shared his fears of civil war while talking to journalists. ... Hollande also talked of the ongoing “communitarization, segmentation, ethnicization” of France, and said, “I think there are too many arrivals of immigrants who should not be here.” “How can we avoid a partition?” Hollande asked rhetorically. He then answered that “this is what is happening: a partition.””— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“Last year, President Emmanuel Macron himself alluded to the possibility of a civil war in France, which could be sparked by “confusions made between the issues of immigration, radicalization, communitarianism, and laicity.””— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“General Pierre de Villiers... fears France “could fall slowly or very rapidly” into a “civil war” that could be ignited by “a spark like in 1789”. This time, however, problems are of a different nature. They are linked to the fact that France has become a country where “a teacher gets beheaded in front of a middle school and three persons are assassinated while praying in a church.””— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“General Bertrand Soubelet, who was dismissed... after the publication of his book “Tout ce qu’il ne faut pas dire”... said he feared a civil war caused by mass immigration, the rise of radical Islam and the proliferation of lawless no-go areas due to the authorities’ laxity.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“the recent warning from General Pierre de Villiers... The list of those top officials includes President Emmanuel Macron and his predecessor François Hollande, and also Macron’s first interior minister Gérard Collomb.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“Pierre Brochand was head of France’s DGSE counter-intelligence agency from 2002 to 2008. Since 2019, he has made repeated calls for a radical change in his country’s immigration policy over what he says is the looming threat of civil war.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“According to Darmanin, the riots of the previous days are not linked to immigration as “only” 10 percent of the rioters were foreigners.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“Since the 1983 Euro-Socialist policies of François Mitterrand in particular, France has almost permanently had double digit unemployment around 9-12%”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Christian Pfeiffer, a criminology expert and one of the study researchers, told Deutschlandfunk radio there were huge differences between various refugee groups depending on where they came from and how high their chances were of staying and gaining legal status in Germany.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“Governor Rick Perry (R-Texas) has pointed to job growth in Texas during the current economic downturn as one of his main accomplishments.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“The state interior minister insisted he did not know about the magnitude of the attacks when media first reported them in early January. The opposition claimed his department initially attempted to downplay or even cover up what happened in Cologne.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“The final report, which was over 1,000 pages, was based on testimony from roughly 180 eye-witnesses, including both civilians and police officers, as well as federal Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere, NRW Premier Hannelore Kraft, NRW Interior Minister Ralf Jäger and Cologne Mayor Henriette Reker.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“The final report, which was over 1,000 pages, was based on testimony from roughly 180 eye-witnesses, including both civilians and police officers, as well as federal Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere, NRW Premier Hannelore Kraft, NRW Interior Minister Ralf Jäger and Cologne Mayor Henriette Reker.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“The final report, which was over 1,000 pages, was based on testimony from roughly 180 eye-witnesses, including both civilians and police officers, as well as federal Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere, NRW Premier Hannelore Kraft, NRW Interior Minister Ralf Jäger and Cologne Mayor Henriette Reker.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Ina Schnarrenberg, the CDU representative on the investigatory commision, said the SPD-Greens coalition had attempted to remove all criticism of Jäger and the state Interior Ministry from the report. She said the two governing parties were guilty of 'deception, tricks, concealing information.'”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
““I hate to put a lot of highly paid pundits out of business, but look at this f**king graph,” tweeted Dean Baker, a senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a progressive think tank.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“Economist David Card’s initial analysis of the economic impact of the event purported to show no negative effects on native wages (Card, 1990).”— Moving Targets
“By contrast, Borjas (2017) re-analyzed the same data and found that the influx of migrants during this event caused a wage shock to native high school dropouts, reducing their wages by somewhere between 10–30%.”— Moving Targets
“In the author’s own words, “This estimate implies that an increase in a metropolitan area–skill cell equivalent to 10% of the native workforce in that cell reduces wages by around 10% on impact” (Monras, 2021, p. 223).”— Moving Targets
“the statistical analyses recently popularised by data scientists such as Jonatan Pallesen.”— State-Financed Rape
“French writer Renaud Camus gave us the “Great Replacement.” For years, polite society treated the phrase as radioactive.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“In 2023, Shafi Musaddique left England for Estonia, “lured in by the promise of clean air, quiet and a chance to continue freelance journalism” — plus the benefits of a high-trust society.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

The economics profession in the United States issued repeated blanket endorsements of immigration throughout the 1990s and 2000s. Leading figures framed the policy as inherently beneficial and showed little interest in European evidence of fiscal strain or cultural friction. The consensus view shaped graduate training, journal refereeing and testimony before Congress. Dissenters found their work cited less often. [1]

The United Nations released its Replacement Migration report in 2000. The document presented inflows as a logical solution to fertility decline and aging welfare states in developed countries. It treated immigrants as direct substitutes for native births and supplied a bureaucratic vocabulary that appeared in later national policy papers. Later reviews noted that migrants themselves age and that the approach required ever-larger intakes to maintain ratios. [3]

The Canadian government under the Liberals after 2015 set annual permanent resident targets that climbed to half a million and then beyond. Temporary students were allowed to reach 7.3 percent of the total population. Officials promoted the program as a tool for growth and demographic balance. By the early 2020s relative GDP per capita had fallen sharply against the United States, housing prices had surged and fertility had dropped to 1.24. In 2024 the same government announced cuts. [8][18]

The Brookings Institution published research, hosted podcasts and issued policy briefs that emphasized aggregate economic gains from immigration. Its Hamilton Project and Dollar & Sense series repeatedly highlighted labor-force growth and innovation stories. The work helped sustain the narrative inside Washington think-tank circles even as state and local budgets absorbed concentrated costs. [22]

Supporting Quotes (135)
“how mainstream American commentary on immigration ignores European experience and the European debates over immigration.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“in 2000, the UN came up with what it called replacement migration—bring in immigrants to replace the children that were not being born.”— Where do we go from here?
“In 1993, the European Economic Community (EEC) became the European Union. In 1995, the GATT became the WTO. There was a sharp shift towards institutional globalisation after the end of the anti-Soviet Cold War.”— Where do we go from here?
“In 2001, the UK Cabinet and Home Offices issued a policy paper on migration. It was an optimistic policy paper about the benefits of migration.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“Economic analysis of migration has a persistent tendency to leave things out, such as the implications of endemic cousin marriage.”— The failure of economists...
“There are two main groups who support higher immigration: people who vote for left-wing parties, and people who bankroll right-wing parties.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Those in the second group have entirely self-interested reasons for supporting higher immigration: to increase the supply of labour, thereby reducing workers’ bargaining power; and to get the workers they need ready-trained (rather than having to sponsor their training themselves).”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Canadian immigration is designed to be selective. Most permanent Canadian immigrants are granted that status through employment, while the (supposedly) temporary immigrants comprise about one-third students. I say “supposedly” because this group makes up a full 7.3% of the entire population of Canada, and there’s no plan or real mechanism to remove them from the country.”— The Canadian Question
“the grand strategy of the Canadian state has been to specialize in low-skill labor-intensive services, real estate, and degree mills while legally penalizing resource extraction.”— The Canadian Question
“Centrist-liberal commentators are fond of telling us, often in a distinctly exasperated tone, that “immigration is good for the economy”. If you haven’t come across such a pronouncement recently, here are 16 examples taken from articles in the Times, Guardian, Telegraph, Economist, New York Times, Washington Post, Atlantic, Huff Post, Vox, Reason and Politico:”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“The Cato Institute’s Alex Nowrasteh said this was “very confused”.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Matt Darling of the Niskanen Center called it “perhaps, the worst economic reasoning” he had ever seen”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Consider these statistics compiled by Jason Richwine: Of the 525 civilian occupations identified in Census Bureau data, only five are majority immigrant...”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“According to Oxford Economics (2018), European immigrants in the 2016-2017 fiscal year paid £4.7 billion more in taxes than they took in public services; for non-EEA immigrants, the figure was minus £9 billion.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“a landmark report by the RAND Corporation found that East Asian immigrants enter the US with wages considerably below the native level, but manage to narrow the gap within 10-15 years. [...] Mexican immigrants, by contrast, enter with wages considerably below the native level, and do not narrow the gap like East Asians – even when controlling for education.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“IMF F&D”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“On assuming power in 2015, the Liberal government set ambitious new targets for permanent immigration and more expansive policies on temporary migration to support economic growth, culminating in a two-year period from 2022 to 2023 in which Canada’s population grew by 5.2 percent.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“Different scenarios commissioned from Statistics Canada explore the consequences of different recent immigration rates on the Canadian population and old-age dependency ratio,1 ranging from near-zero net permanent immigration (with annual permanent immigration at 0.3 percent of the national population) to highly ambitious (1.8 percent).”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“Clinton's position reflects a broader sentiment among Democrats,”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“More open and work-oriented immigration policies would allow European countries to attenuate the economic consequences of ageing and their population decline.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“Continued low levels of immigration would lead to decreases in the total prime-age labor force.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“Our pre-immigration change estimate suggests the prime-age labor force would grow 1.2% in the next few years before gradually slowing but remaining positive through 2043.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“Wendy Edelberg, senior fellow and director of The Hamilton Project at Brookings, discusses the positive impact of immigration on the dynamism and fiscal sustainability of the U.S. economy.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Wendy Edelberg, senior fellow and director of The Hamilton Project at Brookings, discusses the positive impact of immigration on the dynamism and fiscal sustainability of the U.S. economy.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“projections which look utterly reasonable to me by the Congressional Budget Office show that immigration will account for about three-quarters of the overall increase”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“For nearly half a century, the Cato Institute has produced original immigration research showing that a freer, more orderly, and more lawful immigration system benefits Americans. Our view is simple: people are the ultimate resource.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) found in 2013 that comprehensive immigration reform would have “a net savings of about $175 billion over the 2014–2023 period” and “would decrease federal budget deficits by about $700 billion (or 0.2 percent of total output) over the 2024–2033 period.””— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Tim Kane is the J.P. Conte research fellow in Immigration Studies at Stanford University's Hoover Institution”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Published: 27 January 2022 ... Hardcover ... ISBN: 9780190088194”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Children in unlawful immigrant households receive heavily subsidized public education. Many unlawful immigrants have U.S.-born children; these children are currently eligible for the full range of government welfare and medical benefits. And, of course, when unlawful immigrants live in a community, they use roads, parks, sewers, police, and fire protection; these services must expand to cover the added population”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“despite political gridlock in Washington, the country’s decentralized system empowers a dynamic private sector that adopts innovations faster than its competitors.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“The evidence is undeniable. I have seen it in Home Office documents. It exists. It is real. The figures were not even disputed by the Home Office; they simply told The Daily Telegraph: “The Home Office has refused to confirm whether the figures are accurate, saying it does not comment on speculation.””— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“Research by Stanford’s Ran Abramitzky and co-authors uncovers the most extensive evidence to date that immigrants are less likely to be imprisoned than U.S.-born individuals.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“The study is detailed in a working paper released by the National Bureau of Economic Research.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“according to a study published by University of Wisconsin–Madison researchers today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“published by University of Wisconsin–Madison researchers today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“Key Finding 1: Latino immigrants are the backbone of state economies across red and blue states.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“In California (25%), New Jersey (22%), Texas (21%), and Florida (20%), Latino immigrants account for about one-fifth of the service workforce.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“More on Immigration from the Bush Institute ECONOMIC GROWTH INITIATIVE: IMMIGRATION”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Latino immigrants are the backbone of state economies across red and blue states.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“This brief was made possible with the generous support of the James Irvine Foundation.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Estimates from the Hamilton Project suggest higher immigration boosted payroll job growth by 70,000 jobs per month in 2022 and by 100,000 jobs per month in 2023 and so far in 2024.”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“The labor force in 2033 will be larger by 5.2 million people, mostly because of higher net immigration, according to CBO estimates. As a result of the immigration surge, GDP will be higher by about $8.9 trillion”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Studies by the Urban Institute and Rand of immigration in California acknowledged that the taxes paid by their study populations of Mexican immigrants fell short of the state and county services provided them.”— The Costs of Immigration
“Their convictions were echoed by collaborating economists within such federal agencies as the Department of Labor and the Council of Economic Advisors.”— The Costs of Immigration
“two new reports by Steven Camarota and Karen Zeigler of the Center for Immigration Studies.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“That speech was based largely on a report by the Performance and Innovation Unit, Tony Blair's Cabinet Office think-tank.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“the deliberate policy of ministers from late 2000 until at least February last year, when the Government introduced a points-based system, was to open up the UK to mass migration.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“The huge increases in migrants over the last decade were partly due to a politically motivated attempt by ministers to radically change the country”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“the publication of a policy paper from the Performance and Innovation Unit, a Downing Street think tank based in the Cabinet Office, in 2001.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“Jaddou works with the pro-mass immigration group Americas Voice as Director of “DHS Watch.””— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Vox once ran this headline: “There's no evidence that immigrants hurt any American workers”. The Cato Institute similarly claims “there is no evidence that immigrants weaken or undermine American economic, political, or cultural institutions”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration. Francine D. Blau and Christopher Mackie, Eds., Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2017. Chapters 4 and 5 review the theoretical and empirical research on how immigration affects the labor market, making it clear that immigration is costly to certain groups of Americans.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“a recent study by the Congressional Budget Office that showed that the unauthorized immigrant surge of 2022 to mid-2024 would actually reduce federal budget deficits by $900 billion over the next ten years.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“INSIGHTS ARE PRELIMINARY MATERIALS CIRCULATED TO STIMULATE DISCUSSION AND CRITICAL COMMENT. THE VIEWS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE INDIVIDUAL AUTHORS. WHILE INSIGHTS BENEFIT FROM ACTIVE UHERO DISCUSSION, THEY HAVE NOT UNDERGONE FORMAL ACADEMIC PEER REVIEW.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Although it is the subject of a lot of popular fear and political debate, there is an overwhelming consensus among economists that it is, on the whole, a great blessing.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“Consider this quote by Mark Krikorian of the Center for Immigration Studies, the premier restrictionist outfit in the country: “Employer organizations spend enormous resources lobbying the government to import a ‘reserve army of labor,’ to use Marx’s phrase, so that they can hold down their labor costs and avoid unionization.””— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“Immigration is one of the most important policy debates in Western countries. However, one aspect of the debate is often mischaracterized by accusations that higher levels of immigration lead to higher levels of crime.”— Crime and immigration
“For the asylum wave, they make use of the dispersal policy adopted in 2001.”— Crime and immigration
“Vox once ran this headline: “There's no evidence that immigrants hurt any American workers”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“The Cato Institute similarly claims “there is no evidence that immigrants weaken or undermine American economic, political, or cultural institutions”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration. Francine D. Blau and Christopher Mackie, Eds., Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2017.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“At the peak of the crisis in September 2015 Chancellor Merkel of Germany asked the Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, what could be done to stop European citizens writing criticisms of her migration policy on Facebook. ‘Are you working on this?’ she asked him. He assured her that he was.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“Europe’s founding ideas and principles, Roman and Greek antiquity, the legacy of Christianity, and the Enlightenment, are being ignored at the West’s peril.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Alex Nowrasteh of the Cato Institute argues that brain drain is a “bad argument for closed borders”.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“many high-skilled Haitians who might otherwise work in the private sector or the government bureaucracy are incentivised to join international organisations – which can offer them higher salaries thanks to generous foreign funding. “Internal brain drain is fuelled by the recruiting procedures of IOs or INGOs,” the authors note. “They act like an artificial market, crowding out human capital”.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“According to the latest figures, they comprise about 1.5% of all inmates, despite being only 0.05% of the population – which means they’re overrepresented by a factor of 30.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“Those in the first group [people who vote for left-wing parties], by contrast, have at least partly altruistic motives — or they purport to have such motives.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“the federal government now spends more on immigration enforcement than all other principle criminal law enforcement agencies combined (4,5).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“the Texas Department of Public Safety (DPS) granted our research team access to case processing information for all arrests recorded between 2012 and 2018. The DPS data are unique in that they fully cooperate with the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to check and record the immigration status of all arrestees throughout the state”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“California stopped reporting the number of noncitizens in their custody to the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) in 2013 and in 2017 became a “sanctuary state” by limiting information sharing”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“A panel of experts appointed by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine examined the available evidence to assess how immigrants are integrating into U.S. society in a range of areas—education, employment and earnings, language, and health, among others.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“The committee’s findings are presented in its report, The Integration of Immigrants into American Society (2015).”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“The study was sponsored by the Carnegie Corporation of New York, the Russell Sage Foundation, the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services of the Department of Homeland Security, and the National Science Foundation”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Between 2005 and 2010, state legislatures enacted more than 300 anti-immigration laws (Gulasekaram and Ramakrishnan, 2012), including regulations that deny public benefits, services, and health care to unauthorized immigrants, as well as laws that punish employers who hire undocumented workers and landlords who rent to unauthorized immigrants (Varsanyi, 2010).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“today the U.S. government spends more on immigration enforcement agencies (U.S. Customs and Border Protection and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement) than it does on all other principal criminal law enforcement agencies combined, including the FBI, DEA, Secret Service, Marshal’s Service, and ATF (Meissner et al., 2013).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“immigrants, who disproportionately vote Democrat.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“Remarkably, Latinos in California appear to vote overwhelming Democratic even when Republican Latino candidates are on the ballot opposing Anglo Democrats (Michelson 2005). Abel Maldonado (R) lost the Latino vote in the 2010 lieutenant governor's race”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“CIS began by projecting the population for each state in 2020 and then apportioned House seats using these projections. [...] They found that subtracting undocumented immigrants affected the apportionment of six states [...] The blue states of California and New York picked up a congressional seat, as did the red state of Texas. [...] the red states of Alabama and Ohio lost a seat, as did the blue state of Minnesota. All in all, undocumented immigrants likely added one net seat for Democrats”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“Pew’s analysis also found that undocumented immigrants affected six states in the 2020 census, with three states gaining a seat and three states losing one. The red states of Florida and Texas picked up a seat, along with blue state California. Red states Alabama and Ohio lost a seat, as well as blue state Minnesota. The net result when broken down along partisan lines—a wash.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“Hence, in 2000, the UN came up with what it called replacement migration—bring in immigrants to replace the children that were not being born.”— Where do we go from here?
“From the Canadian Century Initiative to Bill Clinton, “we need immigration to compensate for the low birth rate” is a common refrain.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“The “solution” to population ageing embraced by most European and Anglosphere governments has been allowing immigration to keep pension costs manageable.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“For race, the grade is based on one criterion: the proportion of non-whites. The higher the proportion of non-whites, the higher the grade, with no ceiling.”— The Diversity Lie
“Canadian immigration is intended to be selective, to vacuum up the world’s human capital. And it largely succeeds. Along with Australia, which follows a similar policy, Canada has some of the world’s smartest immigrants.”— The Canadian Question
“16 examples taken from articles in the Times, Guardian, Telegraph, Economist, New York Times, Washington Post, Atlantic, Huff Post, Vox, Reason and Politico”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“As the Kansas City Fed confirmed, this was a purposeful and desired outcome.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“didn’t stop Tony Blair’s government throwing the doors open as a way to “rub the right’s nose in diversity”.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“This massive demographic change is supported by the members of Biden’s cabinet, and there is no way to talk them out of it. It has become an obsession for them, une idée fixe.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“considerable pressure from EU institutions – they’ve steadfastly refused to resettle Muslim migrants.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“Denmark has a Social Democratic government and one of the smallest far right parties in Europe, precisely because its moderate politicians have decided that democracy means giving the people what they want.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“Last week Britain’s Home Office refused to allow Mr. Camus into the country because his presence wouldn’t be “conducive to the public good.””— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“In 2009 the Dutch politician Geert Wilders was refused entry because, the Home Office said, his presence would provoke “interfaith violence.” Mr. Camus seems to have received a similar proscription.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“Cardinal Konrad Krajewski, the pope's almoner, told a reporter that the Vatican would refuse a papal blessing to Matteo Salvini”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“Le terme de "submersion" est notamment rejeté par le directeur général de l'Office français de l'immigration et de l'intégration (Ofii) Didier Leschi.”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“This happened by design, not accident. Policies were reformed… Deliberately … To liberalise immigration.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“Having already revised its previous figures upwards (never an encouraging sign), the Office for National Statistics now informs us nearly a million people came to Britain in 2022-23. We added 2.2 million people between 2021 and 2023.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“NOTE: Cardinal Biffi (1928-2015), was a learned theologian and respected Catholic author who served as archbishop of Bologna in Northern Italy between 1984 and 2003. The Migrantes Foundation is the official department for immigrants and refugees of the Italian Bishops’ Conference.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“The State, which still gives the impression of being disoriented, has been caught by surprise. It seems not yet to have regained the capacity to govern the situation rationally”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“Radical left La France Insoumise (LFI) party parliamentary leader Mathilde Panot called Retailleau and his allies' position on immigration "racist."”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Now – the independent Office of National Statistics has conducted vital work on the state of immigration… Nearly one million people came to Britain in the year ending June 2023… That is four times the migration levels compared with 2019.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“And liberal-minded Tories failed in Britain too.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“Having already revised its previous figures upwards (never an encouraging sign), the Office for National Statistics now informs us nearly a million people came to Britain in 2022-23.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“I’ve spent this morning with some of our city’s leading business people who create jobs, wealth and prosperity. “They’ve got a skills shortage and a labour shortage.”— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
“got steadily worse under the Tories, peaking in the year to June 2023 at a staggering 906,000. This so-called “Boris Wave” was the result partly of Johnson relaxing the rules for student and work visas”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“Unbeknownst to the general public until recently, the school district has been following a practice of “social promotion” for more than 20 years. ... In Los Angeles, the cost is $10,500 per student, thanks in part to the large number of students who are taught in Spanish.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“But he was only admitting what has been a policy of the Mexican government for more than three decades: Surplus people are encouraged to immigrate, legally or illegally, to the United States, California in particular, and to maintain their Mexican identity and loyalty.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“If Washington still wants to “do something” about immigration, we propose a five-word constitutional amendment: There shall be open borders.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Steven A. Camarota is Director of Research at the Center for Immigration Studies.”— Importing Poverty
““The established parties deny the link between immigration and everyday knife crime, although the facts refute these claims,” the anti-immigration party AfD tweeted”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“Since that report, the government has no longer calculated these tax costs and benefits of immigration in a general sense. ... In a way, this report can be seen as an update and extension of the CPB report Immigration and the Dutch Economy from 20031.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“The new legislation (P.L. 89 236; 79 Stat. 911; technically, amendments to the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952) substituted a system based primarily on family reunification and needed skills.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“Herbert Brücker ist seit 2005 Leiter des Forschungsbereichs "Migration, Integration und internationale Arbeitsmarktforschung" am Nürnberger Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“EU-Parlamentspräsident Martin Schulz sprach am Donnerstag in der Neuen Universität über das Thema "Heimat, Flucht und Identität in Zeiten der Globalisierung"”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“The Office for National Statistics projection in January 2025 was that the UK population would grow by 6.6 million by 2036, with over six million (90%) of the growth due to migration (migrants and the children of migrants).”— What is the problem?
“Some estimates put the total number of migrants entering France every year at 400,000, which Nicholas Bay, a deputy in Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party, has said is unsustainable.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“with tensions worsening through Emmanuel Macron’s lax policies that keep immigrants arriving in France at a record rate of more than 400,000 a year”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“the French government has not renounced its plans to legalize the stay of hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants who work in sectors lacking labor”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“European Union’s ideology of total disregard for ethnic and cultural realities — all peoples being equivalent and interchangeable — prevents any serious discussion of immigration and ethnicity”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“major study by the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) looking at foreigners and their immediate descendants by nationality (i.e. we have data on first and second generation immigrants by national origin, but all data for the third generation is generally tabooed”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“The government-sponsored study showed a jump in violent crime committed by male migrants aged 14 to 30.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“analysis of Current Population Survey (CPS) data collected by the Census Bureau show that immigrants (legal and illegal) have been the primary beneficiaries of this growth since 2007, not native-born workers.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“conventional centre-right politicians—taking their cue from the economists—have repeated... conventional centre-right politicians screwing up, in polity after polity, the fundamentally cultural politics of immigration.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“the state parliament in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) on Friday released its final report on an investigation into the incident.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Police and the Cologne city administration could have largely prevented the attacks, had they been better prepared and acted quicker, the investigatory commission concluded.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“It’s titled “Misinformed views on immigration, crime, the economy correlated with ballot choice,” and It’s drawn from Ipsos Core Political data generated during October surveys:”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“En consonancia con sus tasas de criminalidad, los extranjeros están sobrerrepresentados en las cárceles españolas, y en especial, los magrebíes.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“Much of the empirical literature on immigration economics begins with a puzzle.”— Moving Targets
“In 1983, the Danish parliament ratified an Aliens Act that was widely celebrated by human rights organisations as the most liberal and progressive in Europe.”— State-Financed Rape
“In most European nations, the political and media establishments have systematically obfuscated the data required to analyse this paradox.”— State-Financed Rape
“Project Veritas recorded a State Department official admitting that replacement migration functions as a political strategy meant to secure electoral victory.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“When a corporation, movie studio, or university says it wants to “increase diversity,” it never means it plans to hire more white, straight men because it has too many trans black women on staff.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“South Korea has 2.7 million people of “migration background” — foreign residents, naturalized citizens and second-generation immigrants — who make up over 5% of the population (Yonhap, 2025).”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?
“This country has experienced a greater influx than South Korea in recent years... In 2019, 20% of the population was foreign-born and more than a third had one or two foreign-born parents.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

The core belief held that immigrants formed a homogeneous, economically positive group because humans were essentially interchangeable widgets who differed only by the institutions they encountered. This view drew strength from efficiency-focused models that treated labor as a frictionless input. It generated the sub-belief that economic effects would be reliably positive and that cultural factors could be ignored. Subsequent work questioned whether the models captured welfare impacts, skill differences or long-term fiscal burdens. [1]

Economists argued that more immigration produced more transactions and therefore more gains from trade, boosting the economy overall. The claim seemed credible to those steeped in positive-sum market logic. It equated rising total GDP with broad benefits while setting aside per-capita measures, distributional consequences and non-economic costs. World Bank data later showed a strong link between population and total GDP but only a weak negative link with GDP per capita. [2][9]

The assumption dismissed labor-market concerns by labeling them the lump-of-labor fallacy. Textbooks taught that jobs were not fixed and that newcomers expanded demand as well as supply. The framing appeared sound in simple supply-and-demand diagrams. Critics pointed to short-term lags in capital and land adjustment and to downward pressure on wages when low-skilled inflows arrived quickly. [2]

Replacement migration was advanced as a remedy for fertility declines and the solvency of welfare states. The United Nations and various national reports presented it as a technical fix. The logic looked persuasive amid fiscal anxiety over aging populations. Later projections revealed that migrants age too and that dependency ratios still climbed unless inflows increased without limit. [3][17][18]

Supporting Quotes (242)
“These statements treat immigrants as if they are a homogeneous, economically positive, group in all the ways that analytically count—including the implicit claim that the economic effects are all that matter and are reliably positive.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“if you think the only things that vary between societies are institutions and policies—that we humans are otherwise interchangeable widgets”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“There is a straightforward, respectable view on immigration to Western countries. More people means more transactions, means more gains from trade, so immigration is a good thing. Immigration grows the economy, it increases GDP, so sensible folk support immigration.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Moreover, increasing total GDP is not the same as increasing per capita GDP. Even with per capita GDP, there are always questions about the distribution of those gains to GDP.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Economists are fond of talking about the lump-of-labour fallacy: the (false) claim that there is only a fixed amount of work to be done, so there is a zero-sum competition for available work.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The fundamental idea of the neoliberal policy regime is that more transactions are good—as that means more gains from trade. Transaction costs should therefore be reduced so that there are fewer frictions that inhibit transacting. By this logic, immigration is inherently positive, as it means more transactors, more gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“Mainstream Economics—especially in its Samuelsonian “social physics” form—naturally treats people as interchangeable “social particles.” That makes the maths much easier. So, there was no problem with replacement migration as the incoming immigrants would be the same sort of economic “social particles” as the locals. Immigrants and locals were interchangeable social widgets who would transact in predictable ways and grow the economy through gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“there came to be an awareness in policy circles that the collapse in fertility rates had long-term implications—especially fiscal implications for funding the welfare state. Hence, in 2000, the UN came up with what it called replacement migration—bring in immigrants to replace the children that were not being born.”— Where do we go from here?
“none of this policy binary was true. Precisely because value is subjective, you cannot neatly separate culture from incentives. We humans cognitively map significance, not facts. Different cultures cognitively “map” the social world differently, hence people from different cultures will behave differently in the same circumstances because, in patterns of significance—so cognitively—they are not the same circumstances.”— Where do we go from here?
“until relatively recently, Western economics and management theory took as a bedrock assumption that universal factors such as the availability of technology and the profit motive would produce similar organizations and methods of operation in any business regardless of cultural factors. This has been challenged broadly by new studies of the impact of cultural preferences on organizations, management, and leadership, such as the massive Global Leadership and Organizational Behavior Effectiveness (GLOBE) study of such practices in 62 different countries.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“The output of the migrants is added to the country’s GDP: voila!, migration is an economic boon to the receiving country.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“The issue of an ageing population is raised, citing the UN Replacement Migration Report. This alleged benefit of migration is typically exaggerated in its benefits, as migrants also age.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“More people=more transactions=more gains from trade is a ludicrously simplistic way to look at the complexities of human interactions.”— The failure of economists...
“The notion that bringing in (working) migrants who raise GDP so, as long as their impact on GDP is larger than their impact on public debt, you’re ahead, is nuts.”— The failure of economists...
“Migration dilutes the votes of any group functionally restricted to the existing polity.”— The failure of economists...
“They care about the principle that people not be held back by morally arbitrary barriers like national borders. And they care about the well-being of the immigrants: just because someone happened to be born in a different country, they reason, why should his or her interests be discounted?”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The claim that high-skilled emigration somehow benefits sending countries, because migrants send back remittances, was always bogus.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The fact that voters express such different views when it comes to high- versus low-skilled immigration puts the lie to the notion that they are wildly ill-informed or simply prejudiced toward foreigners.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Along with Australia, which follows a similar policy, Canada has some of the world’s smartest immigrants. Note, however, that the PISA tests 16 year-olds, which means the less-selective Trudeau wave is not getting picked up in these data.”— The Canadian Question
“A full third of all immigrants to Canada in 2021 were from India, four times more than from China, the next highest country. This sort of dominance of immigration by one country makes assimilation, which is already difficult in the best circumstances, impossible.”— The Canadian Question
“there’s a very strong relationship between population and GDP: countries with larger populations tend to produce more goods and services – which isn’t particularly surprising. On the other hand, there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Does everyone contribute equally to the economy? No. Can someone’s contribution to the economy be predicted based on factors like education and country of origin? Yes.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“When people with advanced degrees assure us that “immigration is good for the economy” they’re surely talking about living standards? Otherwise, the assertion is almost trivial: as long as someone does one hour of work per year, and doesn’t stop anyone else from working, he has added to GDP. But nobody really cares about the total size of the economy; what they care about is living standards... People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Does everyone contribute equally to the economy? No. Can someone’s contribution to the economy be predicted based on factors like education and country of origin? Yes. Hence some types of immigration will be good for the economy, and some types will be bad.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Saying that both high-skilled and low-skilled immigration are good for the economy is equivalent to saying that additional people are good for the economy. Do we see that countries with larger populations are richer? Not at all – which was one of the points I made in my original article. The raw correlation between GDP per capita and population is basically zero (slightly negative, in fact).”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“What’s implausible is that the other economic effects are large enough to outweigh the negative fiscal effect. [...] do we see that countries with a higher ratio of low-skilled to high-skilled workers are richer? No, we generally see the opposite.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The argument for mass immigration goes something like this: even if immigrants raise the cost of housing, compete with native workers and strain the welfare system, they still make the economy more “dynamic”. Specifically, they free up high-skilled natives to focus on more complex work, boosting economic growth through specialization of labor.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Of the 525 civilian occupations identified in Census Bureau data, only five are majority immigrant (either legal or illegal) — with just one, “manicurists and pedicurists”, exceeding 60 percent. The five majority-immigrant occupations account for only 0.6 percent of the civilian U.S. workforce.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Both pointed out that the net fiscal effect of low-skilled immigration is only part of the overall economic effect – which is entirely true. What’s implausible is that the other economic effects are large enough to outweigh the negative fiscal effect.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Saying that both high-skilled and low-skilled immigration are good for the economy is equivalent to saying that additional people are good for the economy. Do we see that countries with larger populations are richer? Not at all”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“As an example of how “low productivity workers” are good for the economy, Darling wrote that they “free up time away so that "high productivity workers" do not have to spend time on "low productivity" tasks”.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The general economic case for immigration is that immigration means larger markets and hence more competition, more opportunities for specialization, more economies of scale, and so on.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“Pro-immigration conservatives often celebrate the “entrepreneurship” of non-linear ethnic niches as a route to assimilation, but that’s getting it backwards.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“National IQ is the best predictor of economic growth and development, explaining roughly 70% of the variance in GDP per capita by itself.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Combine this with the allocative benefits underlying mainstream economists’ support for immigration and the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco, and the argument for admitting high-skilled immigration is strong.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“repeating statistics that showcase some groups’ accomplishments can’t change the fact that other groups accomplish much less. Like talent in America, the abilities of immigrants are unequally distributed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“The evidence that some immigrants boost economic growth and innovation is substantial. Yet the ethnic background of these immigrants is rarely mentioned in public debates.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“Research shows that immigration does not reduce the capital intensity of the economy, but rather it allows firms to expand and investments to adjust, and it also promotes innovation and growth—especially when highly skilled immigrants are admitted. There is also little evidence that immigration displaces jobs or depresses wages in the receiving countries (see, for example, Lewis and Peri 2015 and Peri 2016).”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“In the United States, for instance, where immigrants’ employment rates are high and a large share are highly educated, the average lifetime fiscal contribution of an immigrant who arrived in the last 10 years has been calculated at $173,000.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“In the United States, the total fertility rate of natives was 1.76 children per woman in 2017, whereas that of immigrants was 2.18.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“for now, Canada’s labor force continues to grow—in fact, the labor force grew by 2.8 million persons or nearly 15 percent over the last decade—but this has been driven entirely by the admission of temporary and permanent immigrants, illustrating the critical role that migration policy has assumed in the Canadian economy.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“According to provisional data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics, the fertility rate dropped another 3 percent last year, reaching 54.5 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44. Just under 3.6 million babies were born in the U.S. in 2023, 76,000 fewer than the year before. ... The total fertility rate in 2023 remained below replacement—the level at which a given generation can exactly replace itself (2,100 births per 1,000 women). The rate has generally been below replacement since 1971 and consistently below replacement since 2007.”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“As of 2010 the percentage of population 65 and older was over 20 percent in Germany and Italy and only 12 percent in the US.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“In contrast many African countries have not experienced the demographic decline yet (Table 2) and hence their emigration rates have not peaked.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“The estimated native-born population of 16-year-olds peaked in 2023 and is expected to decline through at least 2040 based on current and past birth data. Specifically, we project that the annual inflow of native-born 16-year-olds into the working-age population will decline from 4.2 million to 3.6 million by 2040.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“We show that, without immigration, prime-age labor force growth will likely continue to slow and turn negative around 2042.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“foreign born people accounted for half of the growth in the U.S. labor force between 2010 and 2018. Half... immigration will account for about three-quarters of the overall increase in the size of the population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population... almost 20% of all of those in the U.S. with a graduate degree are foreign born.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“generally speaking, immigrants are far more likely to work than people who are born in the U.S. They have higher labor force participation rates.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“foreign born people accounted for half of the growth in the U.S. labor force between 2010 and 2018. Half. ... immigration will account for about three-quarters of the overall increase in the size of the population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population. We know that, for example, immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Without immigration, the U.S. population will start to decline by the 2030s. Already in 2022, about half of all the counties in the United States saw declining populations. Moreover, in 2022, international migration accounted for 80 percent of the meager 0.4 percent population growth.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“According to a Cato Institute update of a National Academy of Sciences report, immigrants generate, in inflation-adjusted terms, nearly $1 trillion in state, local, and federal taxes, which is almost $300 billion more than they receive in government benefits, including cash assistance, entitlements, and public education.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Immigrants increase the supply of labor, which increases the supply of goods and services that people need; their consumption, entrepreneurship, and investment also increases the demand for labor, creating better-paying jobs for Americans elsewhere in the economy. Fundamentally, immigrants aren’t competitors. They are collaborators.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Currently, U.S. nonfarm employers have about 9 million open jobs, and over the last two and a half years, this number has averaged about 10 million.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“By combining stories of immigrants who have contributed to the American experience, including in the military and business”— The Immigrant Superpower
“with analysis of immigration's effects on wages and unemployment, Kane presents a clear defense of greater immigration”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Argues that the widespread consensus among US citizens on immigration has been hijacked by political partisanship”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Some argue that the deficit figures for poorly educated households in the general population are not relevant for immigrants. Many believe, for example, that lawful immigrants use little welfare. In reality, lawful immigrant households receive significantly more welfare, on average, than U.S.-born households.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many conservatives believe that if an individual has a job and works hard, he will inevitably be a net tax contributor (paying more in taxes than he takes in benefits). In our society, this has not been true for a very long time.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many believe that unlawful immigrants work more than other groups. This is also not true. The employment rate for non-elderly adult unlawful immigrants is about the same as it is for the general population.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many policymakers also believe that because unlawful immigrants are comparatively young, they will help relieve the fiscal strains of an aging society. Regrettably, this is not true. At every stage of the life cycle, unlawful immigrants, on average, generate fiscal deficits (benefits exceed taxes). Unlawful immigrants, on average, are always tax consumers; they never once generate a “fiscal surplus””— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many policymakers believe that after amnesty, unlawful immigrants will help make Social Security solvent. It is true that unlawful immigrants currently pay FICA taxes and would pay more after amnesty, but with average earnings of $24,800 per year, the typical unlawful immigrant will pay only about $3,700 per year in FICA taxes. After retirement, that individual is likely to draw more than $3.00 in Social Security and Medicare (adjusted for inflation) for every dollar in FICA taxes he has paid.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Unlike its rivals, whose populations are shrinking, the United States enjoys a growing workforce, buoyed by high levels of immigration.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“the country is an economic citadel, packed with resources and blessed by ocean borders that shield it from invasion while connecting it to global trade.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“immigration must not lower wages because the 1980 Mariel boatlift from Cuba didn’t cause pay in Miami to drop relative to several other cities from 1980 to 1984. I responded that Miami in those exact years was enjoying the most notorious Cocaine Boom in pop cultural history (Scarface, Miami Vice)”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
““The requested data is not readily accessible from published statistics, and could only be collated and verified for the purpose of answering this question at a disproportionate cost.” That was not true. ... “The Home Office does not hold any central record of the requested information.” That was not true.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“Using U.S. Census Bureau data, it focuses on immigrants present in the Census regardless of their legal status and on men between the ages of 18 and 40... the first nationally representative dataset of incarceration rates for immigrants and the U.S.-born going back 170 years.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“Instead, Abramitzky and his collaborators chose to analyze incarceration rates, which they say are better indicators of serious crime because they often require a conviction.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“With new access to Texas’ computerized criminal history data for more than 1.8 million arrests over six years, UW–Madison sociology professor Michael Light and co-authors Jingying He and Jason Robey”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“Previous studies, including others published by Light, have drawn similar, though less direct, conclusions. These studies were limited to comparing crime rate trends to immigration trends, because records matching crimes to the immigration status of perpetrators weren’t available.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“In 2023, Latinos contributed $4.1 trillion to the United States’ gross domestic product, with California alone, accounting for approximately $1 trillion. Without Latino workers and consumers, California’s global economic ranking would have dropped from fifth to eighth place.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Immigrants make up 43% of the United States’s working-age Latino population, underscoring their central role in sustaining economic growth. Latino immigrants are essential to the U.S. labor force, representing 14.1 million workers nationwide.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“For example, in states such as Florida, the number of Latino immigrants in construction increased by roughly 71%, while the overall industry only grew by 37%.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“In California, which produces 12% of total U.S. agricultural output, over half of all agricultural workers are Latino immigrants... Given that the ACS undercounts undocumented workers, the true scale of their contribution is almost certainly higher.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“It’s a phenomenon dubbed the “immigration surplus,” and while a small share of additional GDP accrues to natives — typically 0.2 to 0.4 percent — it still amounts to $36 to $72 billion per year.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Immigrants grease the wheels of the labor market by flowing into industries and areas where there is a relative need for workers — where bottlenecks or shortages might otherwise damp growth.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Forty-four percent of medical scientists are foreign born, for example, as are 42 percent of computer software developers.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Using data from the Census Bureau’s 2023 American Community Survey (ACS), this brief examines the economic contributions of Latino immigrant labor in U.S. states with the largest Latino immigrant populations.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“In 2023, Latinos contributed $4.1 trillion to the United States’ gross domestic product, with California alone, accounting for approximately $1 trillion.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“By incorporating previously unavailable data on migration along the southwest border into the government’s economic and fiscal outlook... Census 2023 estimates (July to July) put net immigration at 1.1 million, far from CBO’s calendar-year 2023 estimate of 3.3 million”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“In 2023 alone, Customs and Border Protection (CBP) personnel encountered 2.54 million migrants at the southwest border... Border Patrol encounters do not include got-aways, or unauthorized immigrants, who escape the notice of Border Patrol”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Findings from the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) suggest immigration policy changes will negatively affect the ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers at one in five Texas businesses this year.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“When the immigration surge was at its peak, economists estimated that U.S. break-even job growth was around 250,000 jobs per month... Current estimates of break-even employment growth are approaching 30,000 jobs.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Studies abounded in the growth years of the late 1970s and 1980s that assured citizens and political leaders that immigration meant enrichment — more tax revenues and less demand for services, job creation, rejuvenation of the social security system, and a major boost to the all- important consumer spending.”— The Costs of Immigration
“The studies tended to discount concerns about rising fiscal costs of increasingly dependent and less-educated flows of immigrants entering in larger numbers through the non-job-related family reunification, humanitarian and illegal channels.”— The Costs of Immigration
“Representatives in Congress are apportioned among the states according to their total populations, not their total number of U.S. citizens. That means that the approximately 20 million noncitizens in the census — legal and illegal, temporary and permanent — bolster the congressional representation of high-immigration states without actually increasing the number of eligible voters in those states.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“Eventually published in January 2001, the innocuously labelled "RDS Occasional Paper no. 67", "Migration: an economic and social analysis" focused heavily on the labour market case. But the earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural. [...] the "social outcomes" it talks about are solely those for immigrants.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“He said it would be a “start,” but that he “would hope that it would be even more expansive than that.” He went on to say when considering who should get amnesty that it would be determined by their age when they came to the U.S., not their present age. So, a 56-year old who came to the country when they were 2 would qualify for amnesty under Mayorkas vision.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“For example, Table 5-2 from the report lists several major studies measuring immigration’s impact on wages. Notice the negative values in the “Wage Effect” column:”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“After considering over 50 studies of immigration in developed countries, the author concludes that “immigration can create winners and losers among the native-born workers”. Because low-skill immigration tends to make low-skill natives the “losers” and high-skill natives the “winners”, rising inequality is a natural consequence.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“a 2022 study-of-studies (a meta-analysis) by C. Nedoncelle and others analyzed 64 papers published between 1972 and 2019. They found, “…an average negative, close-to-zero wage effect.””— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Card, now a Nobel Laureate, had identified a unique “natural experiment” in the 1980 Mariel Boatlift... he found that the arrival of these immigrants had no effect on wages or unemployment rates of low-skilled Miami natives.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“The aging of the US population means that immigration will be essential to sustaining the US labor force and standard of living in coming decades.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“there is an overwhelming consensus among economists that it is, on the whole, a great blessing. What’s more, this consensus cuts not only across political, but also methodological lines, with classical liberal, neo-classical, Chicago school, Austrian, and even some Keynesian economists agreeing that relatively unfettered labor mobility maximizes economic growth.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“But this Malthusian worldview, I will argue, is ultimately flawed-even dangerously so.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“The first of these studies presents estimates of the effect of immigration on crime for England and Wales over the period 2002–2009 [2]. The impact on violent and property crime of two large immigrant flows that occurred over the period is examined.”— Crime and immigration
“The standard framework that economists use to think about crime is the model developed by Becker [1].”— Crime and immigration
“Does low-skilled immigration really hurt the native working class? I’m not going to do a detailed survey of the literature, but the short answer is: yes it does.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“high-skilled migrants are universally preferred, and for good reason: they tend to have low crime rates and tend to make positive fiscal contributions”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Chapters 4 and 5 review the theoretical and empirical research on how immigration affects the labor market, making it clear that immigration is costly to certain groups of Americans. For example, Table 5-2 from the report lists several major studies measuring immigration’s impact on wages. Notice the negative values in the “Wage Effect” column.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“This paper shows that a common “instrumental variables” technique to deal with that problem still unintentionally captures more than just the initial impact of immigration... Giovanni Peri, an economist known for downplaying the negative impact of immigration, has 12 different papers on the list.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“In all Western European countries this process began after the Second World War due to labour shortages. Soon Europe got hooked on the migration and could not stop the flow even if it had wanted to.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“All the time Europeans found ways to pretend this could work. By insisting, for instance, that such immigration was normal. Or that if integration did not happen with the first generation then it might happen with their children, grandchildren or another generation yet to come. Or that it didn’t matter whether people integrated or not.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“Europe, beginning after World War I and particularly following World War II, lost faith in religion, progress, and itself. After witnessing the worst of humanity, Europe has dismissed ideologies, the lessons of the Enlightenment, and reason as a guide for action.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Europe’s structure of rights, laws and institutions could not exist without the Christian base from which they developed. The secular focus on ‘human rights’ derives from moral equality in God’s eyes, a concept developed by Christian thinkers in the Middle Ages. As atheist theologian Don Cupitt put it, ‘the modern Western secular world is itself a Christian creation.’”— How Europe Forgot Itself
““American blacks had a hard enough time competing with American whites. Putting them up against ever more of the cleverest and most ambitious of four billion Asians is increasingly a wipe-out.””— Steve Sailer: Still noticing after all these years
“Nowrasteh seems to believe the only negative impact brain drain has on the sending country is purely compositional: people of above-average productivity leave, so average productivity goes down, but no individual in the sending country is worse off than he was before.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“High-skilled emigration must be good, he reasons, since it is “voluntary and mutually beneficial” (both the migrants and the receiving country benefit).”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“For example, Smith cites a paper which studied the emigration of Filipino nurses and found that “for each nurse migrant, 10 additional nurses were licensed”. He cites another paper which studied the emigration of Indian IT workers and found that “as the number of US visas were capped, many remained in India, enabling the growth of an Indian IT sector”.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Economists have traditionally viewed “human capital” as analogous to physical capital like factories and computers; indeed, that’s where the very term comes from. Individuals “invest” in new skills, thereby becoming more “productive”. And while there is some truth in this view (learning to code really will make you a better IT worker) it is largely mistaken. Why? Because it ignores the role of genes.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“As Smith points out, several studies have found a positive association between high-skilled emigration and skill formation, such that countries with high rates of emigration often end up with more high-skilled people than they had before.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Some economists maintain that skilled migration is actually good for sending countries, but their arguments aren’t convincing – as I’ve mentioned before. They can’t explain why fast-tracking visas for highly qualified Russians would be an effective way to destabilise Russia’s economy, yet doing the same for highly qualified Haitians would somehow have the opposite effect.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“The claim that high-skilled emigration somehow benefits sending countries, because migrants send back remittances, was always bogus.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“This is particularly true given that such countries’ smart fractions tend to be small to begin with (a lower average has a disproportionate impact in the tails).”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Indeed, if we look at homicide rates (the most internationally comparable crime statistics), Albania’s is only 1.7 per 100,000 – putting it below Estonia, Israel, New Zealand, Canada and the US. Of course, Albania may have higher rates of other kinds of crime like theft or fraud. But you still wouldn’t expect Albanians to be overrepresented in British prisons by a factor of 30.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“They care about the principle that people not be held back by morally arbitrary barriers like national borders. And they care about the well-being of the immigrants: just because someone happened to be born in a different country, they reason, why should his or her interests be discounted?”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“A 2018 report from the Cato Institute found that arrest and conviction rates for undocumented immigrants are lower than those of native-born individuals (12). Research by the Crime Prevention Research Center in that same year, however, reached the exact opposite conclusion (13).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“lacking legal status limits their legitimate economic opportunities, and thus, undocumented immigrants may turn to illegitimate economic pursuits (15).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“In one study, researchers compared incarceration rates for foreign-born and U.S.-born men, ages 18-39, and found that the incarceration of the foreign-born was one-fourth that of the native-born.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Foreign-born Hispanic men had an incarceration rate that was one-seventh that of U.S.-born Hispanic men.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
““…the major finding of a century of research on immigration and crime is that immigrants…nearly always exhibit lower crime rates than native groups.””— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“All of the studies found that the more immigrants live in an area, the lower the crime rate tends to be. Using a wide range of methods, data, and levels of aggregation, these studies have also found that the crime drop observed between 1990 and 2000 can be partially explained by increases in immigration.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Most notably, this body of work has mainly been confined to assessments of the overall or Latino foreign-born populations (Feldmeyer, 2009; Martinez, Stowell, and Lee, 2010; Ousey and Kubrin, 2009; Wadsworth, 2010) because of the paucity of data accounting for unauthorized immigrants separately."”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“in a recent meta-analysis of the 51 macro-level immigration–crime studies conducted between 1994 and 2014, not one was aimed at explicitly examining unauthorized immigration flows (Ousey and Kubrin, 2017).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“life expectancy, HDI, and GDP per capita are some of the more common ones. But how to weigh each of these is not obvious; you can never be sure you’re not missing something important. Furthermore, these things are very heavily influenced by demographics and geography, which are not (in the short term) the result of governance.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“In the absence of immigration, massive flows from blue to red states would weaken the Democratic Party at the federal level. Immigration breaks this link.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“If immigrants possess or come to acquire the same partisan predispositions as natives and divide their votes in the same way, there is not likely to be much political change resulting from their emergence into the electorate.”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“the propensity for immigrants, and especially Latinos, to be swing voters has been greatly exaggerated by wishful-thinking Republican politicians and business-seeking pollsters who refuse to acknowledge the stability of individual party identification”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“As of the most recent census, if we take the approximately 11 million undocumented immigrants present in 2019 and divide by 761,952, that would equal 14 congressional seats and could be where some Republican officeholders get the “13 seats” calculation. The 20 seats cited by Elon Musk is unsupported by any reasonable calculation of the number of undocumented immigrants living in America. But we hasten to add the obvious: this is not 14 additional congressional seats. The number is capped at 435, and illegal immigrants are dispersed to every state in America—blue and red.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“if you think the only things that vary between societies are institutions and policies—that we humans are otherwise interchangeable widgets, so people moving from countries with worse institutions to better ones is unproblematically a net gain—then treating immigrants as if they are interchangeable widgets may make a certain superficial sense.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Supporting the joys of a multicultural society has been a marker of being enlightened and progressive for decades now. It got repackaged as “diversity is our strength”, but it is an extension of the same underlying idea.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“They want “diversity” as a performative moral marker, and no more. They want multi-ethnic—like my local cafe—but not multicultural.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“There is a straightforward, respectable view on immigration to Western countries. More people means more transactions, means more gains from trade, so immigration is a good thing. Immigration grows the economy, it increases GDP, so sensible folk support immigration.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“There are extra bells and whistles, such as providing needed skills; compensating for falling fertility; willingness to do jobs locals are not. All the extra bells and whistles have responses. Why not train locals (i.e., citizens)? Won’t the immigrants’ fertility also fall? (Yes, though possibly more slowly.) The real willingness is to do jobs at lower wages and conditions than the locals would accept.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The fundamental idea of the neoliberal policy regime is that more transactions are good—as that means more gains from trade. Transaction costs should therefore be reduced so that there are fewer frictions that inhibit transacting. By this logic, immigration is inherently positive, as it means more transactors, more gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“Mainstream Economics—especially in its Samuelsonian “social physics” form—naturally treats people as interchangeable “social particles.” That makes the maths much easier. So, there was no problem with replacement migration as the incoming immigrants would be the same sort of economic “social particles” as the locals.”— Where do we go from here?
“This shows what ridiculous nonsense open-border economics is. People are not interchangeable widgets. People from different cultures, faced with the same set of possibilities and payoffs, make different decisions”— The failure of economists...
“More people=more transactions=more gains from trade is a ludicrously simplistic way to look at the complexities of human interactions.”— The failure of economists...
“Economic analysis of migration has a persistent tendency to leave things out, such as the implications of endemic cousin marriage. The Morocco-to-Pakistan region has high rates of cousin marriage.”— The failure of economists...
“immigration can definitely reverse population decline, it can’t do much for population aging. Assuming immigrant age-structure and fertility remain constant, the difference in the working-age share of the population in 2060 between zero net migration and 2019 levels of migration in the United States is… 2% (57% vs 59%).”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“immigrants and their children are a fiscal cost, not a benefit. This is clearest in Denmark, which keeps very precise records of public benefits used and taxes paid. Average net contribution to public finances by year in Denmark. MENAPT migrants are a cost at all ages.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do. (In fact, they don’t.)”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“having a larger population is good for the total size of the economy, but it’s bad (or irrelevant) for the standard of living.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“many debates over the economic impacts of immigration compare the fiscal impact or income of immigrants with natives, which is how you get charts like this one: Fiscal effects of immigration on Britain, 1995-2011. ... But since immigrants cluster in high-productivity areas, thereby driving natives away, immigrants’ incomes are artificially inflated.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“This is exactly what you’d expect from both common sense and basic economic theory. But Canada, Germany, the United States, and above all France and Britain, show the opposite pattern.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“Major League Baseball (MLB) received a commendable grade of an A because players of color (POC, a different term for non-white) comprise 38% of the league. But the National Basketball Association (NBA) received an impeccable A+ because players of color comprise 83.2% of the league.”— The Diversity Lie
“National IQ is the best predictor of economic growth and development, explaining roughly 70% of the variance in GDP per capita by itself. Combine this with the allocative benefits underlying mainstream economists’ support for immigration and the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco, and the argument for admitting high-skilled immigration is strong.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco ... European immigrants make up 12% of US immigrants, but 39% of US immigrant innovators. Meanwhile, Asian immigrants make up 31% of non-other US immigrants and 56% of non-other US immigrant innovators. ... Among the US-born, Asians are actually under represented among innovators”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Canada has some of the world’s smartest immigrants. Note, however, that the PISA tests 16 year-olds, which means the less-selective Trudeau wave is not getting picked up in these data.”— The Canadian Question
“having a larger population is good for the total size of the economy, but it’s bad (or irrelevant) for the standard of living.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Progressive initiatives to override our instincts, usually labelled under the umbrella term “anti-racism,” are not based on real world evidence. They are aspirational concepts designed to demonstrate moral superiority.”— Dead Man’s Brake
““Immigration is America’s superpower” is a common thought-terminating cliché in US political discourse. Proponents claim that the US can absorb the world’s human capital like a sponge and use it for geopolitical advantage, with many wanting more skilled immigration to “beat China”.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“The hubris lies in the belief that the United States is so incredibly amazing that every capable person on Earth wants to be an American. The lack of respect lies in the belief that immigrants and their descendants don’t have their own views on how things should be run.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“the typical mainstream economist will retreat to their last stand: abstract economic models, long-run “what-ifs”, and elegant equations where immigration magically boosts national prosperity through indirect channels. Specifically, they free up high-skilled natives to focus on more complex work, boosting economic growth through specialization of labor.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Of the 525 civilian occupations identified in Census Bureau data, only five are majority immigrant (either legal or illegal) — with just one, “manicurists and pedicurists”, exceeding 60 percent. The five majority-immigrant occupations account for only 0.6 percent of the civilian U.S. workforce. Moreover, native-born Americans still comprise 40 percent of workers in these occupations. Many occupations often thought to be overwhelmingly foreign-born are in fact majority native-born: Maids and housekeepers: 51 percent native Construction laborers: 61 percent native Home health aides: 61 percent native Landscaping workers: 66 percent native Janitors: 71 percent native”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Individuals with high IQs generate positive externalities for their fellow citizens: less criminality, more cooperation, greater trust (which leads to less demand for government regulations) and higher economic literacy. Indeed, national IQ is positively correlated with almost everything good and negatively correlated with almost everything bad. We therefore shouldn’t be surprised that it’s the single best predictor of economic growth and also an excellent predictor of socioeconomic development.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Alberto Simpser looked at various immigrant groups from Europe and their children, obtaining two key results. Second generation European immigrants clearly resemble their home countries when it comes to their tolerance towards bribery, even when controlling for many factors. And tolerance towards bribery does indeed translate into offering and taking bribes.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Ran Abramitzky and colleagues examined the labour market effects of the 1920s immigration restrictions in the U.S., and found that they caused an inflow of rural Americans into cities. How did farmers compensate for the loss of workers? They shifted toward capital-intensive agriculture—in other words, they mechanized. ... Katja Mann and Dario Pozzoli analysed changes in the share of non-Western immigrants in the local workforce across Danish municipalities. ... a one percentage point increase in the share of non-Western migrants decreases the probability of robot adoption by 12%”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“First, Martin Luther King fought and died for his people. That is why they loved him and still do. He chose to advance the interests of the African-American community by campaigning for their civil rights.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Hitchens claims that he believes there is only one race, the human race. This is not a credible position. Just as there is not one family, the human family, there is also a plurality of genetically distinct populations sometimes called races.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Ferguson is relaxed about racial changes not only because he ignores negative impacts of diversity, but also because he holds there are no functional racial differences, just superficial ones such as skin colour.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Many analysts claim, of course, that without immigration, nobody would fill many of the jobs in the United States, but this ignores the fact that the labor-force participation rate for prime-age men (especially low-skilled prime-age men) is staggeringly low.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“In both the US and the UK, ethnic minorities vote overwhelmingly for left-wing parties. At the last Presidential Election, only 26% of non-whites voted Republican. And at the last General Election, only 21% voted Conservative or Reform.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“immigrants are more supportive of immigration than are natives. According to my calculations, the difference amounts to about 0.33sd in the UK and about 0.30sd in the US.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“he scoffs at those obtuse Republicans who insist that immigrants will soon reveal their “natural conservatism” at the ballot box by voting Republican rather than Democrat.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“Increasingly, corporate think tanks are also pushing for immigration as a means to drive economic growth by boosting consumer demand, even at the cost of lower GDP per capita (Malde, 2023; Singer, 2024).”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“But is it more naïve than the Republican goal of unlimited economic and demographic growth?”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Free market conservatives will say “better.” If labor can circulate freely, it will be distributed more efficiently around the world, thus creating optimal conditions for the creation of wealth.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“the countries of the Western Bloc opened their doors to large numbers of non-Western migrants – ostensibly to address labour shortages after the war.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“Immigration advocates claim that foreigners make America richer, increase productivity and kickstart entrepreneurship. They churn out studies touting the benefits of immigration. ... repeating statistics that showcase some groups’ accomplishments can’t change the fact that other groups accomplish much less. Like talent in America, the abilities of immigrants are unequally distributed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“In 2015, the country had a centre-left government in trouble and a right-wing populist party surging in the polls, with immigration increasingly worrying voters. Downing Street is interested in how a centre-left party managed to defeat the Danish People’s Party”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“In the Electoral College, to be precise. In 2000, Bush lost narrowly in a number of northern Rust Belt states like Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, so if he had only performed three percentage points better among whites in every state, he would have cruised to an Electoral College landslide of 367 to 171 instead of squeaking to his notoriously thin edge.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“the bipartisan consensus that the only way the Republicans could possibly win another presidential election was via amnesty for illegal aliens and other immigration-boosting devices.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“One of the reasons why this is rarely considered is because immigrants are treated as not varying in any way that matters—that immigrants can be just assessed as a single analytical category. Another reason is immigrants are treated as the only humans in history who cannot make things worse. A third reason is that commerce is treated as if it is the only relevant mechanism of cooperation”— Individualism and cooperation: I
“One recurrent worry among natives is that immigrants may drag down salaries, especially at the lower end of the income distribution, possibly also increasing inequality.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Even though immigration as a whole is economically beneficial to receiving countries (Dustmann and Preston, 2019), immigrants may compete with natives for jobs.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Not only natives over-estimate the size of the immigrant community; they also believe that immigrants are poorer, less skilled, and culturally or ethnically more distant than they actually are.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Western Europe’s governments expected mass immigration to boost their economies. Instead, it produced welfare dependency, crime, terrorism and a sectarian power struggle that has permanently altered European life.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“the church must be generous to "individuals that are not able to find a way of living in their own country"”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“Selon l'Insee, en 2023, la population étrangère vivant en France s'élevait à 5,6 millions de personnes, soit 8,2% de la population totale, contre 6,5% en 1975.”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“Because clearly – the vast majority of people who entered this country did so to plug gaps in our workforce. Skills shortages across the country… Which have left our economy hopelessly reliant on immigration…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“Sectors of our economy, like engineering… Where apprenticeships have almost halved in the last decade, while visas have doubled.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“I really do believe immigration can work. I believe the liberal clichés that migrants can enrich a society, working hard and injecting dynamism and diversity into the body politic. But clearly immigration is not working in Britain today.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“We have had two lengthy ecclesial documents on the subject: the 1990 note of the Ecclesial Commission “Justice and Peace,” titled, People of Different Cultures: From Conflict to Solidarity; and the 1993 Pastoral Guidelines of the Episcopal Commission for Migration, titled, I Was a Stranger and You Welcomed Me. Both documents—very extensive and analytical—are above all (and rightly) aimed at building and spreading a “culture of welcome” in Christianity. The studies, though, lack a bit of realism”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“Nor can we sensibly expect the emergency to end quickly: it is unlikely that everything will be resolved almost autonomously, without deliberate intervention, and that tensions are on the verge of dissipating like a summer storm—which is usually short-lived and of no lasting concern.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“According to France's national statistics agency INSEE, there were some 5.6 million foreigners living in France in 2023, representing 8.2% of the overall population, compared with 6.5% in 1975.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Because clearly – the vast majority of people who entered this country did so to plug gaps in our workforce. Skills shortages across the country… Which have left our economy hopelessly reliant on immigration… 2.8 million people out of work on long-term sickness – a problem ignored, left to fester.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“I really do believe immigration can work. I believe the liberal clichés that migrants can enrich a society, working hard and injecting dynamism and diversity into the body politic... Instead of mumbling pieties about how foreign students are propping up our university system, or how the NHS runs on immigrant labour”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“even if every single Londoner who is currently not working was trained up to do these jobs we would still have a massive number of vacancies, a record number of vacancies in the health sector, in social care sector and hospitality and tech and so forth”— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
“He used the example of an aging workforce in the construction industry and the loss of EU-born workers as proof of the need for “sensible migration””— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
““the default view on the left is we need lots of migrants, I said, playing devil’s advocate, “to do the jobs we won’t do and to pay for our welfare and pensions.” “No, no, no, this is all cobblers!” “Of the last 3 million who came in from outside Europe under a Conservative government, only 20 percent are working.” “ONS (Office of National Statistics) stats.”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“To say that Los Angeles schools are in a crisis is to understate the case. More than 50 percent of the students are doing failing work at their grade level. ... the school district has been following a practice of “social promotion” for more than 20 years.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“In fact, people are the great resource, and so long as we keep our economy free, more people means more growth, the more the merrier.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Most examinations of poverty in the United States have typically focused either on how broad economic trends and social welfare policy affect the size of the population living in poverty or the socio-demographic characteristics of those in poverty. Almost no research has examined immigration's impact on the incidence of poverty in the United States.”— Importing Poverty
“Throughout this nation’s history, immigrant assimilation has always meant something more than the sum of the sorts of economic and social measures outlined above. It also has a psychological dimension. Over the course of several generations, the immigrant family typically loosens its sense of identity from the old country and binds it to the new.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“non-Germans, i.e., foreigners, are overrepresented.”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
““If you look at the locations where the police have had to deal with knife crimes in Berlin, they are spread over almost the entire urban area. There is no one hotspot,””— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“There are three underlying – often implicit – arguments that play a role in this: ‘one should not calculate the value of a human life’, ‘one should not blame the victim’ and ‘one should not play into the hands of the extreme right’. None of these three arguments makes sense upon closer consideration.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“Reading the celebrated economic theorists of the past and present one would think that marginal utility, cost-push inflation, multiplier effects, monopsonistic competition, Phillips curves and all the other economic simulacra could be applied to all humans indiscriminately.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Accompanying it is the built-in assumption that identical training produces an identically qualified workman whether he be a Japanese, Bushman, Eskimo, Wasp or Patagonian.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“No racial variables being permitted in economic equations, it is taken for granted that the world would eventually have entered a capitalistic age even if Northern Europeans and their descendants in America had never existed.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Under the old system, admission largely depended upon an immigrant's country of birth. Seventy percent of all immigrant slots were allotted to natives of just three countries — United Kingdom, Ireland and Germany — and went mostly unused, while there were long waiting lists for the small number of visas available to those born in Italy, Greece, Poland, Portugal, and elsewhere in eastern and southern Europe.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“exposes the mendacity of those who lobbied for the 1965 changes that have led to today's crisis.”— A Flawed Jewel
“the claim that Irish and Italians were more similar to 19th century American natives than today's immigrants are to us is unhistorical and anachronistic.”— A Flawed Jewel
“In Deutschland haben wir seit den 1970er-Jahren einen sehr starken Rückgang der Geburtenraten. Zugleich steigt die Lebenserwartung. Ohne Zuwanderung würde das Erwerbspersonenpotenzial bis zum Jahr 2060 um 40 Prozent zurückgehen.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“Wenn wir eine Nettozuwanderung zwischen 200.000 und 400.000 Personen pro Jahr haben, und damit ist zu rechnen, dürfte dieser Anteil bis zum Jahr 2030 auf 30 bis 40 Prozent steigen.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“"Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“But Dieter Salomon, the mayor of Freiburg warned people not to "apply perpetrator background for sweeping judgements, but to view it as an isolated incident".”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“An extensive body of research has consistently found that immigration is a huge cost to the UK Treasury - £13bn in 2014. Non-EU immigration, which is presently the fastest rising tranche of immigration, has the biggest fiscal costs.”— What is the problem?
“Migration, direct and indirect (including the children born to migrants) added around seven million people to the UK population between the 2001 and 2021 censuses - over four-fifths of total growth.”— What is the problem?
“France has become a country where “a teacher gets beheaded in front of a middle school and three persons are assassinated while praying in a church.” According to de Villiers, it will take “three, four, or five generations” to solve France’s problems with its migrant population”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“A disintegration which, along with Islamism and the suburban hordes, is leading to the detachment of many parts of the nation and transforming them into territories subject to dogmas that are contrary to our constitution.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“the deadly cocktail of a society of individuals based on openness and democracy and the arrival of entire diasporas with totally different cultural backgrounds.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“There is a virtual ban on ethnoic and religious statistics — notionally reflecting the official Republican ideology of absolute “colorblindness” since the French Revolution — meaning one is often left to speculate on the performance and status of different communities”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“first generation Maghrebi immigrant women in France have almost twice as many children as the national average. Strikingly, these rates are also significantly higher than the fertility rates in the home countries”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“the children of Afro-Muslim immigrants are two to three times more likely to not have a basic high school diploma than the children of native-born”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Second generation Afro-Muslims are then three times more likely to be unemployed than children of native-born”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Violent crime rose by about 10 percent in 2015 and 2016, a study showed. It attributed more than 90 percent of that to young male refugees.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“"The situation is completely different for those who find out as soon as they arrive that they are totally undesirable here. No chance of working, of staying here," Pfeiffer said.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“the native-born accounted for the vast majority of growth in the working-age population (age 16 to 65) in Texas. Thus, they should have received the lion’s share of the increase in employment.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“Immigrants took jobs across the educational distribution. More than one out three (97,000) of newly arrived immigrants who took a job had at least some college.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“The key mistake that economists make is they treat immigration as fundamentally an economic issue... Immigrants simply are not interchangeable “economic agents”. Their cultural distance from the receiving society—and the norms and rules its institutions are based on—matters.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“part of the problem is Samuelsonian “social physics” Economics with humans as interchangeable “economic particles”.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“Not enough police officer were on the ground at Cologne main train station and at the plaza in front of Cologne Cathedral where the attacks took place. Police also failed to request adequate backup when the situation escalated.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Because many perpetrators were allegedly of North African or Middle Eastern descent, anti-immigration activists used the Cologne attacks to justify anti-refugee policy proposals.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“immigration had a positive and significant effect between +1.7 to +2.6% on wages of less educated native workers over the period 2000-2019”— Immigrations Effect on US Wages and Employment Redux
“Studies have found that the net fiscal impact of European immigrants overall is more likely to be positive, while that of non-European migrants overall is more likely to be negative.”— The Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the UK
“First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S.”— The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration
“The chart shows that on four questions having to do with crime, the economy, and immigration, voters preferring Kamala Harris answered far more accurately than voters preferring Donald Trump.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“Oftentimes, when we’re faced with these sorts of questions, we use heuristics to answer.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“es contrario a la evidencia negar su mayor propensión estadística al delito.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“la propensión al homicidio es mucho mayor entre los extranjeros.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“But this rests on the assumption that the adjustments occur within the places being measured. If wages in a given city do not fall, the reasoning goes, then the labor market has absorbed the shock and no meaningful harm has occurred.”— Moving Targets
“The famous Mariel Boatlift—the influx of Cuban refugees to Miami in the 1980s—is an oft-cited case study by pro-immigration advocates as evidence that immigration doesn’t hurt native wages. But in reality, it is yet another example where native outflows hid the wage impact”— Moving Targets
“the integration of non-Western migrants into advanced European welfare states was only a matter of time, sufficient state expenditure, and appropriate social programming.”— State-Financed Rape
“This data entirely shatters the conventional progressive argument that immigration, irrespective of origin, is an inherent net positive for the economy and society.”— State-Financed Rape
“Diversity, equity, and inclusion never aimed at demographic proportionality. Leadership announced a preference: more non-white members, fewer white members.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
““residents are more tolerant towards cultural minorities in high trusting societies, liberal democracies, prosperous nations and in non-postcommunist societies” (Reeskens, 2012, p. 17).”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?
“Those who are confident in the government’s capacity to manage potential security risks, are less likely to support restrictive policy preferences despite their security concerns.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

The assumption spread through mainstream economic commentary in the United States where figures such as Noah Smith and Scott Sumner offered straightforward declarations that immigration is good. These statements were amplified by social-status incentives that discounted the experiences of working-class residents who bore concentrated costs. The pattern turned a policy debate into a marker of sophistication. [1]

Neoliberal ideas after the Cold War traveled through elite coordination in bodies such as the EU and WTO. The logic prioritized economic integration and treated national democratic preferences as secondary. Dani Rodrik’s trilemma was cited by critics who saw the shift as sacrificing self-government for smoother capital and labor flows. [3]

Centrist-liberal outlets including The Times, The Guardian, The Economist, The New York Times and Vox published articles asserting that immigration is good for the economy. Selective success stories, such as immigrant founders of Fortune 500 companies, were generalized beyond their original high-skilled context. The coverage rarely examined fiscal balances by education or origin. [9]

Libertarian think tanks such as the Cato Institute and the Niskanen Center defended low-skilled immigration in public statements and social-media exchanges. A 2022 tweet by Matt Darling calling skepticism the worst economic reasoning he had seen received nearly five thousand likes. The exchanges helped keep the assumption alive inside professional networks even as European data accumulated. [11]

Supporting Quotes (155)
“The fact they think these are sensible statements to make tells us exactly how economists get immigration wrong.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“particularly discounts the claims of anyone who suffers disproportionately from the costs of immigration. As that is very much the resident working class—a group whose views and experiences economists rarely have to grapple with, and who they have social-status reasons to discount”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“If folk are told that “if you believe in markets, you have to support (high levels of) immigration” then many folk will respond with “OK, I reject markets”. Moreover, it is simply false that market economics entails that mass immigration is a good thing.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The lump-of-labour fallacy then stops being an act of careful analysis and becomes a signalling device—we are so clever and understand what you yokels don’t.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Globalisation sought economic integration, so sacrificed nation-state economic self-determination. Yet democracy only operated at the nation-state level. ... there was increased international elite coordination and a notable shift of policy away from popular preferences, especially on immigration.”— Where do we go from here?
“In the UK, there was active replacement of democratic feedback by devolving policy to quangoes and elevation of human rights legislation (which elevated judicial decision-making over democratic feedback). This was, however, an extreme version of a more general pattern of common integrative policy via international bodies and the administrative state.”— Where do we go from here?
“Economist Arnold Kling is correct: economics should be the study of human interdependence, which is why countries and communities as just-places-where-transactions-happen is such an inadequate basis for analysis.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“Then we get what has become a boilerplate misdirection: Britain is a country of immigration and of emigration Yes, there has been a lot of emigration from Britain, especially after the development of railways and steamships in the 1820s. Nevertheless, Britain has a long history with a very stable population, with incoming groups being small as a proportion of the population.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“This shows what ridiculous nonsense open-border economics is. People are not interchangeable widgets.”— The failure of economists...
“Unlike high-skilled immigration, low-skilled immigration is extremely unpopular.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“This approach has been explicitly endorsed by multiple pro-immigration intellectuals, such as Tyler Cowen, Alec Stapp, Noah Smith, and Matthew Yglesias, and is analogous to proposals to remove country caps on employment visas”— The Canadian Question
“Centrist-liberal commentators are fond of telling us, often in a distinctly exasperated tone, that “immigration is good for the economy”.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do. (In fact, they don’t.)”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“in a tweet that got nearly 5,000 likes”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The Cato Institute’s Alex Nowrasteh said this was “very confused”. And Matt Darling of the Niskanen Center called it”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Hanania, Caplan and other advocates of mass immigration aren’t the first to make this sort of argument. In fact, it’s a talking point that’s been repeated dozens of times. Ask any economist why mass immigration is good for a country...”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“(in a tweet that got nearly 5,000 likes).”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“I am not the first, the tenth, or even the hundredth person to notice this. From a 1999 New York Times article titled ‘A Patel Motel Cartel?’”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“one wealthy and disproportionately influential faction has consistently and publicly advocated for increasing high-skilled immigration, to the point that Trump himself has endorsed giving green cards to all foreign students.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“the ethnic background of these immigrants is rarely mentioned in public debates. Asserting that European immigrants, rather than immigrants in general, have a disproportionately positive impact can be risky indeed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“Peri, G. 2016. “Immigrants, Productivity, and Labor Markets.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 30 (4): 3–30.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“Canada, alongside several other countries, has also elected to increase the rate of immigration to increase the size of the labor force immediately in the short term and to moderate the impact of population aging in the longer term.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“Former President Bill Clinton has suggesting that in order to grow the economy, the United States requires more migrants to counterbalance the nation's historically low birth rate.”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“As politicians may cater to these fears it will be even more important to bring solid economic consideration, rather than ideology, to the center of the debate.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“This results in 0.8 percentage point lower growth of the prime-age labor force compared with January projections by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“Listen to Dollar & Sense on Apple, Spotify, Google, or wherever you like to get podcasts.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Immigration Impact Index Immigrants & Immigration Immigration Impact Index”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Hi, I’m David Dollar, host of the Brookings trade podcast Dollar and Sense. As we celebrate America’s birthday, an important topic for discussion is immigration.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Chairman Whitehouse, Ranking Member Grassley, and distinguished members of the Committee, thank you for the opportunity to testify.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Straight-talking and full of common sense, The Immigrant Superpower stands in sharp contrast to the wholly dysfunctional debate about immigration in the United States.”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Makes the case that immigration has always been-- and will continue to be--central to America's economic power and national security”— The Immigrant Superpower
“The debate about the fiscal consequences of unlawful and low-skill immigration is hampered by a number of misconceptions. Few lawmakers really understand the current size of government and the scope of redistribution.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“cities have largely benefited from an increasingly globalized, knowledge-based economy powered by immigration”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“David Card announced that immigration must not lower wages”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
“The most disturbing aspect of the case that he has mentioned, which was reported yesterday, is the fact that we are being gaslit by the media. Those two Afghani boat arrivals were described as being from Leamington—they are not from Leamington.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“The study is detailed in a working paper released by the National Bureau of Economic Research.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“An analysis of U.S. Census data by SIEPR Senior Fellow Ran Abramitzky and his collaborators shows immigrants have had similar or lower incarceration rates than white U.S.-born men for the last 140 years of American history.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“Crime rates among undocumented immigrants are just a fraction of those of their U.S.-born neighbors, according to a first-of-its-kind analysis of Texas arrest and conviction records.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
““The conversation about undocumented immigration should be informed by the best empirical evidence,” he says. “If somebody says we know undocumented immigrants increase the crime rate, well, I’d say the weight of evidence is not in their favor.””— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“Despite harsh anti-immigrant rhetoric in some red states, such as Texas and Florida, these states depend on Latino immigrant workers at rates comparable to blue states, like California and New York.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“The Catalyst believes that ideas matter. We aim to stimulate debate on the most important issues of the day”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“This brief was made possible with the generous support of the James Irvine Foundation.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Latino immigrants in the U.S. and across the ten states with the largest Latino immigrant populations have higher labor force participation rates than the overall rates for the state’s population”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“The current U.S. immigration surge is unprecedented. The influx flew under the radar for some time... this year’s Congressional Budget Office (CBO) budget and economic outlook brought new attention”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Findings from the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) suggest immigration policy changes will negatively affect the ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers at about 20 percent of Texas businesses this year.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Academic and intellectual voices of this view came from cornucopian economists, such as Julian Simon; researchers in California and Texas universities and think tanks with strong sentimental or ethnic ties to Mexico; and prestigious liberal policy analysis groups such as California's Rand Corporation and the Washington-based Urban Institute (UI) and Carnegie Endowment.”— The Costs of Immigration
“the approximately 20 million noncitizens in the census — legal and illegal, temporary and permanent”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“Drafts were handed out in summer 2000 only with extreme reluctance: there was a paranoia about it reaching the media. [...] Ministers were very nervous about the whole thing. [...] there was a reluctance elsewhere in government to discuss what increased immigration would mean, above all for Labour's core white working-class vote.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“As a result, the public argument for immigration concentrated instead on the economic benefits and need for more migrants.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“In his naming his choices to lead the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the State Department, Biden has established a tone that is distinctly anti-Trump and pro-mass immigration.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Have scholars reached a consensus that immigration has no downsides for the United States? Listening to advocates and their allied media, one might assume so.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“The academic research on the employment effects of immigration is vast, with a variety of approaches and varying results. But broad studies of the literature have consistently found no, or at most very small, negative short-term effects on prevailing wages.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“this consensus cuts not only across political, but also methodological lines, with classical liberal, neo-classical, Chicago school, Austrian, and even some Keynesian economists agreeing”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“It is ironic that half of the public in the free world, including America, the land of immigrants, sides not with free-market economists like Adam Smith and Ludwig von Mises-but with Marx, the father of socialism.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“There is now a wealth of empirical evidence to support the basic contention that economic incentives do matter for criminal activity.”— Crime and immigration
“a large cross-country opinion poll conducted by the German Marshall Fund of the United States found similar percentages of natives who thought that immigrants increased crime”— Crime and immigration
“a recent paper refers to “numerous studies” confirming that voters prefer high-skilled migrants. As the authors note, the preference for such migrants appears to be be a “universal trend.””— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Listening to advocates and their allied media, one might assume so. Vox once ran this headline: “There's no evidence that immigrants hurt any American workers”. The Cato Institute similarly claims “there is no evidence that immigrants weaken or undermine American economic, political, or cultural institutions”. A writer for Forbes has declared that immigration restrictionists “are on the wrong side of history and the wrong side of social science”.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“as a recent Swedish conservative Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt put it, only ‘barbarism’ comes from countries like his whereas only good things come from outside.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“even in 2015, at the height of the migration crisis, it was speech and thought that was constricted. At the peak of the crisis in September 2015 Chancellor Merkel of Germany asked the Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, what could be done to stop European citizens writing criticisms of her migration policy on Facebook.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“The problem is that Europe, by dismissing Western foundations and concentrating on vague concepts such as ‘respect’, ‘tolerance’ and ‘diversity’, is a hollow shell.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Nowrasteh asserts without evidence that “nativists” who complain about brain drain are engaged in “concern trolling””— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“Yet according to Smith, “the literature pretty strongly supports the “brain gain” idea” (the idea that high-skilled emigration is a net positive for human capital in the origin country).”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Some economists maintain that skilled migration is actually good for sending countries, but their arguments aren’t convincing”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“EU officials suggested fast-tracking visas for highly qualified Russians in order to “accelerate Russian economic brain drain” and thereby weaken Putin’s regime.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The number of Albanians residing in British prisons was in the news last year.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“The only type of immigration that’s relatively benign from pretty much everyone’s point of view is immigration between advanced Western countries. But of course, that’s the type that’s least appealing to left-wing activists.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Backlash regarding the criminality of undocumented immigrants is at the fore of this controversy and has led to immigration reforms and public policies intended to reduce the crimes associated with undocumented immigration (2).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“Among the most widely utilized crime data sources, neither the Uniform Crime Reports, the National Crime Victimization Survey, nor the National Incident-Based Reporting System record information about immigration status.”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“A large body of evidence reveals that, contrary to what many Americans believe, immigrants are much less likely to commit crimes than the native-born.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“This finding about immigrants’ lower rates of crime appears to apply over decades and to all racial and ethnic groups of immigrants.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“the presumptive link between unauthorized immigration and violent crime has become a core assertion in the anti-immigration narrative in public, political, and media discourse (Chavez, 2008) and has been at the center of some of the most contentious immigration-reform policies in recent years (e.g., Arizona SB 1070, 2010).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“The acid test is which way people move. Moving shows a revealed preference for the destination over the source from the people who know the circumstances of their own lives best.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“the propensity for immigrants, and especially Latinos, to be swing voters has been greatly exaggerated by wishful-thinking Republican politicians and business-seeking pollsters”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“Illegal immigration has become a defining issue of the 2024 presidential election. Consequently, accusations about our border, immigration process, and immigrants themselves have spread like wildfire across social media and news networks. The latest accusation gaining traction is that Democrats want high levels of illegal immigration because of its effect on the census, congressional apportionment, and electoral college votes. This idea occupied the fringes of the immigration debate until it became a focal point of X CEO, Elon Musk, who has promoted this view on social media.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“how mainstream American commentary on immigration ignores European experience and the European debates over immigration. This is not a pattern one sees elsewhere.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“one of the uses of “diversity is our strength” is to sort the good people—who endorse diversity is our strength—from the bad people, who disagree or raise awkward questions.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“Lots of folk have also pointed out that the diversity-is-our-strength folk are very much against noticing any inconveniently substantive diversity between groups.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“If the respectable people insist “yes, but more gains from trade” is an adequate response, and that other concerns are not legitimate, this will almost certainly be taken as the contemptuous dismissal it is.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The lump-of-labour fallacy then stops being an act of careful analysis and becomes a signalling device—we are so clever and understand what you yokels don’t.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“such a policy does, however, benefit the welfare apparat itself by increasing demand for its services.”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“While not based on the same comparative advantage logic as free trade—though it analytically rhymed somewhat—immigration rhetorically naturally melded with it. ... there was a sharp shift towards institutional globalisation after the end of the anti-Soviet Cold War. ... a notable shift of policy away from popular preferences, especially on immigration.”— Where do we go from here?
“When you import people into a polity, that affects the dynamics of every aspect of the polity. You may be thinking you are importing workers, but that means you are importing people.”— The failure of economists...
““we need immigration to compensate for the low birth rate” is a common refrain. Those pushing this line rarely list the problems of population decline that immigration supposedly solves.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“Centrist-liberal commentators are fond of telling us, often in a distinctly exasperated tone, that “immigration is good for the economy”. If you haven’t come across such a pronouncement recently, here are 16 examples taken from articles in the Times, Guardian, Telegraph, Economist, New York Times, Washington Post, Atlantic, Huff Post, Vox, Reason and Politico:”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“internal migration of natives “diffuses the impact of immigration from the affected local labor markets to the national economy” (Borjas and Edo, 2022). This applies to housing prices too: much-touted papers finding that immigration has little effect on local wages or housing prices are distorted by the fact that internal migration spreads these effects over the entire economy.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“Elites laud it, claiming that it is a great strength, a force for creativity, dynamism, and moral progress. And its mere invocation often ends debate, for who but the wicked, the fearful, or the ignorant could possibly oppose diversity?”— The Diversity Lie
“When asked, 71% of Trump supporters want to increase high-skilled immigration to the United States. This isn’t a priority for most of Trump’s coalition, but one wealthy and disproportionately influential faction has consistently and publicly advocated for increasing high-skilled immigration, to the point that Trump himself has endorsed giving green cards to all foreign students. This faction is the libertarian-adjacent tech-right”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Combine this with the allocative benefits underlying mainstream economists’ support for immigration”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“analogous to proposals to remove country caps on employment visas, grant more H1-B temporary visas, and staple green cards to college diplomas in the US.”— The Canadian Question
“Centrist-liberal commentators are fond of telling us, often in a distinctly exasperated tone, that “immigration is good for the economy”. If you haven’t come across such a pronouncement recently, here are 16 examples taken from articles in the Times, Guardian, Telegraph, Economist, New York Times, Washington Post, Atlantic, Huff Post, Vox, Reason and Politico:”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“The short answer is propaganda, the means by which Western Liberalism operates. Hard marketing is used to persuade the public to accept things our societal masters wish to pursue, with just enough visible punishment and social consequences for transgressors to get the message.”— Dead Man’s Brake
““Immigration is America’s superpower” is a common thought-terminating cliché in US political discourse [1][2][3][4]. Proponents claim that the US can absorb the world’s human capital like a sponge and use it for geopolitical advantage, with many wanting more skilled immigration to “beat China” [1][2][3][4].”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“Ask any economist why mass immigration is good for a country, and if they’re honest they’ll admit the fiscal impact is mixed and “it’s complicated”. Once you start getting into all the other issues like individual versus household level accounting, the cost of housing in cities, negative effects on wages, conflating GDP growth with economic gains to natives and country-of-origin effects, the typical mainstream economist will retreat to their last stand: abstract economic models... Hanania, Caplan and other advocates of mass immigration aren’t the first to make this sort of argument. In fact, it’s a talking point that’s been repeated dozens of times.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Similar views crop up in politics, the media and academia, because they are common among leftist journalists and influential conservatives. The latter include, in Australia, John Howard, Andrew Bolt and Tony Abbott; in the United States Victor Davis Hanson, Tucker Carlson, Ayaan Hirsi Ali and her British husband Sir Niall Ferguson; and in Britain David Starkey and Nigel Farage.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“When the Great Resignation ended, immigration boomed, and the market cooled. (As the Kansas City Fed confirmed, this was a purposeful and desired outcome.)”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“the growing consensus among wonks, left-wing economists and others is that Americans just didn’t understand that their economy was doing well, or that they were more worried about inflation than unemployment.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“mass immigration is arguably still the “mystic chord that unites America’s ruling and intellectual classes”, to use Anton’s words.”— Winning the argument on immigration
““the other guys” (by which I mean left-wing parties) will always be tempted to “elect a new people” by bringing in migrants to bolster their electoral coalition.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“My older self would now add that politicians are “selected” to think this way; a successful career depends on getting money from corporate donors who strongly feel this issue doesn’t matter, at least not to voters.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“It’s difficult to say because bribery – and there is really no other word – can take many forms, and the actual payout may occur long after. For instance, the payout may take the form of generous speaking fees (Murse, 2020), inflated prices for paintings (Viser, 2024) or cushy jobs for ex-politicians (Wikipedia, 2024).”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Such migration flows then accelerated when the Cold War ended. In fact, in England’s 1991 census, the two main Muslim groups (Pakistanis and Bangladeshis) comprised just 1.3% of the population.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“The evidence that some immigrants boost economic growth and innovation is substantial. Yet the ethnic background of these immigrants is rarely mentioned in public debates. Asserting that European immigrants, rather than immigrants in general, have a disproportionately positive impact can be risky indeed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“But some in her party are against going down the Danish route, with one left-wing Labour MP saying it was too “hardcore” and contained echoes of the far right.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“By Sailer’s lights, this meant that Republicans should drop their disingenuous platitudes and campaign openly as a white-identity party.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“Sailer and other far-right heretics, many of whom Buckley had banished to the fringes of the movement years earlier, now reconvened online. They built their own publications (The American Conservative, Taki’s Magazine, VDARE), and promoted them using new tools such as WordPress and Twitter and Reddit.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“Conventional centre-right politicians have, again and again, taken their cue from economists and treated immigration as an economic issue—when it is so much a cultural one. This is why such politicians have, again and again, proved to be incompetent at cultural politics and been pushed aside by national populists.”— Individualism and cooperation: I
“One explanation for why natives hold distorted views is that the media and political entrepreneurs shape voters’ beliefs by increasing the salience of immigration and the fear of diversity, in order to gain political support.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“at least in recent times, anti-immigration sentiments are channeled towards support for right-wing parties. Since voters most likely to suffer from immigrants’ competition are unskilled, and because right-wing parties have historically been associated with lower redistribution, this pattern cannot be reconciled with a simple economic story”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“The only conspiracy Mr. Camus sees in Europe’s tragedy is a conspiracy of silence about what he called the “disaster”—the mass immigration of Muslims, Arabs and Africans with adverse social consequences that no one wants to admit, let alone address.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“Burke's comments are the latest addition to a debate among Catholics regarding the application of Gospel precepts to the large numbers of migrants arriving in Western nations from Africa and the Middle East.”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“L'expression "submersion migratoire" étant une référence de l'extrême droite, utilisée par Marine Le Pen et Eric Zemmour lors de l'élection présidentielle de 2022”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“Brexit was used for that purpose… To turn Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders… Global Britain – remember that slogan…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“Instead of mumbling pieties about how foreign students are propping up our university system, or how the NHS runs on immigrant labour, it is time to acknowledge that the system is fundamentally broken and needs a complete overhaul.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“The general exaltation of solidarity and of the primacy of evangelical charity—which in themselves and in principle are legitimate and even necessary—show themselves to be more generous than useful when they fail to reckon with the complexity of the problem and the harshness of reality.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“The left-wing opposition, meanwhile, accused Bayrou of spreading far-right ideas, and centrist allies have also criticized him.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Policies were reformed… Deliberately … To liberalise immigration. Brexit was used for that purpose… To turn Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders… Global Britain – remember that slogan…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“Nor can one simply dismiss as bigots those who argue that migration of this speed and scale represents a threat to the character and culture of our country. According to YouGov, 68 per cent of people think net migration has been “too high” over the past decade”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“Speaking to Channel 4 News, he said: “I’ve no hesitation in saying we need more migrants in London”.”— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
““the default view on the left is we need lots of migrants... to do the jobs we won’t do and to pay for our welfare and pensions.””— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“Many on the left and in the media brand as “far right” the protesters outside the hotels where asylum seekers are housed at the taxpayer’s expense, but most are just local people at their wits’ end, and many women. Their makeshift, handwritten placards betray the spontaneous nature of their protests... “STOP CALLING US FAR RIGHT. PROTECT OUR WOMEN AND CHILDREN.””— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“If an old-stock American had said any of these things, the media would have branded him a paranoid, xenophobic bigot.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“Our greatest heresy is that we believe in people as the great resource of our land.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Almost no research has examined immigration's impact on the incidence of poverty in the United States.”— Importing Poverty
“It is too soon to tell if this process will play out for today’s Hispanic immigrants and their offspring in the same way it did for the European immigrants of the 19th and early 20th centuries.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
““The established parties deny the link between immigration and everyday knife crime, although the facts refute these claims,””— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“Country of origin is personal data that, “in accordance with the principles of the rule of law, is not relevant to most policy areas,” says Dijkhoff.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“Modern anthropology lies about race. Sociology derides it. Psychology underrates it. But economics ostracizes it.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Proponents repeatedly denied that the law would lead to a huge and sustained increase in the number of newcomers and become a vehicle for globalizing immigration.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“breathless claims by neo-conservatives and others that America is merely an idea rather than a nation”— A Flawed Jewel
“nach Ihrer Einschätzung braucht Deutschland jedes Jahr bis zu 400.000 Einwanderer, damit die Wirtschaft wettbewerbsfähig bleibt.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“Wir wissen aus unserer Forschung, dass die soziale Integration zwischen deutscher und ausländischer Bevölkerung erstaunlich gut funktioniert.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“Martin Schulz hielt die Heidelberger Hochschulrede”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“But Dieter Salomon, the mayor of Freiburg warned people not to "apply perpetrator background for sweeping judgements, but to view it as an isolated incident".”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“Politicians’ repeated promises to reduce and control immigration have been blatantly abandoned and betrayed, harming voter trust and democracy itself.”— What is the problem?
“French authorities now talk of the need for a “Republican Reconquista” in “districts lost by the Republic,” which are districts and cities inhabited by immigrants or their descendants.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“While the publication of the open letter from the generals was initially met with silence in the mainstream media and among the political class”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
““It is worth pointing out, first of all, that isolated riots have been commonplace for 40 years, in every corner of the country, under the technocratic label of ‘urban violence,'” goes on the former DGSE director, noting things have evolved “to the point where no one pays any attention to them anymore, as if they were part of the landscape.””— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“Discussion of ethnicity is barren in France compared to the United States. There is a virtual ban on ethnoic and religious statistics”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“economic elites demand low-wage immigrant labor to stop companies from bleeding out of the country through offshoring”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Young male refugees in Germany got the blame on Wednesday for most of a two-year increase in violent crime, adding fuel to the country's political debate over migrants.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“Most of the debate over the state’s job growth has focused on what types of jobs have been created. The extent to which foreign-born or immigrant workers vs. native-born workers benefited from increased employment in the state has received little attention.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“most mainstream economists and economic commentators—particularly in the US—have clearly decided that disagreeing with mainstream economists (especially on immigration) is a sign of irrationality (and probably moral inadequacy). This mixes American parochialism—ignoring European experience and debates—with academic arrogance.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“a large part of Western elite cluelessness about immigration is from the adoption by so much of mainstream media of the Pravda-media-model—of being in the business of selling narratives of righteousness”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“Unlike earlier drafts, the final report does not address whether mistakes were made by the NRW state administration or Chancellor Angela Merkel's federal cabinet.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Whether police failed to adequately brief Jäger had been hotly debated in Germany. The state interior minister insisted he did not know about the magnitude of the attacks when media first reported them in early January.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“There’s a chart being passed around with much smugness and exasperation by folks who are upset Trump got elected.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“a growing insurgency within social and political psychology has begun to argue, credibly, that a version of this has been going on for decades — only the other way around.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“el eventual nexo entre inmigración y delincuencia, y la denominada «violencia de género», han generado una gran controversia en los últimos años, y están presentes en el actual debate político.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“The problem is that the dominant models used in this literature rest on an incomplete account of how labor markets actually adjust.”— Moving Targets
“an oft-cited case study by pro-immigration advocates as evidence that immigration doesn’t hurt native wages.”— Moving Targets
“Bureaucracies often obscure immigrant crime statistics by conflating citizenship with national origin, while political leaders frequently cite concerns over social cohesion or accusations of prejudice as justifications for restricting public access to demographic data.”— State-Financed Rape
“Say it on television and you became a pariah. Post it online and platforms erased you. ... Corporate press treats the project as enlightened policy.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“When 1,245 South Koreans were interviewed for the World Values Survey between 2017 and 2020, a slight majority said they favored a liberal immigration policy.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

The UK government published a 2001 policy paper that portrayed migration as welfare-improving for natives provided markets functioned reasonably well. The document cited intangible benefits such as entrepreneurialism and diversity. It became a template for later Labour and Conservative approaches that steadily raised inflows. [4]

Canada’s Liberal government after 2015 doubled then more than doubled permanent immigration targets and expanded temporary student visas. The policy assumed selective inflows would support growth and ease demographic pressure. By 2024 the same government announced reductions in both permanent and temporary streams after public backlash and visible strain on housing and services. [8][18]

The United States maintained and expanded the H-1B visa program on the premise that it filled genuine skill gaps. Critics documented cases in which the visas were used to import workers willing to accept lower wages and weaker conditions than domestic counterparts. The program continued to grow despite ongoing debate over its net effects. [2]

European governments, including the Netherlands, permitted large-scale non-EEA inflows and asylum admissions between 1995 and 2020. A government-commissioned study later calculated a net fiscal cost of €400 billion, with individual asylum seekers averaging €475,000 over their lifetimes. The figures stood in tension with earlier claims of unambiguous economic gain. [16]

Supporting Quotes (119)
“The most appalling example of this... has been the serial failure to enforce basic laws, due to “anti-racism”, interacting with Islam’s legitimation of rape, thereby creating a Muslim “grooming gang” problem across multiple decades.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“For instance, potentially using US H1B visas to bring in entry-level employees who will work for less, and in worse conditions, than the locals.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Capital controls were wound back or abolished, fostering global integration of capital markets. ... Trade protection was wound back, with trade becoming much freer.”— Where do we go from here?
“In 1993, the European Economic Community (EEC) became the European Union. In 1995, the GATT became the WTO. There was a sharp shift towards institutional globalisation after the end of the anti-Soviet Cold War.”— Where do we go from here?
“If all markets are functioning well, there are no externalities, and if we are not concerned about the distributional implications, then migration is welfare-improving, not only for migrants, but (on average) for natives.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“Britain bringing in low-skill migrants who are a net drain on the fisc while driving away the young and the talented makes its fiscal and GDP position worse.”— The failure of economists...
“Trudeau doubled this already high level to the extreme level of half a million per year. ... to 1.25 million per year (about ten times the US immigration levels).”— The Canadian Question
“I was referring to the long run impact of less skilled immigrants who permanently settle in another country.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“I was referring to the long run impact of less skilled immigrants who permanently settle in another country.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Patel motel owners were able to use informal ethnic loan networks and immigrant family labor brought in via family reunification to undercut their American competitors.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“The Cambodian donut empire got its start with refugee Ted Ngoy, who first learned the trade thanks to an affirmative action program to increase minority hiring at Winchell’s Donuts.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“Britain, Australia, and Canada have all grown more slowly than the United States since the 2008 financial crisis. And all three have embraced a policy of enormous amounts (far more, per capita, than the United States) of skilled, legal immigration, particularly from China and South Asia.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“immigrants from outside the European Economic Area are a net cost. [...] Nearly fifty percent of households headed by Ghanaians and Jamaican immigrants in London are in social housing.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“A rigorous study by researchers associated with the University of Amsterdam estimates that from 1995–2020, the Dutch government spent €‎400 billion net on immigration. Even more startlingly, asylum seekers cost the government €‎475,000 per person.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“From a policy standpoint, this means increasing the number of immigrants allowed, reducing other constraints on immigration, and planning for future inflows.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“Since the 19th century, Canada has looked to immigration as a tool to help address its demographic challenges... to compensate for falling fertility.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“In 2024, the minister of immigration, refugees, and citizenship announced significant reductions in permanent and temporary immigration to Canada over the next three years.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“More open and work-oriented immigration policies would allow European countries to attenuate the economic consequences of ageing and their population decline.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“Accounting for immigration and adjusting our 2025 NIM projections by 285,000 deportations, we estimate that foreign-born workers will add 0.1 percentage point to prime-age labor force growth in 2025.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“Together with co-author Tara Watson, Edelberg proposes a way to redirect some of the federal gains to these communities, piggy-backing on existing programs.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Together with co-author Tara Watson, Edelberg proposes a way to redirect some of the federal gains to these communities, piggy-backing on existing programs.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) found in 2013 that comprehensive immigration reform would have “a net savings of about $175 billion over the 2014–2023 period” and “would decrease federal budget deficits by about $700 billion (or 0.2 percent of total output) over the 2024–2033 period.””— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Amnesty for unlawful immigrants can pose large fiscal costs for U.S. taxpayers including public education, welfare benefits, and other benefits and services. If enacted, amnesty would be implemented in phases. During the first or interim phase (which is likely to last 13 years), unlawful immigrants would be given lawful status but would be denied access to means-tested welfare and Obamacare.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Means-tested welfare benefits. There are over 80 of these programs which, at a cost of nearly $900 billion per year, provide cash, food, housing, medical, and other services to roughly 100 million low-income Americans. Public education. At a cost of $12,300 per pupil per year, these services are largely free or heavily subsidized for low-income parents.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“These are men who should never have been in our country to begin with. They should have been detained, and they should have been deported, indiscriminately and without question. They were not: they were housed, fed and cared for at taxpayer expense. They were released on to our streets and allowed to roam freely—thousands and thousands of them, unvetted foreign men from barbaric cultures.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“Given the recent escalation in immigration enforcement activities affecting Latino noncitizens, including those with lawful residency, these workers remain particularly vulnerable to policy shifts and economic disruptions.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Mechanisms can be found to benefit from immigration’s gains while making up for the losses of some workers. International trade has similar effects, and workers adversely affected by trade are eligible for federal programs such as Trade Adjustment Assistance.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Despite harsh anti-immigrant rhetoric in some red states, such as Texas and Florida, these states depend on Latino immigrant workers at rates comparable to blue states”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“During the pandemic and until May 2023, some of these migrants... were immediately expelled under a provision known as Title 42... the U.S. government to expand programs such as humanitarian parole for those nations’ natives... 58 percent of encounters resulted in migrants released or paroled into the interior”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Potential changes in U.S. immigration policy, such as the Biden administration’s recent executive action limiting the entry of some migrants”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Between 2021 and 2024, at least 4 million immigrants were granted work permits as part of their humanitarian parole or asylum seeker status. Additionally, almost 1.3 million immigrants had temporary protected status, which includes work authorization, in early 2025.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“rising fiscal costs of increasingly dependent and less-educated flows of immigrants entering in larger numbers through the non-job-related family reunification, humanitarian and illegal channels.”— The Costs of Immigration
“apportionment and redistricting. Representatives in Congress are apportioned among the states according to their total populations, not their total number of U.S. citizens.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“from 1971 onwards, only foreigners joining relatives already in the UK had been permitted to settle here. [...] Even now, most graduates with good English and a salary of £40,000 or the local equivalent abroad are more or less guaranteed enough points to settle here.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“The "deliberate policy", from late 2000 until "at least February last year", when the new points based system was introduced, was to open up the UK to mass migration”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“It was there that helped facilitate the implementation of DACA. As the leader at DHS, Mayorkas is certain to support Biden’s push to broaden the DACA pool into the millions of illegal immigrants.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“Because public schools are required to provide education to all children regardless of immigration status, there is a net cost to state and local government budgets.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Adam Smith opposed mercantilist restrictions not just on capital, but on labor as well.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“Making sure that immigrants are able to legally find work appears to significantly reduce their criminal activity.”— Crime and immigration
“At the peak of the crisis in September 2015 Chancellor Merkel of Germany asked the Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, what could be done to stop European citizens writing criticisms of her migration policy on Facebook.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“Murray is sympathetic to the moral challenge faced by European leaders raised by the 2015 refugee crisis. It is natural to feel empathy for hundreds of thousands of desperate people knocking on your door.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Putting them up against ever more of the cleverest and most ambitious of four billion Asians”— Steve Sailer: Still noticing after all these years
“brain drain is a “bad argument for closed borders”.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“some have been actively recruited through state-sponsored programs in francophone parts of Canada. One of the world’s richest countries is poaching nurses and doctors from one of the world’s poorest. In fact, Haiti consistently features on the WHO Safeguard List of countries facing a critical shortage of healthcare workers.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“And in fact, the British and Albanian governments recently made a deal under which hundreds of Albanian convicts will be sent home to serve out the rest of their sentences.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“in light of the substantial enforcement initiatives implemented under Presidents Obama and Trump to decrease the burden of immigrant crime (4,5).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“the US solicitor general sought to invalidate California’s “sanctuary” policies because “[w]hen officers are unable to arrest aliens—often criminal aliens—who are in removal proceedings or have been ordered removed from the United States, those aliens instead return to the community, where criminal aliens are disproportionately likely to commit crimes"”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“e.g., Arizona SB 1070, 2010."”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“Between 1986 and 2008, the number of U.S. Border Patrol officers increased 5-fold while the budget for border enforcement increased 20-fold (Massey, Pren, and Durand, 2016).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“states that Trump won in both 2016 and 2020 received 4.09 million immigrants between 2010 and 2023. (28.2/1,000 people).”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“if legal immigration levels remain at the current levels of over one million a year, it will likely continue to undermine Republicans' political prospects moving forward. Further, if the substantial increases in legal immigration in Senate's Gang of Eight bill (S.744) were to become law it would accelerate this process.”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“In Franklin v. Massachusetts (1992), the Supreme Court ruled that “persons in each State” referred to every individual living in a state on the census date, regardless of their legal status. In Evenwel v. Abbott (2016), the court explicitly stated that apportionment in the House must reflect every member of the community at large. Consequently, when Donald Trump and fellow Republicans tried to exclude undocumented immigrants from the census count, they failed and drew condemnation from the Supreme Court.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“The most appalling example of this—and the most egregious example of “Broken Britain”—has been the serial failure to enforce basic laws, due to “anti-racism", interacting with Islam’s legitimation of rape, thereby creating a Muslim “grooming gang” problem across multiple decades.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Which is precisely how you see progressives behaving in the UK, in the US, in Western Europe.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“For instance, potentially using US H1B visas to bring in entry-level employees who will work for less, and in worse conditions, than the locals.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Moreover, if your welfare state transfers income from high-income people to low-income people, then importing lots of low skill, so low-income, people will put more fiscal stress on the welfare state: to the extent of imposing net fiscal costs on your society—as has been amply documented in Europe.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“In the UK, immigration has imported sectarianism and immiserated its working class by driving up rents, as importing lots of not-yet-citizens maximises the tax revenue, and wealth-to-incumbents benefits, of restricting the supply of land for housing.”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“In 1993, the European Economic Community (EEC) became the European Union. In 1995, the GATT became the WTO. ... Hence, in 2000, the UN came up with what it called replacement migration—bring in immigrants to replace the children that were not being born.”— Where do we go from here?
“net drain on the fisc of European welfare states”— The failure of economists...
“The “solution” to population ageing embraced by most European and Anglosphere governments has been allowing immigration to keep pension costs manageable.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“Internal mobility has been falling since the 1960s... Since immigration to the other countries on the list tends to be less selective, and space is more at a premium (even in Canada), we can reasonably assume the same applies to them.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“This demographic transformation was not the unavoidable outcome of physical laws; it was the avoidable outcome of policy decisions, many of which were deceptively described (and perhaps misunderstood by those who enacted them).”— The Diversity Lie
“Trudeau doubled this already high level to the extreme level of half a million per year. Then after COVID, Trudeau more than doubled Canadian immigration again, to 1.25 million per year”— The Canadian Question
“Job and education quotas, two-tier justice systems and a general air of preferential treatment permeate everything. ... Jailing people for posting memes “promoting hate” is one recent escalation.”— Dead Man’s Brake
“The two major routes are student visas and skilled labor visas such as the H-1B. “America’s superpower” advocates typically want to massively expand both, with proposals such as ending country caps on employment-based green cards, and stapling a green card to every STEM diploma.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“The ongoing mass immigration of non-Western people into Western countries could only be happening with the consent of leading conservatives. After all, conservative parties enjoy frequent, sometimes lengthy, periods of government. Why have they not used these opportunities to reverse radical immigration policies?”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“In 2022, and then increasingly in both 2023 and 2024, Western nations took in a whole lot more migrants as governments across the West acted as if they had to make up for lost time—and then some.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“there was a sizeable majority against immigration in Britain up until at least the 1990s, but this didn’t stop Tony Blair’s government throwing the doors open as a way to “rub the right’s nose in diversity”.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“Following the Hart-Celler Act of 1965, which had the support of both parties, immigration rose from 300,000 a year to over one million a year by 2005, mostly under Republican administrations.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Immigration has spiked under the Biden administration, although the numbers remain uncertain. Five million a year? Six million? Seven? No one really knows.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“What I want to do, and what I will do, is you graduate from a [U.S.] college, I think you should get automatically, as part of your diploma, a green card to be able to stay in this country. And that includes junior colleges too.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“South Asians and Caribbeans went to Britain; Arabs and Africans went to France; Arabs and Turks went to Germany.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“The pre-September scheme allowed spouses, partners and dependants under 18 to come to the UK without fulfilling the income and English-language tests that apply to other migrants.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“Rove wasted $20 million advertising in California in 2000 anyway”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“The ALP Federal Government has pushed Australia to the wrong side of its immigrant absorption capacity. ... One way to ensure mass immigration becomes more fraught is to combine mass immigration with Net Zero.”— Individualism and cooperation: I
“We will discuss issues about redistributive policies, but we will not cover the broad literature on preferences for redistribution in general (Alesina and Giuliano, 2011). Our work will remain focused on the issue of redistribution only when related to immigration.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Labour and the Conservatives discredited themselves by pursuing policies of mass immigration and multiculturalism for three decades.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“the Vatican would refuse a papal blessing to Matteo Salvini, Italy's deputy prime minister, who is known for his restrictive immigration policies.”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“"ce n'est pas une question de nombre, mais le rapport entre le nombre et la question sociale"”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“Policies were reformed… Deliberately … To liberalise immigration.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“And where we find clear evidence of sectors that are over reliant on immigration… We will reform the points-based system… And make sure that applications for the relevant visa routes… Whether it’s the skilled worker route, or the shortage occupation list…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“In reality, though, many of these new migrants are not highly skilled. Many have come to do underpowered master’s degrees. Many are driving for Uber or Deliveroo, drawing low wages so that middle-class brats like me can order spicy yellowtail maki at the swipe of a button.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“The measures which are being rolled out little by little are heterogeneous, and often contradictory; they reveal the absence of planning”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“we ought finally to recognize the folly of the line pursued over the last forty years—with obsessive anti-demographic cultural terrorism and the absence of corrective legislative and political measures that would remedy the egotistical and foolish low birth rate”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“he pointed to the French Indian Ocean department of Mayotte, which has been affected by mass undocumented immigration from the neighboring Comoros.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Sectors of our economy, like engineering… Where apprenticeships have almost halved in the last decade, while visas have doubled… where we find clear evidence of sectors that are over reliant on immigration… We will reform the points-based system… Whether it’s the skilled worker route, or the shortage occupation list… Will now come with new expectations on training people here in our country.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“In the same three-year period 300,000 Nigerians arrived in Britain. Nearly 300,000 Chinese people came too. And approaching 200,000 people from Pakistan... many of these new migrants are not highly skilled. Many have come to do underpowered master’s degrees. Many are driving for Uber or Deliveroo”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
““Devolve to cities like London the powers to have a regional shortage occupation list so I can be in charge of deciding how many people come into London to help our economy.””— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
“The escalation in legal immigration began in earnest after Labour’s Tony Blair came to power in 1997, but reached astronomical levels under recent Tory governments. Between 1950 and 2000, net migration—the difference between those emigrating and immigrating—averaged 30,000 a year. Under Blair, it shot up to 300,000 a year, but got steadily worse under the Tories, peaking in the year to June 2023 at a staggering 906,000. This so-called “Boris Wave” was the result partly of Johnson relaxing the rules for student and work visas when he was prime minister. The UK government spent £1.3 billion during the last year to house asylum seekers in 210 hotels, where 32,000 are still living.”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“The influx has forced the district to put nearly half of its elementary schools on a year-round schedule. ... Illegal aliens now get free prenatal care to go along with free births.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“Simpson-Mazzoli, we are repeatedly told, is a carefully crafted compromise. It is in fact an anti-immigration bill.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Immigration is one of the primary factors causing the nation's overall poverty rate and the number of people living in poverty to be higher today than they were 20 years ago.”— Importing Poverty
“By force of numbers alone, the kinds of adults these young Latinos become will help shape the kind of society America becomes in the 21st century.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“Barbara Slowik said no tangible steps to introduce such a ban are currently planned.”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“The Dutch government stated that they did not need this type of information. ... if immigration continues by the current numbers and composition, welfare states like the Dutch one become unsustainable.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“we hear very much these days about the underdeveloped countries, but underdeveloped is always understood to describe the state of the economy, never the minds of the people.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Allocated 170,000 visas to countries in the Eastern Hemisphere and 120,000 to countries in the Western Hemisphere. This increased the annual ceiling on immigrants from 150,000 to 290,000. Each Eastern-Hemisphere country was allowed an allotment of 20,000 visas... Family reunification became the cornerstone of U.S. immigration policy.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“the mendacity of those who lobbied for the 1965 changes that have led to today's crisis.”— A Flawed Jewel
“Die größten Gruppen, vermuten Sie, werde aus der Ukraine und dem Westbalkan kommen.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“Er will zurück zu einem Europa der Werte”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“The horror killing piles more pressure on Chancellor Angela Merkel who opened the nation's borders to more than one million migrants since 2015.”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“In 2022 there were 1.16m visas issued; already unprecedented and beyond acceptable, this rose again in 2023 to 1.36m. Falling slightly to 933,874 in 2024... Since 2018, over 150,000 illegal immigrants have crossed the English Channel alone.”— What is the problem?
“The Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government that formed in 2010 pledged to reduce net migration to the ‘tens of thousands’ (a promise that was repeated in 2015 and 2017).”— What is the problem?
““I don’t understand how we can put all French people on lockdown for eight weeks, and we can’t expel an imam who preaches against France all day long,” he said at the time. ... “why we do not regulate our immigration flows because each time — and we can observe this very well with these most recent terrorist attacks — they are foreigners who come to our country.””— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“The solutions proposed by the signatory officers would first of all require the French government to “enforce the laws that already exist without complacency”.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
““Closing borders in the name of the precautionary principle – the Polish way – has never been seriously considered in our country,” Brochand said to Le Figaro after the recent rioting”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“In 2010 almost half of the 194,000 first-time visas were granted for family reasons, about a third for students, and a tenth for “humanitarian” reasons (mainly refugees)”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Migration will be a key issue in forthcoming coalition talks between Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives and the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“These numbers raise the question of whether it makes sense to continue the current high level of legal immigration and also whether to continue to tolerate illegal immigration.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“it is deeply, deeply stupid to see immigration as simply about gains-from-trade in societies conceived as arenas for free-floating transactions where gains-from-trade efficiency is the key issue.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“Police also failed to request adequate backup when the situation escalated.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Police squads did not communicate well with each other. They failed to use police radios instead of cell phones even though cell service collapsed at several points during the night due to overload.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“La usurpación de vivienda («okupación»), un delito muy lesivo para sus víctimas y para el mercado de la vivienda, es tratado con gran lenidad oficial en España.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“Ser declarada oficialmente víctima de esa violencia puede favorecer a la mujer en caso de divorcio y también dar algunas ventajas materiales. Y si la víctima es inmigrante ilegal, a más fácil acceso a la regularización de su situación.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“This series does not emerge in a vacuum. Over the past several years, a growing number of writers... have undertaken the difficult work of challenging and dismantling the dominant dogmas surrounding immigration.”— Moving Targets
“The legislation granted extensive legal rights to asylum seekers, codified broad and generous provisions for family reunification, and ensured immediate access to the expansive Danish welfare system for newly arrived refugees.”— State-Financed Rape
“Many of these individuals or their ancestors arrived in Denmark during the guest worker programs of the late 1960s and 1970s.”— State-Financed Rape
“Progressive voices in the United States celebrate the declining share of white Americans and brag that demographic change will lock Democrats into permanent power. They frame replacement as destiny, then use policy to accelerate it”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“Evidently, consensus is needed in a high-trust society before people act on their personal beliefs, including xenophobia.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

Mass low-skilled immigration from regions with high rates of cousin marriage increased the incidence of birth defects and long-term health costs in Britain. One estimate attributed 30 percent of birth defects to just 4 percent of births from those communities. The added burden fell on already strained national health budgets. [6]

In Britain grooming gangs exploited thousands of underage girls over decades while authorities hesitated to enforce laws for fear of appearing racist. The pattern repeated in Oxfordshire and other metropolitan areas. Official inquiries later documented systemic failures tied to sensitivities around immigrant communities. [1][2]

Housing costs and rents rose sharply in high-inflow countries because regulated supply failed to match demand. In Canada after 2015 prices exploded while wages stagnated and per-capita GDP fell relative to the United States. Young adults faced delayed homeownership and higher debt loads. [2][8]

European welfare states absorbed net fiscal costs from low-skilled and non-EEA inflows. Studies in Britain, the Netherlands and Denmark showed some groups remained net drains across lifetimes even after controlling for education. The transfers reduced resources available for native working-class services and heightened political tension. [2][6][16]

Supporting Quotes (207)
“negative effects of mass immigration include fracturing countries along existing fault-lines leading to civil war—in the US in the 1860s; in Jordan and Lebanon in the 1970s”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“mass rape of underage girls (Britain’s problem with “grooming gangs”)”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Importing large numbers of low-skill immigrants then makes one’s welfare state less financially sustainable over time, as copious evidence from Europe is now demonstrating. (Europe is famously 12 per cent of world population, 25 per cent of world GDP and 60 per cent of world welfare spending”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“aggravated if immigrants come from populations that have been marrying their cousins for centuries, driving up their rates of birth defects, increasing their sickliness and so driving up health costs.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Minnesota is currently providing an object lesson in this pattern... This pattern of moving away from the same rules for all is why UK PM Sir Keir Starmer is known as Two-Tier Keir.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Large-scale immigration means rising demand for housing and, if housing supply does not keep up, then clearly rents and housing costs will rise.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“importing lots of low skill workers en masse can be simultaneously driving up rents and suppressing low-skill wage growth.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“if your welfare state transfers income from high-income people to low-income people, then importing lots of low skill, so low-income, people will put more fiscal stress on the welfare state: to the extent of imposing net fiscal costs on your society—as has been amply documented in Europe”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“How many of those “yes, but more gains from trade” folk have grappled with mass rape and sexual exploitation of young women and girls as a cost of culturally divergent immigration (and its systematic mismanagement)?”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“At the recent peak of foreign-born employment in March 2025, there were 131.8 native born employed—an increase of 18.7m (17 per cent)—and 32.2m foreign born employed—an increase of 10.2m (46 per cent).”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“It is the loss of trust that mass immigration will be managed in the interests of the general citizenry—particularly working-class citizens—that is at heart of the political contentions over immigration because, clearly, it is not being managed in their interests.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“the massive corruption and welfare fraud being unearthed in Minnesota, the media culture that hid—and so facilitated it—and the intolerant opinion culture that went with both”— Where do we go from here?
“we see Somalis in Minnesota treating the American welfare state as Somalis in Somalia treat foreign aid: you say whatever you need to non-Somalis in order to get the outsiders to hand over money, that you then channel to your clan. Somalia is a highly collectivist, highly clan-based, culture and the correlation between how collectivist cultures are and how corrupt states are is 0.91.”— Where do we go from here?
“If, for example, part of what makes a country so productive is being a high trust culture with robust convergent expectations—so transactions are much easier to engage in—then any migration that generates serious divergence in relevant expectations, lowering trust, will impose significant costs on local residents.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“migrant experiences are more polarised than those for the population as a whole, with larger concentrations at the extremes. So, migrants can be expected to have a polarising economic effect on the wider society.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“The subsequent discourse has typically taken migrants doing less well than the national average as a moral burden on the locals. Migrants have come to be used as a moralised social weapon against locals (especially the local working class).”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“migrants from the Greater Middle East... made poor migrants at so many levels, including being a net drain on the fisc of European welfare states. The most horrifying cost of such migration has been industrial-levels of organised sexual predation”— The failure of economists...
“Folk of Pakistani origin are four percent of British births and generate 30 per cent of British birth defects. That is the sharp end of a general sickliness from consanguineous (typically cousin) marriage that drives up health costs.”— The failure of economists...
“Bringing in lots of migrants raises rents and house prices when regulation retards housing supply.”— The failure of economists...
“You have to be blind—or, apparently, an economist—not to notice that migration has been fracturing the UK, France and the US along their metropolitan/provincial (or cosmopolitan/parochial) divides.”— The failure of economists...
“Does low-skilled immigration really hurt the native working class? I’m not going to do a detailed survey of the literature, but the short answer is: yes it does.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The types of immigration that are most beneficial for the host country are the ones that are most harmful to the sending country.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“There’s a negative association between GDP per capita and % of high-skilled citizens living abroad. Countries with the most brain drain tend to be poor.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Since Trudeau entered office and first doubled and then quintupled immigration, living standards in Canada, relative to the United States, have plummeted. ... Since 2020, nearly half a million illegals have been caught crossing the northern border.”— The Canadian Question
“the enormous influx of workers without capital has predictably eroded Canadian labor productivity relative to the United States. ... Canadian household debt has just kept rising since the Financial Crisis.”— The Canadian Question
“Canadian fertility, for centuries among the highest in the West, has taken a sharp downward turn both absolutely and relative to peers. ... The difference between a TFR of 1.6 ... and a TFR of 1.24 is a factor of two in three generations.”— The Canadian Question
“The light blue line labelled “MENAPT-lande i alt” corresponds to immigrants from the Middle-East, North Africa, Pakistan and Turkey. As you can see, it falls below the zero line at every single age, meaning that even in the middle of their working lives, such immigrants are a net negative for the public finances. ... The bars labelled “Efterkommere, MENAPT” correspond to the same group of immigrants’ descendants. Again, both values are substantially negative”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards (though the slope isn’t significantly different from zero).”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“As you can see, it falls below the zero line at every single age, meaning that even in the middle of their working lives, such immigrants are a net negative for the public finances. (They take more in benefits and public services than they pay in taxes.)... The bars labelled “Efterkommere, MENAPT” correspond to the same group of immigrants’ descendants. Again, both values are substantially negative.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“By reducing the relative scarcity of low-skilled labour, it makes those who sell such labour (i.e., low-skilled workers) slightly worse off [...] The next effect of low-skilled immigration that has economic consequences is crime.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“the small fiscal benefit conferred when immigrants arrive early in their working lives isn’t going to outweigh the costs associated with a permanent leftward shift in the skill distribution.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Individuals with high IQs generate positive externalities for their fellow citizens: less criminality, more cooperation, greater trust... national IQ is positively correlated with almost everything good and negatively correlated with almost everything bad.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Alberto Simpser looked at various immigrant groups from Europe and their children, obtaining two key results. Second generation European immigrants clearly resemble their home countries when it comes to their tolerance towards bribery...”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Katja Mann and Dario Pozzoli analysed changes in the share of non-Western immigrants... they found that the share of non-Western migrants was negatively correlated with robot adoptions... “a one percentage point increase in the share of non-Western migrants decreases the probability of robot adoption by 12%””— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“By reducing the relative scarcity of low-skilled labour, it makes those who sell such labour (i.e., low-skilled workers) slightly worse off”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“In Denmark, age-and-sex-adjusted violent crime rates for Muslim immigrant groups vary from 2 times the native rate to >6 times the native rate.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“What this means is that in vocations taken over by non-linear ethnic niches, modern-day multi-ethnic Chicago has a smaller talent pool to draw from than the smaller but more homogenous Chicago of generations past, and the same goes for many American cities.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“They are in low-prestige, low-margin sectors that used to be major avenues of upwards mobility for Americans”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“All three have seen relatively stagnant personal incomes, and skyrocketing housing prices.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“The United States is not jailing tens of thousands of people or sending police door-to-door for political speech as the United Kingdom is. We are not calling on speech to be regulated as a weapon of war, as the former Prime Minister of New Zealand did in 2023. We do not have Canada’s hate speech laws or widespread government subsidies of pro-government media outlets. American scientists are not prohibited by the government from communicating their results to the public, as in Australia.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“a supermajority of Asians (66%) believe that the government should do more to solve problems, compared to only 44% of whites. Similarly, a supermajority (70%) of Asians say government regulation is necessary to protect the public interest, compared to only 53% of whites.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“49% have a positive impression of socialism, compared to only 31% of whites.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“When asked about protecting press freedom vs curbing false information, Asians are 12 points more likely than whites to favor censorship.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Asians support Affirmative Action. This is consistent across multiple polls and methodologies. Whites are the only racial group not to support it.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“for non-EEA immigrants, the figure was minus £9 billion. [...] European immigrants added £2,300 more to the public coffers than the typical UK adult, whereas those from outside the EEA contributed over £800 less.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“the Dutch government spent €‎400 billion net on immigration. [...] importing poor migrants from countries lacking a bourgeois culture is often a recipe for disaster.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“public opinion has shifted sharply on immigration, with Canadians citing concerns about the impact on housing costs and public services... aiding “fast” regions (such as large cities) as they deal with above-average rates of population growth and resulting pressures on housing and infrastructure, while simultaneously helping “slow” regions (such as rural areas) navigate depopulation and spiraling old-age dependency ratios.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“Lower immigration also could help reduce high core services inflation (Bowman 2024).”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“The second scenario (gold line) would result in a small upward shift in the projected prime-age labor force growth by 0.11 percentage point, suggesting negative growth as of year 2044.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“when immigrants with lower education come into the United States, we see wages of similarly situated people in the U.S. who have less education... fall... the people who see the biggest hit to their wages when immigration goes up are recent immigrants.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“the fiscal cost is disproportionately paid by certain state and local areas.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“when immigrants with lower education come into the United States, we see wages of similarly situated people in the U.S. who have less education ... fall ... the people who see the biggest hit to their wages when immigration goes up are recent immigrants.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“There are approximately 3.7 million unlawful immigrant households in the U.S. These households impose a net fiscal burden of around $54.5 billion per year. Over a lifetime, the former unlawful immigrants together would receive $9.4 trillion in government benefits and services and pay $3.1 trillion in taxes. They would generate a lifetime fiscal deficit (total benefits minus total taxes) of $6.3 trillion.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“many rural areas have been left behind as manufacturing and public-sector jobs have dwindled, breeding resentment and fraying national unity.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“Trade and immigration enrich the country yet strain its social fabric and devastate working-class communities.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“Overall, the total absconder pool stands at 53,298... 736 foreign criminals... Unvetted and unknown men—sex pests, misogynists, and even far worse—are in our communities... I am contacted by dozens and dozens of women who genuinely fear for their lives.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“this brief examines the economic contributions of Latino immigrant labor in U.S. states with the largest Latino immigrant populations. The analysis considers the potential economic implications if states were to lose a substantial share of this essential workforce due to intensified immigration-related policies.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Research suggests that previous immigrants suffer more of the adverse wage effects than do natives. Prior immigrants are more like current immigrants. Research also suggests any negative wage effects are concentrated among low-skilled and not high-skilled workers.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“While certain sectors... should see costs and prices fall—for example, landscaping and child care—the population influx could put upward pressure on rents and house prices, particularly in the short run before new supply can be built.”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Florida found that in fiscal year (FY) 1993 state and local governments had spent $2.5 billion in public assistance and service programs (including corrections and criminal justice) for immigrants. Two-thirds of that amount, $1.65 billion, was for legal immigrants.”— The Costs of Immigration
“California estimated state and local governments spent $2.95 billion in FY -93 on illegal aliens and their U.S. citizen children for Medicaid, corrections, primary and secondary education and AFDC. Spending of state and local funds on four programs for refugees and their children reached $885 million. Amnestied aliens and their children required total state and local outlays for AFDC, Medicaid and the state share of supplemental security income (SSI) of $520 million.”— The Costs of Immigration
“It found county revenues of $137.6 million and county outlays of $413.8 million, for a deficit for illegals of $276.2 million in FY'91.”— The Costs of Immigration
“Borjas finds that immigrants migrating to the United States in the period 1975-1980 will generate welfare costs of $87 billion over their lifetimes, while contributing only $29 billion to the funding of welfare programs. The net lifetime deficit for immigrants on public assistance accounts would be $58 billion”— The Costs of Immigration
“California has three more congressional seats (and electoral votes) than it would if noncitizens did not count toward apportionment, while New Jersey, New York, and Texas each have one extra. All six of these seats come at the expense of red or purple states, leading to a net partisan impact that favors Democrats. (The number of affected seats is expected to rise to ten after the 2030 census.)”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“Camarota and Zeigler do show a strong positive correlation between a district’s share of noncitizens and its support for the Democratic Party. In the 24 districts that are at least 20 percent noncitizen, Republicans won just four in 2022. Meanwhile, in the 54 districts that are less than 2 percent noncitizen, Republicans won all but five.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“In 1995, 55,000 foreigners were granted the right to settle in the UK. By 2005 that had risen to 179,000 [...] The UK welcomed an estimated net 1.5 million immigrants in the decade to 2008. [...] Field and Soames complain about schools where English is not the first language for many pupils.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Some 2.3 million migrants have been added to the population since then, according to Whitehall estimates quietly slipped out last month.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“Critics said the revelations showed a "conspiracy" within Government to impose mass immigration for "cynical" political reasons.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“For every one percentage-point increase in employment within an industry due to immigration, that industry experienced an average 0.7 percentage-point slowdown in wage growth.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“This cost disappears in the long run as these students grow up and have their own children, but it is nevertheless a short-term budget burden.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Public concern over immigration includes a perception that immigrants increase the level of crime.”— Crime and immigration
“they’re strongly opposed to low-skilled immigration: just 18% said “more”.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Table 5-2 from the report lists several major studies measuring immigration’s impact on wages. Notice the negative values in the “Wage Effect” column.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“For every one percentage-point increase in employment within an industry due to immigration, that industry experienced an average 0.7 percentage-point slowdown in wage growth.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“So places dominated by Pakistani immigrants resembled Pakistan in everything but their location, with the recent arrivals and their children eating the food of their place of origin, speaking the language of their place of origin and worshipping the religion of their place of origin. Streets in the cold and rainy northern towns of Europe filled with people dressed for the foothills of Pakistan or the sandstorms of Arabia.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“As a result, by the end of the lifespans of most people currently alive Europe will not be Europe and the peoples of Europe will have lost the only place in the world we had to call home.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“Murray’s core message is that Europe has lost its mojo, its sense of self, its purpose and identity, while at the same time it is welcoming people from other cultures on a mass scale, but ultimately failing to integrate them.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“‘Only modern Europeans are happy to be self-loathing in an international marketplace of sadists,’ Murray notes.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
““American blacks had a hard enough time competing with American whites. Putting them up against ever more of the cleverest and most ambitious of four billion Asians is increasingly a wipe-out.””— Steve Sailer: Still noticing after all these years
“Even Noah Smith accepts there may be other “potential costs”, including “less entrepreneurship” and “degradation in the quality of government”.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“Suppose every single person with a university degree in one of the poorest African countries just picked up and left. Then suppose they resettled in the West and never came back. Does Nowrasteh really doubt that the people left behind would be worse off?”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“the Nazis’ dismissal of Jewish scientists had a much greater negative impact on research output than did the wholesale destruction of buildings and equipment by allied bombers!”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Intelligent, hard-working individuals are the single most important resource for a country’s economic development. And developing countries have fewer of them to begin with. Some countries score more than two standard deviations below others on the World Bank’s measure of harmonized test scores – equivalent to an IQ gap of more than 30 points.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Data published by the World Bank indicate that real GDP per capita is lower now than it was in 1960 – meaning the country hasn’t seen sustained economic growth in more than half a century.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“According to The Economist, gangs presently control 80% of the capital city, Port-au-Prince. In recent weeks, they have not only laid siege to the international airport, but have also carried out a major jail break and taken over several government buildings. “The Haitian police and military are outnumbered,” the magazine notes, “and in many cases outgunned”.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“enticing them to leave their countries of origin is going to make the remaining citizens of those countries worse off.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“there’s a negative association between GDP per capita and % of high-skilled citizens living abroad. Countries with the most brain drain tend to be poor.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The five groups with the highest incarceration rates were Congolese (4%), Vietnamese (2.3%), Sudanese (2.1%), Albanians (1.9%) and Jamaicans (1.6%).”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“Whichever type of immigration you allow, you end up hurting disadvantaged people: in the case of low-skilled immigration, it’s the native working class; in the case of high-skilled immigration, it’s the working class who’re left behind in the country of origin.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Our findings help us understand why the most aggressive immigrant removal programs have not delivered on their crime reduction promises and are unlikely to do so in the future.”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“the federal government now spends more on immigration enforcement than all other principle criminal law enforcement agencies combined (4,5).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“Research has found that assimilated immigrants—those who have been in the United States longer, those who are more fluent in English, those who are likely to be naturalized citizens, and those who are more highly acculturated to the United States—have higher rates of criminal involvement compared to unassimilated immigrants.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Reductions in crime and violence have been primary justifications for this dramatic development (Department of Homeland Security Immigration and Customs Enforcement [DHS ICE], 2009).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“the traditionally-Republican Sun Belt, the main beneficiary of all of this internal migration, is turning purple.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“states that Trump lost in both elections received 5.19 million immigrants (36.4/1,000 people).”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“Between 2010 and 2023, states that Trump won in both 2020 and 2016 gained 5.65 million people through internal migration”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“A comparison of voting patterns in presidential elections across counties over the last three decades shows that mass immigration has caused a steady drop in presidential Republican vote shares, particularly in the nation's largest counties. Each one percentage-point increase in the immigrant share of a large county's population reduces the Republican share of the two-party vote by nearly 0.6 percentage points on average.”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“By increasing income inequality and adding to the low-income population (e.g. immigrants and their minor children account for one-fourth of those in poverty and one-third of the uninsured) immigration likely makes all voters more supportive of redistributive policies championed by Democrats”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“There is evidence that immigration may cause more Republican-oriented voters to move away from areas of high immigrant settlement leaving behind a more lopsided Democrat majority.”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“Illegal immigration has become a defining issue of the 2024 presidential election. Consequently, accusations about our border, immigration process, and immigrants themselves have spread like wildfire across social media and news networks.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“Importing large numbers of low-skill immigrants then makes one’s welfare state less financially sustainable over time, as copious evidence from Europe is now demonstrating... mass rape of underage girls (Britain’s problem with “grooming gangs”).”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“They don’t want female genital mutilation. They don’t want violent clan feuds in their neighbourhood. They don’t want their daughters to be sexually targeted because kaffir girls who go unchaperoned and don’t wear headscarves have shown themselves to be sluts and so fair game.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“not their raped daughters; not their knifed sons; not their ripped-off services. Which is precisely how you see progressives behaving in the UK, in the US, in Western Europe.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“Large-scale immigration means rising demand for housing and, if housing supply does not keep up, then clearly rents and housing costs will rise.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“importing low skill workers en masse can be simultaneously driving up rents and suppressing low-skill wage growth.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“According to a Dutch study and Danish figures, Middle Eastern immigrants are a net drain on the fisc overall and in every—or almost every—age group. There is no way reason to think that is not also true in Sweden, France, the UK …”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“given that a European Commission study found that immigrants from outside the EU were a net drain on the fisc. If your welfare state transfers income from high-income to low-income people, of course importing lots of low-skill workers is going to increase the fiscal pressure on your welfare state.”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“Higher land-for-housing costs also tends to depress infrastructure supply. In the UK and France, immigration has aggravated the domestic provincial/metro splits.”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“we see Somalis in Minnesota treating the American welfare state as Somalis in Somalia treat foreign aid: you say whatever you need to non-Somalis in order to get the outsiders to hand over money, that you then channel to your clan. ... the massive corruption and welfare fraud being unearthed in Minnesota, the media culture that hid—and so facilitated it”— Where do we go from here?
“migrants from the Greater Middle East...made poor migrants at so many levels, including being a net drain on the fisc of European welfare states. The most horrifying cost of such migration has been industrial-levels of organised sexual predation”— The failure of economists...
“Folk of Pakistani origin are four percent of British births and generate 30 per cent of British birth defects. That is the sharp end of a general sickliness from consanguineous (typically cousin) marriage that drives up health costs.”— The failure of economists...
“Bringing in lots of migrants raises rents and house prices when regulation retards housing supply.”— The failure of economists...
“migrants to developed democracies with low skill levels (or other capital) tend to suppress wages, as they make labour more plentiful compared to capital and tend to lower the average productivity of the society”— The failure of economists...
“migration has been fracturing the UK, France and the US along their metropolitan/provincial (or cosmopolitan/parochial) divides...the destruction of Liz Truss’s Premiership shows that a fiscally-stressed state is susceptible...That is the path to...civil insurgency.”— The failure of economists...
“Italy, which by virtue of not having had much of a Baby Boom is one of the world’s oldest countries, currently leads the pack at 16.3% of GDP. This requires high levels of growth-stifling taxation, and greatly reduces the state’s fiscal room to maneuver in case of war or emergency.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“This gets worse in the second generation, as better language skills and cultural assimilation are more than compensated for by greater eligibility for benefits, as well as the costs of education.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“the light blue line labelled “MENAPT-lande i alt” corresponds to immigrants from the Middle-East, North Africa, Pakistan and Turkey. As you can see, it falls below the zero line at every single age, meaning that even in the middle of their working lives, such immigrants are a net negative for the public finances. ... The bars labelled “Efterkommere, MENAPT” correspond to the same group of immigrants’ descendants. Again, both values are substantially negative.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“To the extent that locals are more skilled than immigrants, which is true in almost every wealthy country, the national economy as a whole is harmed. Skilled locals are driven out of the places where their skills are most valuable by overcrowding and the poor behavior of unskilled (and often economically inactive) immigrants. As such, labor is misallocated and national productivity falls below the counterfactual.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“In 2021 almost 40% of private renters had arrived in Britain within the last 10 years and 60.5% were not born in the UK. Meanwhile in London, 47.6% of households in taxpayer-funded social housing were foreign born.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“Diversity is largely an instrument to accelerate demographic change and support affirmative action and other equity-based policies.”— The Diversity Lie
“All three have seen relatively stagnant personal incomes, and skyrocketing housing prices. ... A supermajority of Asians (66%) believe that the government should do more to solve problems, compared to only 44% of whites.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“When asked about protecting press freedom vs curbing false information, Asians are 12 points more likely than whites to favor censorship. ... Asians support Affirmative Action by large margins.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Since Trudeau entered office and first doubled and then quintupled immigration, living standards in Canada, relative to the United States, have plummeted.”— The Canadian Question
“a colossal and sudden increase in demand for housing, concentrated in a handful of already-expensive urban centers, has caused Canadian housing prices to explode.”— The Canadian Question
“the difference between a TFR of 1.6 (where Canada would be if it had retained its pre-2012 advantage over Europe) and a TFR of 1.24 is a factor of two in three generations.”— The Canadian Question
“Since 2020, nearly half a million illegals have been caught crossing the northern border.”— The Canadian Question
“the ruling party refuses to release the names of parliament members working for foreign powers (probably because they would all be immigrants).”— The Canadian Question
“the light blue line labelled “MENAPT-lande i alt” corresponds to immigrants from the Middle-East, North Africa, Pakistan and Turkey. As you can see, it falls below the zero line at every single age, meaning that even in the middle of their working lives, such immigrants are a net negative for the public finances.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“The bars labelled “Efterkommere, MENAPT” correspond to the same group of immigrants’ descendants. Again, both values are substantially negative, so even in the second generation, people from the relevant countries are a net negative for the public finances.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“In most Western nations, the descendants of the people who built it are discriminated against in multiple ways... As the multicultural models of social harmony fracture, the efforts to shore them up become more extreme. ... Most experiments in serious ethnic and culture mixing end in violence. Some end in genocide.”— Dead Man’s Brake
“Objectively, the USA is far more powerful in 2025 than in 1945, but geopolitically it is much weaker.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“Insofar as low-skilled immigrants lower the national IQ of the host society, they generate negative externalities for their fellow citizens. Any gains from specialization of labour are almost certainly offset by these externalities.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“The takeaway here is that admitting low-skilled immigrants from corrupt countries will increase the amount of corruption in the West.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Immigration delays the moment when firms must adapt, invest and modernize. This may look like stability in the short run, but it’s stagnation in the long run.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Social science research shows that rising diversity reduces trust and sense of belonging; it causes divisions and conflict. There are also political costs. Should the founding people be significantly reduced as a proportion of the population, they can lose control of the state apparatus and the regulation of immigration. All Anglosphere countries are heading in this direction. The United States is projected to become minority white in about twenty years.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Since 2021, wages have decelerated relative to inflation in sectors and states with larger increases in immigrant workers... for native-born workers job growth has been unimpressive in 2024... the low “quit rate”... has fallen to below the stable state prior to the pandemic.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“the two countries with the largest anti-establishment backlashes were the United Kingdom and Portugal... the Conservative Party losing in a landslide... the second largest political backlash of 2024 so far has been against the Socialist Party of Portugal.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“the ratchet of demographic change will move in only one direction, and the best you can hope for is to simply slow it down.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“demographic change may culminate in what could be termed an “immigration singularity”. This is the point where the process becomes self-sustaining because immigrants tend to support pro-migration parties, and once they reach a critical mass in the population, restrictionists can no longer win elections.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“Immigration is running at such a high level that immigrants are simply replacing the American population. [...] a single cohesive culture is being replaced by a fragmented mix, which in turn is giving way to an atomized non-culture.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“I wish to see immigration levels return to those of the post-war era, when the economy somehow did far better than it’s doing today.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Fast forward to the 2021 census, and England’s Muslim population had risen to 6.5% – a fourfold increase in only 30 years.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“having witnessed the effects of such migration in the Western Bloc countries (race riots, the Rushdie Affair)”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“According to Oxford Economics (2018), European immigrants in the 2016-2017 fiscal year paid £4.7 billion more in taxes than they took in public services; for non-EEA immigrants, the figure was minus £9 billion. ... Nearly fifty percent of households headed by Ghanaians and Jamaican immigrants in London are in social housing.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“a landmark report by the RAND Corporation found that East Asian immigrants enter the US with wages considerably below the native level, but manage to narrow the gap within 10-15 years. ... Mexican immigrants, by contrast, enter with wages considerably below the native level, and do not narrow the gap like East Asians – even when controlling for education.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“It comes as a further 1,269 migrants crossed the English Channel in small boats on Thursday and Friday, the latest Home Office figures show. There are parallels with the UK today, as Reform UK maintains its polling lead over Labour.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“We’ve already seen what immigration has done to the two-party system in Chicago and California.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“The Democrats’ plan has been to achieve one-party rule by using immigration to juice their vote totals while ginning up hatred of white men to keep their unwieldy Coalition of the Margins from collapsing in internecine strife.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“If infrastructure construction lags... there will be congestion costs from mass immigration which people will notice every working day. Competition for positional goods... will increase. ... This collapse of support for conventional centre-right politics has happened in polity after polity”— Individualism and cooperation: I
“The standard finding is that, on average, immigration triggers natives’ backlash, increases support for anti-immigrant, populist parties, and lowers natives’ preferences for redistribution.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“immigration has emerged as one of the most salient political issues in both Europe and the US. It was at the center of the 2016 US presidential elections, and featured prominently in the debate surrounding the Brexit referendum. In many European countries, immigration is one of the factors associated with the rise of populism”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Instead, it produced welfare dependency, crime, terrorism and a sectarian power struggle that has permanently altered European life.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“Meanwhile, attacks on Jews, synagogues and Jewish schools are at record levels... mass Muslim prayer in the streets upends a founding liberal principle, the division between private faith and the public sphere.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“"You don't have to be a rocket scientist to see what has happened in Europe," the cardinal said, citing the large Muslim immigrant populations in France, Germany and Italy.”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“tout un pays, (...) toute une communauté de départements français est confrontée à des vagues d'immigration illégale telles qu'elles atteignent 25% de la population”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“2.8 million people out of work on long-term sickness – a problem ignored, left to fester. One in 8 young people not in employment or education or training.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“One cannot reasonably expect our creaking health and welfare systems to bear this current strain. Housing and supporting asylum seekers alone is now costing our impecunious state £5.4 billion a year. Nor can one simply dismiss as bigots those who argue that migration of this speed and scale represents a threat to the character and culture of our country. According to YouGov, 68 per cent of people think net migration has been “too high” over the past decade”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“arbitrary entry—when it becomes known to be easily attainable enough—gives rise to the uncontrolled spread of poverty and desperation (and sometimes to violent reactions of intolerance and outright rejection), while simultaneously fostering a criminal industry of exploitation”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“Otherwise, such situations will inevitably provoke pernicious crises of rejection, blind attitudes of xenophobia, and the insurgence of deplorable racial intolerances.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“"Anybody who is faced with the situation in Mayotte – which is not alone in France – can understand that 'submersion' is the most fitting term," Bayrou said. "It is not the words that are shocking, it's the reality," he said.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Skills shortages across the country… Which have left our economy hopelessly reliant on immigration… 2.8 million people out of work on long-term sickness – a problem ignored, left to fester. One in 8 young people not in employment or education or training. Sectors of our economy, like engineering… Where apprenticeships have almost halved in the last decade, while visas have doubled.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“One cannot reasonably expect our creaking health and welfare systems to bear this current strain. Housing and supporting asylum seekers alone is now costing our impecunious state £5.4 billion a year... These numbers are not sustainable.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
““this population increase has devalued the quality of life of virtually everyone in the country: whether that is access to a [doctor’s] appointment … getting your kid into the local school … On the economics, it’s very simple: you increase the population by 10 million, your GDP increases, but your GDP per capita falls.” “A disturbing 41 percent of those charged with sex crimes in London in 2024 were foreign nationals... Foreign nationals account for one quarter of the population of London, compared to 16 percent of the country as a whole... then the figure goes up to 47 percent.””— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
““an Afghan living in Britain is 22 times more likely to be convicted of rape than a British-born person, then you realize there is a problem.” “The influx of young undocumented males into our country is a threat to women and girls.””— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“The Los Angeles Unified School District is spending more than two billion dollars a year on these children. ... In Los Angeles County alone, this costs nearly $200 million per year.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“Does anyone want to “control the borders” at the moral expense of a 2,000-mile Berlin Wall with minefields, dogs and machine-gun towers?”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“The growth in immigrant-related poverty accounted for 75 percent (3 million people) of the total increase in the size of the poor population between 1989 and 1997. This increase is enough to entirely offset the 2.7 million reduction in the size of the poor population that results from the $64 billion spent annually on means-tested cash assistance programs.”— Importing Poverty
“Yet they are much more likely than other American youths to drop out of school and to become teenage parents. They are more likely than white and Asian youths to live in poverty. And they have high levels of exposure to gangs.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“teen parenthood rates and high school dropout rates are much lower among the second generation than the first, but they appear higher among the third generation than the second. The same is true for poverty rates.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“native-born Latino youths are about twice as likely as the foreign born to have ties to a gang or to have gotten into a fight or to have carried a weapon in the past year. They are also more likely to be in prison.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“Germany has a serious knife crime problem: according to the publication Apollo News, almost 14,000 stabbings were committed last year, a rise of 1,500 incidents compared to the previous year—which, in effect, means 38 knife attacks per day.”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
““The threshold of attacking a police officer, even if it is only pushing them, has also dropped significantly.””— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“Is it the inconvenient message from Borderless Welfare State that, if immigration continues by the current numbers and composition, welfare states like the Dutch one become unsustainable?”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“To the confusion of all modern economists, by the early 1970s West and East Germany... have achieved two of the world's highest gross national products.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“The unexpected result has been one of the greatest waves of immigration in the nation's history — more than 18 million legal immigrants since the law's passage, over triple the number admitted during the previous 30 years, as well as uncountable millions of illegal immigrants... the negative gap between their education and that of native-born Americans has increased significantly, creating a mismatch between newcomers and the needs of a modern, high-tech economy.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“He rightly decries the harmful impact of immigration on poor black Americans”— A Flawed Jewel
“he even takes seriously the environmental consequences of rapid population growth driven by immigration.”— A Flawed Jewel
“Auch für den Aufschwung der Rechtspopulisten hat er eine Erklärung”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“She was raped and then drowned before her body was found in the River Dreisam.”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“Earlier this week she was blasted by a father-of-four who said he no longer felt safe because of the migrant inlux.”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“Between 2010 and 2022 there were nearly 7 million new GP registrations by migrants. Record immigration requires a home to be built in England every five minutes to meet the skyrocketing demand for homes.”— What is the problem?
“Demos found in 2018 that about three-quarters of the public considered that immigration had increased divisions.”— What is the problem?
“In many of France’s migrant no-go neighborhoods, burning automobiles have been a commonplace occurrence for years ... Many of these areas are no longer safe for women to walk in freely, with many of them facing verbal harassment and even assault for simply dressing a certain way.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“That murder brought the number of people killed by Islamic terrorists in France since 2012 to 271... France’s growing murder rate, increasing attacks against police, women facing harassment and assault in migrant neighborhoods, and a plethora of terrorist attacks.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“which has seen over 700 members of security forces injured, some 4,000 arrested, and many towns and cities devastated.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“non-EU immigrants had an unemployment rate of 22%, over twice the national average... France has almost permanently had double digit unemployment around 9-12%”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“In 2008, there were 5.34 million immigrants... and 4.48 million immediate descendants of immigrants. At the time, they made up over 15% of France’s total population”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“The arrival of more than a million migrants since mid-2015 hurt both parties in last September's election.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“The predominantly young male majority of refugees live in Germany without partners, mothers, sisters or other females whom the study sees as a "violence-preventing, civilising force."”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“the share of working-age natives in Texas holding a job has declined in a manner very similar to the nation a whole... from 71 percent in 2007 to 67 percent in 2011.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“This decline is very similar to the decline for natives in the United States as a whole and is an indication that the situation for native-born workers in Texas is very similar to the overall situation in the country despite the state’s job growth.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“Civil war, mass rapes and sexual exploitation... corrosion of institutions: these are observable consequences of mass immigration.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“Over 1,200 criminal charges were subsequently made, around 500 of which pertained to sexual assault.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“In spite of crowd control by police, a bridge near the scene of the attacks was overcrowded on New Year's Eve 2015. Some people on the bridge panicked and jumped onto train tracks leading to the main station. This resulted in overcrowding at the main station as travel was halted, which further escalated the situation.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“This issue is particularly potent given that the state election in NRW is only two weeks away.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“If Trump voters are this incorrigibly misinformed, what is to be done?”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“Casi 170.000 hechos conocidos de allanamiento y usurpación de inmueble entre 2010 y 2024 por el Ministerio del Interior. Una amplia mayoría de okupas no fueron detenidos.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“Las violaciones están creciendo de manera alarmante... Las tasas de delincuentes sexuales por 100.000 adultos son mucho más altas entre los extranjeros que entre los españoles.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“Los menores de nacionalidad extranjera tienen tasas de delincuencia mucho más elevadas que los españoles, y en especial, los africanos.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“Hence, according to this measure, immigration patterns can explain the entire observed drop in economic mobility for the bottom class quintile”— Moving Targets
“Britons have been fleeing London by the tens of thousands a year for decades.”— Moving Targets
“non-Western immigrants and descendants resulted in a net cost of 31 billion DKK to the public finances.”— State-Financed Rape
“the white working classes, who primarily bear the brunt of failing integration policies are disenfranchised and alienated”— State-Financed Rape
“Migrants from Somalia demonstrate a staggering rape conviction rate roughly 20 times higher than that of the native Danish population, while simultaneously costing the Danish taxpayer approximately $20,000 per individual, per year.”— State-Financed Rape
“Governments adopting the same objective is a nightmare. ... Public and private rhetoric have normalized the idea that a party may change the electorate to entrench itself.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“Violent incidents do occur, but, in the vast majority of cases, the victims are natives (Immigration to Denmark - Crime).”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?
“Today, the tables have turned. The West may be on the brink of a collapse as dramatic as the one that befell the North American Indian.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?

Public surveys, including those from Ipsos MORI, consistently showed strong preference for high-skilled over low-skilled immigration. The gap suggested that ordinary citizens weighed fiscal and labor-market realities more carefully than elite commentary acknowledged. The data undermined claims that opposition stemmed only from prejudice. [7]

World Bank and Danish Ministry of Finance figures revealed a weak negative relationship between population size and GDP per capita. The same reports quantified persistent net fiscal negatives for certain origin groups in Europe. These numbers circulated more widely after 2015 and complicated blanket assertions of economic benefit. [9]

Canadian economic performance after 2015 diverged from U.S. trends. GDP per capita fell, labor productivity eroded, housing prices surged and fertility dropped to 1.24. The government responded in 2024 by cutting both permanent and temporary immigration targets. The reversal marked a practical retreat from earlier ambitious targets. [8][18]

A Home Office whistleblower leaked data showing 53,298 foreign criminals and other illegal migrants had absconded after release on bail. The figures, publicized in Parliament by MP Rupert Lowe, contradicted ministerial assurances about enforcement. The episode further eroded trust in the assumption that inflows were always competently managed. [29]

Supporting Quotes (123)
“Here’s a representative example of British public attitudes to immigration, taken from a 2017 survey by Ipsos MORI.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“(Data were taken from the World Bank and the IAB Brain Drain dataset; the latter figure is for 2010 — the latest available).”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The two series closely tracked until 2015, when they came apart. ... Per-worker investment in Canada and the United States over time. The two series closely tracked until Trudeau entered office.”— The Canadian Question
“using GDP and population data from the World Bank. ... here’s a figure from a report published by the Danish Ministry of Finance.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“On the other hand, there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“here’s a figure from a report published by the Danish Ministry of Finance... The left-hand chart shows net contributions across the lifespan; the right-hand chart average and age-adjusted net contributions... light blue line labelled “MENAPT-lande i alt”... falls below the zero line at every single age... Both values are substantially negative... “Efterkommere, MENAPT”... both values are substantially negative.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“The raw correlation between GDP per capita and population is basically zero (slightly negative, in fact). [...] most of the richest countries are small (the Nordics, Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong etc.)”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“In Denmark, age-and-sex-adjusted violent crime rates for Muslim immigrant groups vary from 2 times the native rate to >6 times the native rate.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Ran Abramitzky and colleagues examined the labour market effects of the 1920s immigration restrictions in the U.S., and found that they caused an inflow of rural Americans into cities. How did farmers compensate for the loss of workers? They shifted toward capital-intensive agriculture—in other words, they mechanized.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Lutz Hendricks and Todd Schoellman have estimated that the average wage gain at migration is 38% of the gap in GDP per worker... In fact, after correcting individual IQ, income and wealth for measurement error, the correlation between national IQ and GDP per capita remains stronger than the one between individual IQ and income.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“The raw correlation between GDP per capita and population is basically zero (slightly negative, in fact).”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“most of the richest countries are small (the Nordics, Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong etc.)”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Cambodians run about 80% of the donut shops in Southern California (despite being only 0.17% of the state’s population).”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“We can roughly quantify the importance of non-linear ethnic niches by examining levels of co-ethnic hiring in new firms. By comparison, German immigrants are at 1.8%, British and Canadians at 2.3%, and Italians at 5.2%.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“Among rich countries without large resource rents or a history of Communism, the United States stands out as being much wealthier than IQ alone would predict. Meanwhile, the non-US Anglosphere (United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada) underperforms”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Among the US-born, Asians are actually under represented among innovators, while white, native-born Americans are almost exactly in line with the national average.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“In a 2020 study, Yale researchers showed that in the period 1880–1920, European immigrants were actually more innovative than natives, with German and British immigrants innovating at particularly high rates. Immigrants had such a large impact on growth that curtailing the flow of British and German immigrants after 1880 would have decreased per capita income by 10 percent.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“Research consistently shows that Chinese and Indian immigrants are the primary contributors to immigrant patenting. [...] Indian immigrants are 55 times more likely to be employed in a scientific profession than immigrants from the Caribbean, Mexico and Central America.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“The chart instead shows no correlation at all, implying that countries with low fertility rates in 2000 did not experience a higher immigration rate in the following 20 years.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“several of the lowest-fertility countries (mostly in eastern and southern Europe) experienced low immigration rates. Some of these countries, such as Hungary and Poland, have recently elected governments decidedly hostile toward immigrants.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“These scenarios would produce very different population sizes by 2046 and 2071, but even under the highest of these immigration rates, the old-age dependency ratio would still rise... The only way to mitigate this would be to commit to continuously increasing the scale of immigration on an indefinite basis. These scenarios point to an important lesson: immigration can grow the population and slow the effects of falling fertility, but it is less efficient at changing the age composition of the population.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“In 2010, the average unlawful immigrant household received around $24,721 in government benefits and services while paying some $10,334 in taxes. This generated an average annual fiscal deficit (benefits received minus taxes paid) of around $14,387 per household.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Miami in those exact years was enjoying the most notorious Cocaine Boom in pop cultural history (Scarface, Miami Vice)”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
“a Home Office whistleblower presented themselves with these figures, in black and white, regularly disseminated within the Home Office.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“The exception is Mexican and Central American immigrants, but the higher incarceration rates for this group since 2005 is largely attributed to the fact that the Census data combines incarceration for criminal acts with detentions for immigration-related offenses”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“The doubts about CBO’s large number involve problems with encounter data (it measures events, not individuals), debates about migrant return rates and criticism of the household survey (whether it overcounts or undercounts immigrants).”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Along with the high unemployment and falling tax revenues of the recession-struck early 1990s came more candor among state and local governments about the costs of illegal immigration and, to an increasing degree, about the costs of refugees and even legal and legalized immigrants.”— The Costs of Immigration
“A major local jurisdiction that consistently declined to take a "see-no-evil" stance on immigration's costs was the Los Angeles County Government.”— The Costs of Immigration
“That’s the takeaway from two new reports by Steven Camarota and Karen Zeigler of the Center for Immigration Studies.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“Amid the sound and fury over Nick Griffin, there's a sad but unnoticed fact: it has taken this fiasco to make politicians talk about the impact of immigration.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Writing in the Evening Standard, he revealed the "major shift" in immigration policy”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“The purpose of this compendium is to dispel such self-serving myths. The truth is that the costs and benefits of immigration are routinely measured, weighed, and debated in academic journals. No fair reading of the literature could conclude that immigration is an unambiguous good. What follows are my own summaries of 72 recent academic works showing negative impacts of immigration”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“Borjas instead reported a large decline in the wages of high school dropouts... Borjas’s findings remain controversial, with a number of studies challenging his analysis.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Most studies find that larger immigrant concentrations in an area have no association with violent crime and, overall, fairly weak effects on property crime.”— Crime and immigration
“Here’s a representative example of British public attitudes to immigration, taken from a 2017 survey by Ipsos MORI.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Since the National Academies’ report was published, academics have continued to produce papers finding negative wage and employment effects. A curated list is provided below.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“This is a conclusion that the migration crisis of recent years has simply accelerated.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“It seems that Europe is now following the Australian model, returning those who arrive by boat to Turkey.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“The effect of IQ on productivity at the individual level (as measured by wages) appears to be much smaller than the effect of IQ on productivity at the national level (as measured by GDP per worker).”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“He also states that during wartime, “the negative effects of the brain drain on the sending country dominate”.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“If you believe that “scientist” is a category that reflects nothing more than skill investments, this result is rather surprising. Couldn’t the dismissed scientists just be replaced by newly qualified ones? No, they couldn’t. The ones who were dismissed had exceptional intelligence and creativity, so losing them was a major hit to human capital.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“In the case of Haiti, they reported a high-skilled emigration rate of 84% for the year 2000... In the case of Haiti, they reported a high-skilled emigration rate of 85% for the year 2010. Their database also shows that as early as 1980 over 65% of high-skilled Haitians were living abroad.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“Every year since 2006, the Fragile States Index has rated countries on various indicators that contribute to the risk of state fragility and state collapse. One such indicator is “Human Flight and Brain Drain”. In the latest version of the index, Haiti is ranked eleventh out of 179 countries on this indicator, and as recently as 2015 it was ranked first. This is consistent with reports that high-skilled emigration rose sharply following the 2010 earthquake.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“(Data were taken from the World Bank and the IAB Brain Drain dataset; the latter figure is for 2010 — the latest available).”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“There is a moderately strong positive association (r = .29, p < 0.001)... national IQ taken from Lynn and Becker has a somewhat stronger relationship with incarceration rate (r = –.37, p < 0.001)... When I entered the two predictor variables into a linear regression model of incarceration rate, they both reached statistical significance... Together, the two variables explained 17–19% of the variance in incarceration rate.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“Left-wing activists who support higher immigration face a fundamental problem. Low-skilled immigration hurts the native working-class... High-skilled immigration, on the other hand, hurts the working class who’re left behind in the country of origin.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“We find that undocumented immigrants have substantially lower crime rates than native-born citizens and legal immigrants across a range of felony offenses.”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“the proportion of arrests involving undocumented immigrants in Texas was relatively stable or decreasing over this period.”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“Immigrants’ children who are born in the United States have higher rates of judicial offending than the immigrant generation does. Still, crime rates among the second generation are generally lower than or very similar to the crime rate of the native-born in general.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“The results from fixed-effects regression models reveal that undocumented immigration does not increase violence. Rather, the relationship between undocumented immigration and violent crime is generally negative, although not significant in all specifications.”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“Using supplemental models of victimization data and instrumental variable methods, we find little evidence that these results are due to decreased reporting or selective migration to avoid crime.”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“Proximity to Mexico and the same economic incentives driving domestic migration have attracted huge numbers of immigrants, who disproportionately vote Democrat.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“between 2009 and 2023, states Trump won in both 2016 and 2020 constructed about 50% more housing per capita than those he did not.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“The 2012 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, conducted by YouGov, gauged the partisan preferences of over 2,900 naturalized immigrants, finding 62.5 percent to be Democratic identifiers, 24.6 percent Republican, and 12.9 percent independent”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“In this paper we surveyed the academic research and found that the answer is no. Illegal immigration is responsible for between 0 and 1 additional Democratic representatives in the House based on the 2020 census. [...] According to data from the Brookings Institution, the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), the Pew Research Center, and Migration Policy Institute (MPI), in 2019 there were anywhere from 10.2 million to 11.4 million undocumented immigrants living in the country.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“copious evidence from Europe is now demonstrating... Minnesota is currently providing an object lesson in this pattern, but you can see it across much of Western Europe.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“That Denmark keeps serious records might have something to do with their turn against immigration.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“And then they wonder why such people vote for Donald Trump, for Nigel Farage, for Marine Le Pen, for AfD, for Sweden Democrats, for … .”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“By September 2025, native born employment was 133.2m, up by 21.9 million (20 per cent) since April 2020. Foreign-born employment and fallen back to 30.7m, so up by 8.7m (40 per cent) since April 2020. Native-born workers were getting jobs being vacated by foreign-born workers.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“As a recent Dutch study found: Only 20% of all immigrants [to the Netherlands] make a positive lifetime net contribution to the public budget.”— The EU as (imperial) substitute for empire
“Precisely because value is subjective, you cannot neatly separate culture from incentives. ... people from different cultures will behave differently in the same circumstances because, in patterns of significance—so cognitively—they are not the same circumstances. ... the correlation between how collectivist cultures are and how corrupt states are is 0.91.”— Where do we go from here?
“You have to be blind—or, apparently, an economist—not to notice that migration has been fracturing the UK, France and the US along their metropolitan/provincial (or cosmopolitan/parochial) divides.”— The failure of economists...
“This is clearest in Denmark, which keeps very precise records of public benefits used and taxes paid. Average net contribution to public finances by year in Denmark. MENAPT migrants are a cost at all ages. Danes and Westerners have a null effect, while other immigrants are a net negative despite contributing during their years of peak earnings.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“The difference in the old-age dependency ratio in 2016 between zero non-EU migration and the existing levels is tiny: 118:100 vs 114:100.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards (though the slope isn’t significantly different from zero). ... Figure from ‘Economic Analysis: Immigrants' net contribution to public finances in 2018’.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“This chart shows gross value added per worker relative to the national average on the x-axis and net internal migration on the y-axis by region within each country. A positive slope means citizens of this country move from less to more productive areas, and a negative slope means they move from more to less productive areas. ... But Canada, Germany, the United States, and above all France and Britain, show the opposite pattern.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“Above, I have established three key empirical results: (i) in accounting terms, foreign inflows account for a vast share (40%) of local population adjustment; (ii) this share is largely attributable to spatial correlation between migrant enclaves and local employment conditions; (iii) despite this, foreign inflows do not significantly accelerate local population adjustment, as they crowd out the contribution of internal mobility (Amior, 2023). ... In 1924, when the United States cut off almost all immigration ... “the loss of immigrant labor was replaced on a nearly one-for-one basis by new inflows of internal migrants”— Fleeing Opportunity
“The best thing for those of us who are incurably skeptical, inveterately curious, recently disillusioned, or merely mischievous, and who no longer view “diversity” as inviolable because its costs and duplicities have become obvious, is to be honest.”— The Diversity Lie
“National IQ may explain most of the variance in wealth between countries ... but the relationship breaks down at the high end. Among rich countries without large resource rents or a history of Communism, the United States stands out as being much wealthier than IQ alone would predict. Meanwhile, the non-US Anglosphere (United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada) underperforms”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Canadian growth closely tracks American growth, or it did until 2015. Since Trudeau entered office and first doubled and then quintupled immigration, living standards in Canada, relative to the United States, have plummeted.”— The Canadian Question
“here’s a figure from a report published by the Danish Ministry of Finance. ... It shows net contributions to the public finances – a decent measure of “being good for the economy” – for different categories of people.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards (though the slope isn’t significantly different from zero).”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Billion-dollar campaigns are now crumbling in the face of this reality. Such marketing efforts have a natural limit, and we are now reaching that limit. ... It requires resources to make people override instincts evolved to help them survive, and that is now ending as our nations decline.”— Dead Man’s Brake
“Rather than targeting small numbers of experts for their unique technical skills and presence in superior foreign industries, brain drain to the US today involves bringing in millions of marginally above-average people in the hope that a handful are loyal geniuses.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“native-born Americans still comprise 40 percent of workers in these occupations. Many occupations often thought to be overwhelmingly foreign-born are in fact majority native-born: Maids and housekeepers: 51 percent native... Janitors: 71 percent native”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“the negative externalities imposed by low-skilled immigration overwhelm the modest benefits it may confer. ... So even if some indirect benefits do exist, all the indirect costs easily outweigh them.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“The science of race differences is too far advanced to permit the old communist canards to be taken seriously. Social science research shows that rising diversity reduces trust and sense of belonging; it causes divisions and conflict.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“The UK & Portugal had the largest post-COVID migration spikes and the largest ruling party backlashes... the 2024 elections can be interpreted as a referendum on the long-term effects of the policies implemented during the reopening after COVID lockdowns.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“Between 1939 and 2022, the mean IQ of college students fell from 119 to 102 – essentially the population average – apparently because of lower enrolment standards (Uttl et al., 2024).”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“having witnessed the effects of such migration in the Western Bloc countries (race riots, the Rushdie Affair) their citizens opted for demographic stability instead.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“elites in the Eastern Bloc wanted to pursue mass immigration, but they simply couldn’t convince voters who’d become deeply suspicious of utopian-sounding arguments after years of communist propaganda.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“In a 2020 study, Yale researchers showed that in the period 1880–1920, European immigrants were actually more innovative than natives, with German and British immigrants innovating at particularly high rates. Immigrants had such a large impact on growth that curtailing the flow of British and German immigrants after 1880 would have decreased per capita income by 10 percent. ... The literature also indicates that areas which had greater European immigration boast higher living standards, greater educational achievement and more innovation today.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“studies in the UK find that the net fiscal contribution of European immigrants is positive, whereas immigrants from outside the European Economic Area are a net cost. According to Oxford Economics (2018), European immigrants in the 2016-2017 fiscal year paid £4.7 billion more in taxes than they took in public services; for non-EEA immigrants, the figure was minus £9 billion.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“She is impressed that Denmark has driven down the number of successful asylum claims to a 40-year low - with the exception of 2020, amid pandemic travel restrictions.”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“And Florida’s Hispanic voters are mostly Cubans and Puerto Ricans who don’t care about the plight of Mexicans. In all the articles about what a genius strategist Karl Rove was in pushing immigration, nobody could explain how his ploy would pay off in any important Electoral College states.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“the empirical regularities observed across a variety of settings point towards the higher importance of non-economic factors.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“If he were entirely wrong, Europe’s voters wouldn’t be swinging sharply right... Nigel Farage’s anti-immigration, pro-law-and-order Reform UK Party now leads some polls, more-volatile nationalist impulses are rising.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“The cardinal mentioned the book "No Go Zones: How Sharia Law is Coming to a Neighborhood Near You," written by former Breitbart News reporter Raheem Kassam, as evidence that Muslim immigration is having an effect even in the United States.”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“67% des Français jugent, à titre personnel, qu’il y a une "submersion migratoire" en France”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“As the ONS sets out… Nearly one million people came to Britain in the year ending June 2023… That is four times the migration levels compared with 2019.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“New figures released last week revealed the scale of their blunder... Responding to last week’s ONS figures, he gave an intriguing press conference in which he castigated the Tories for “turning Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders”... Liberals failed on migration in America, where Donald Trump is now returning to power to show them the price of their failure.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“the disruptions and hardships generated by immigration are already in motion. A historical challenge of this magnitude requires a response – as in the face of all unforeseen and inevitable events of the human experience – without panic and without superficiality.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau and Justice Minister Gérald Darmanin, both immigration hardliners, defended Bayrou, with Darmanin saying it was "progress" to recognize that there was "a proportion of foreigners on French soil that must not be exceeded." ... The vice president of the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) party, Sébastien Chenu, cited Bayrou's remarks as evidence that his movement had "won the ideological battle."”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“We will publish a White Paper imminently – which sets out a plan to reduce immigration. The Migration Advisory Committee is already conducting a review… Our rules will be enforced. Any employers who refuse to play ball… They will be banned from hiring overseas labour. And I’m pleased to announce today… A new security agreement between Iraq and the UK…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“New figures released last week revealed the scale of their blunder. Having already revised its previous figures upwards (never an encouraging sign), the Office for National Statistics now informs us nearly a million people came to Britain in 2022-23... Responding to last week’s ONS figures, he gave an intriguing press conference in which he castigated the Tories for “turning Britain into a one-nation experiment in open borders”, and doing so “by design, not accident”.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“If the 2029 general elections were held today, Reform would capture 34 percent of the vote, Labour 25 percent, and the Conservatives a dismal 15 percent, according to a June Ipsos poll. “I think the big one on this is the mum vote, the protest in Epping was about mums,””— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“The Stanford 9 test scores reveal a huge disparity between Hispanic and white students, hi 1999, white students averaged in the 60th percentile in reading and the 65th percentile in math. Hispanic students averaged in the 20th percentile in reading and the 25th percentile in math.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“The gap between immigrant and native poverty almost tripled in size between 1979 and 1997. The poverty rate for persons living in immigrant households grew dramatically, from 15.5 percent in 1979 to 18.8 percent in 1989 and to 21.8 percent in 1997, while over the same period the poverty rate for persons in native households stayed relatively constant at roughly 12 percent.”— Importing Poverty
“But on a number of other measures, U.S.-born Latino youths do no better than the foreign born. And on some fronts, they do worse.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
““In recent years, we have definitely seen an increase [in knife attacks] in Berlin, especially among children, young people and adolescents. Knife perpetrators are getting younger,””— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“A multidisciplinary team of four experienced researchers investigated this topic in the Netherlands. They had access to unique anonymised microdata from Statistics Netherlands on all inhabitants of the country. In estimating the fiscal impact of immigration, the net lifetime contribution of immigrants to public coffers was estimated by employing the method of generational accounting.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“Is there any possible explanation for this except race? Yet the economists continue to abominate the cephalic index and pay homage to the price index.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“many senators and representatives believed that the new, equal quotas would not be fully used by European, Asian, and Middle Eastern nations. In addition, they did not foresee the expansion of non-quota admissions... under the act's strengthened provisions for family reunification.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“He uses a graphic device he calls "pincers" to claim that America is being racially overwhelmed by immigration. The pincers, based on familiar statistics from the Census Bureau, show growing percentages of our population comprised of people with Hispanic and Asian ancestry, while non-Hispanic whites will be squeezed down to little more than half the national population by 2050.”— A Flawed Jewel
“Auch für den Aufschwung der Rechtspopulisten hat er eine Erklärung”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“The suspect, an Afghan migrant, was caught after police found DNA on a scarf near the path. The scarf reportedly belonged to Maria.”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“Polling regularly finds that the British public wants immigration to be lower than it currently is - and in fact the average person does not realise the current scale of mass immigration.”— What is the problem?
“General de Villiers said that he fears France “could fall slowly or very rapidly” into a “civil war” that could be ignited by “a spark like in 1789”.”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“an “open letter to our political rulers” published on April 21 on the website of the conservative weekly Valeurs Actuelles and signed by more than 7,600 retired military personnel, including 26 generals and an admiral”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
““I would describe the present catastrophe as an uprising or revolt against the French national state, by a significant proportion of the youth of non-European origin present on its territory,” says Brochand.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“major study by the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE) looking at foreigners and their immediate descendants by nationality”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Around 17 percent of violent crimes in Lower Saxony that were attributed to refugees, for example, were suspected of being committed by North African asylum seekers who made up less than 1 percent of the state's registered refugee population.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“Of jobs created in Texas since 2007, 81 percent were taken by newly arrived immigrant workers (legal and illegal).”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“conventional centre-right politics has been recurrently pushed aside by various forms of national populism... country-club Republicans get Trumped, Gaullists get Le Penned, Forza Italia get Melonied, the Tories are being Faraged”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“On New Year's Eve 2016, the situation remained largely peaceful in Cologne, but police were criticized for 'racially profiling' hundreds of men.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Skeptic did a clever version of this back in 2021, asking a sample of Americans how many unarmed black men had been shot by police in 2019.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“Los extranjeros, y en particular los africanos (más del 70%, marroquíes) y americanos (más del 90%, hispanos), tienen tasas de delincuencia por 100.000 adultos muy superiores a las de los españoles.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“I estimate that new immigrants account for 40% of local population adjustment since 1960... This crowd-out can help explain the contemporary decline in gross internal flows”— Moving Targets
“Abramitzky et al. (2021) find that “In urban areas – and especially in manufacturing – the loss of immigrant labor was replaced on a nearly one-for-one basis by new inflows of internal migrants”— Moving Targets
“By plotting the annual net fiscal cost per immigrant group against their conviction rates for severe offences, specifically rape, a distinct, upward-sloping correlation emerges.”— State-Financed Rape
“It was during this chaotic period that the Danish public and, crucially, the social democratic political class, recognised that the survival of their high-trust welfare model was fundamentally incompatible with open-ended, mass immigration from the third world.”— State-Financed Rape
“Major conservative outlets now discuss replacement openly. YouTube will still attach warnings to videos that mention it, yet the subject refuses to disappear because the policy keeps showing up in schools, boardrooms, and border statistics. A taboo cannot survive daily evidence.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
“They now receive immigration on a large scale, with only sporadic and ineffectual pushback.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?
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