The core belief held that immigrants formed a homogeneous, economically positive group because humans were essentially interchangeable widgets who differed only by the institutions they encountered. This view drew strength from efficiency-focused models that treated labor as a frictionless input. It generated the sub-belief that economic effects would be reliably positive and that cultural factors could be ignored. Subsequent work questioned whether the models captured welfare impacts, skill differences or long-term fiscal burdens. [1]
Economists argued that more immigration produced more transactions and therefore more gains from trade, boosting the economy overall. The claim seemed credible to those steeped in positive-sum market logic. It equated rising total GDP with broad benefits while setting aside per-capita measures, distributional consequences and non-economic costs. World Bank data later showed a strong link between population and total GDP but only a weak negative link with GDP per capita. [2][9]
The assumption dismissed labor-market concerns by labeling them the lump-of-labor fallacy. Textbooks taught that jobs were not fixed and that newcomers expanded demand as well as supply. The framing appeared sound in simple supply-and-demand diagrams. Critics pointed to short-term lags in capital and land adjustment and to downward pressure on wages when low-skilled inflows arrived quickly. [2]
Replacement migration was advanced as a remedy for fertility declines and the solvency of welfare states. The United Nations and various national reports presented it as a technical fix. The logic looked persuasive amid fiscal anxiety over aging populations. Later projections revealed that migrants age too and that dependency ratios still climbed unless inflows increased without limit. [3][17][18]
“These statements treat immigrants as if they are a homogeneous, economically positive, group in all the ways that analytically count—including the implicit claim that the economic effects are all that matter and are reliably positive.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“if you think the only things that vary between societies are institutions and policies—that we humans are otherwise interchangeable widgets”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“There is a straightforward, respectable view on immigration to Western countries. More people means more transactions, means more gains from trade, so immigration is a good thing. Immigration grows the economy, it increases GDP, so sensible folk support immigration.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Moreover, increasing total GDP is not the same as increasing per capita GDP. Even with per capita GDP, there are always questions about the distribution of those gains to GDP.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“Economists are fond of talking about the lump-of-labour fallacy: the (false) claim that there is only a fixed amount of work to be done, so there is a zero-sum competition for available work.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The fundamental idea of the neoliberal policy regime is that more transactions are good—as that means more gains from trade. Transaction costs should therefore be reduced so that there are fewer frictions that inhibit transacting. By this logic, immigration is inherently positive, as it means more transactors, more gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“Mainstream Economics—especially in its Samuelsonian “social physics” form—naturally treats people as interchangeable “social particles.” That makes the maths much easier. So, there was no problem with replacement migration as the incoming immigrants would be the same sort of economic “social particles” as the locals. Immigrants and locals were interchangeable social widgets who would transact in predictable ways and grow the economy through gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“there came to be an awareness in policy circles that the collapse in fertility rates had long-term implications—especially fiscal implications for funding the welfare state. Hence, in 2000, the UN came up with what it called replacement migration—bring in immigrants to replace the children that were not being born.”— Where do we go from here?
“none of this policy binary was true. Precisely because value is subjective, you cannot neatly separate culture from incentives. We humans cognitively map significance, not facts. Different cultures cognitively “map” the social world differently, hence people from different cultures will behave differently in the same circumstances because, in patterns of significance—so cognitively—they are not the same circumstances.”— Where do we go from here?
“until relatively recently, Western economics and management theory took as a bedrock assumption that universal factors such as the availability of technology and the profit motive would produce similar organizations and methods of operation in any business regardless of cultural factors. This has been challenged broadly by new studies of the impact of cultural preferences on organizations, management, and leadership, such as the massive Global Leadership and Organizational Behavior Effectiveness (GLOBE) study of such practices in 62 different countries.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“The output of the migrants is added to the country’s GDP: voila!, migration is an economic boon to the receiving country.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“The issue of an ageing population is raised, citing the UN Replacement Migration Report. This alleged benefit of migration is typically exaggerated in its benefits, as migrants also age.”— Theory as a Barrier to Understanding
“More people=more transactions=more gains from trade is a ludicrously simplistic way to look at the complexities of human interactions.”— The failure of economists...
“The notion that bringing in (working) migrants who raise GDP so, as long as their impact on GDP is larger than their impact on public debt, you’re ahead, is nuts.”— The failure of economists...
“Migration dilutes the votes of any group functionally restricted to the existing polity.”— The failure of economists...
“They care about the principle that people not be held back by morally arbitrary barriers like national borders. And they care about the well-being of the immigrants: just because someone happened to be born in a different country, they reason, why should his or her interests be discounted?”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The claim that high-skilled emigration somehow benefits sending countries, because migrants send back remittances, was always bogus.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“The fact that voters express such different views when it comes to high- versus low-skilled immigration puts the lie to the notion that they are wildly ill-informed or simply prejudiced toward foreigners.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Along with Australia, which follows a similar policy, Canada has some of the world’s smartest immigrants. Note, however, that the PISA tests 16 year-olds, which means the less-selective Trudeau wave is not getting picked up in these data.”— The Canadian Question
“A full third of all immigrants to Canada in 2021 were from India, four times more than from China, the next highest country. This sort of dominance of immigration by one country makes assimilation, which is already difficult in the best circumstances, impossible.”— The Canadian Question
“there’s a very strong relationship between population and GDP: countries with larger populations tend to produce more goods and services – which isn’t particularly surprising. On the other hand, there’s a weak negative relationship between population and GDP per capita: countries with larger populations tend to have slightly lower living standards”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Does everyone contribute equally to the economy? No. Can someone’s contribution to the economy be predicted based on factors like education and country of origin? Yes.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“When people with advanced degrees assure us that “immigration is good for the economy” they’re surely talking about living standards? Otherwise, the assertion is almost trivial: as long as someone does one hour of work per year, and doesn’t stop anyone else from working, he has added to GDP. But nobody really cares about the total size of the economy; what they care about is living standards... People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Does everyone contribute equally to the economy? No. Can someone’s contribution to the economy be predicted based on factors like education and country of origin? Yes. Hence some types of immigration will be good for the economy, and some types will be bad.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Saying that both high-skilled and low-skilled immigration are good for the economy is equivalent to saying that additional people are good for the economy. Do we see that countries with larger populations are richer? Not at all – which was one of the points I made in my original article. The raw correlation between GDP per capita and population is basically zero (slightly negative, in fact).”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“What’s implausible is that the other economic effects are large enough to outweigh the negative fiscal effect. [...] do we see that countries with a higher ratio of low-skilled to high-skilled workers are richer? No, we generally see the opposite.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The argument for mass immigration goes something like this: even if immigrants raise the cost of housing, compete with native workers and strain the welfare system, they still make the economy more “dynamic”. Specifically, they free up high-skilled natives to focus on more complex work, boosting economic growth through specialization of labor.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Of the 525 civilian occupations identified in Census Bureau data, only five are majority immigrant (either legal or illegal) — with just one, “manicurists and pedicurists”, exceeding 60 percent. The five majority-immigrant occupations account for only 0.6 percent of the civilian U.S. workforce.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Both pointed out that the net fiscal effect of low-skilled immigration is only part of the overall economic effect – which is entirely true. What’s implausible is that the other economic effects are large enough to outweigh the negative fiscal effect.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“Saying that both high-skilled and low-skilled immigration are good for the economy is equivalent to saying that additional people are good for the economy. Do we see that countries with larger populations are richer? Not at all”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“As an example of how “low productivity workers” are good for the economy, Darling wrote that they “free up time away so that "high productivity workers" do not have to spend time on "low productivity" tasks”.”— Was I wrong about low-skilled immigration?
“The general economic case for immigration is that immigration means larger markets and hence more competition, more opportunities for specialization, more economies of scale, and so on.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“Pro-immigration conservatives often celebrate the “entrepreneurship” of non-linear ethnic niches as a route to assimilation, but that’s getting it backwards.”— Non-linear Ethnic Niches
“National IQ is the best predictor of economic growth and development, explaining roughly 70% of the variance in GDP per capita by itself.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Combine this with the allocative benefits underlying mainstream economists’ support for immigration and the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco, and the argument for admitting high-skilled immigration is strong.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“repeating statistics that showcase some groups’ accomplishments can’t change the fact that other groups accomplish much less. Like talent in America, the abilities of immigrants are unequally distributed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“The evidence that some immigrants boost economic growth and innovation is substantial. Yet the ethnic background of these immigrants is rarely mentioned in public debates.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“Research shows that immigration does not reduce the capital intensity of the economy, but rather it allows firms to expand and investments to adjust, and it also promotes innovation and growth—especially when highly skilled immigrants are admitted. There is also little evidence that immigration displaces jobs or depresses wages in the receiving countries (see, for example, Lewis and Peri 2015 and Peri 2016).”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“In the United States, for instance, where immigrants’ employment rates are high and a large share are highly educated, the average lifetime fiscal contribution of an immigrant who arrived in the last 10 years has been calculated at $173,000.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“In the United States, the total fertility rate of natives was 1.76 children per woman in 2017, whereas that of immigrants was 2.18.”— Can Immigration Solve the Demographic Dilemma? – IMF F&D
“for now, Canada’s labor force continues to grow—in fact, the labor force grew by 2.8 million persons or nearly 15 percent over the last decade—but this has been driven entirely by the admission of temporary and permanent immigrants, illustrating the critical role that migration policy has assumed in the Canadian economy.”— Understanding the Impact of Immigration on Demography: A Canadian Case Study
“According to provisional data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics, the fertility rate dropped another 3 percent last year, reaching 54.5 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44. Just under 3.6 million babies were born in the U.S. in 2023, 76,000 fewer than the year before. ... The total fertility rate in 2023 remained below replacement—the level at which a given generation can exactly replace itself (2,100 births per 1,000 women). The rate has generally been below replacement since 1971 and consistently below replacement since 2007.”— Bill Clinton says low birth rate means US needs migrants
“As of 2010 the percentage of population 65 and older was over 20 percent in Germany and Italy and only 12 percent in the US.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“In contrast many African countries have not experienced the demographic decline yet (Table 2) and hence their emigration rates have not peaked.”— IMMIGRATION AND EUROPE’S DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY CONSIDERATIONS
“The estimated native-born population of 16-year-olds peaked in 2023 and is expected to decline through at least 2040 based on current and past birth data. Specifically, we project that the annual inflow of native-born 16-year-olds into the working-age population will decline from 4.2 million to 3.6 million by 2040.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“We show that, without immigration, prime-age labor force growth will likely continue to slow and turn negative around 2042.”— Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics - San Francisco Fed
“foreign born people accounted for half of the growth in the U.S. labor force between 2010 and 2018. Half... immigration will account for about three-quarters of the overall increase in the size of the population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population... almost 20% of all of those in the U.S. with a graduate degree are foreign born.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“generally speaking, immigrants are far more likely to work than people who are born in the U.S. They have higher labor force participation rates.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“foreign born people accounted for half of the growth in the U.S. labor force between 2010 and 2018. Half. ... immigration will account for about three-quarters of the overall increase in the size of the population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population. We know that, for example, immigrants receive patents at twice the rate of the native-born population.”— Why immigrants are America’s superpower | Brookings
“Without immigration, the U.S. population will start to decline by the 2030s. Already in 2022, about half of all the counties in the United States saw declining populations. Moreover, in 2022, international migration accounted for 80 percent of the meager 0.4 percent population growth.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“According to a Cato Institute update of a National Academy of Sciences report, immigrants generate, in inflation-adjusted terms, nearly $1 trillion in state, local, and federal taxes, which is almost $300 billion more than they receive in government benefits, including cash assistance, entitlements, and public education.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Immigrants increase the supply of labor, which increases the supply of goods and services that people need; their consumption, entrepreneurship, and investment also increases the demand for labor, creating better-paying jobs for Americans elsewhere in the economy. Fundamentally, immigrants aren’t competitors. They are collaborators.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“Currently, U.S. nonfarm employers have about 9 million open jobs, and over the last two and a half years, this number has averaged about 10 million.”— Unlocking America's Potential: How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth and Our Competitive Advantage
“By combining stories of immigrants who have contributed to the American experience, including in the military and business”— The Immigrant Superpower
“with analysis of immigration's effects on wages and unemployment, Kane presents a clear defense of greater immigration”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Argues that the widespread consensus among US citizens on immigration has been hijacked by political partisanship”— The Immigrant Superpower
“Some argue that the deficit figures for poorly educated households in the general population are not relevant for immigrants. Many believe, for example, that lawful immigrants use little welfare. In reality, lawful immigrant households receive significantly more welfare, on average, than U.S.-born households.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many conservatives believe that if an individual has a job and works hard, he will inevitably be a net tax contributor (paying more in taxes than he takes in benefits). In our society, this has not been true for a very long time.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many believe that unlawful immigrants work more than other groups. This is also not true. The employment rate for non-elderly adult unlawful immigrants is about the same as it is for the general population.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many policymakers also believe that because unlawful immigrants are comparatively young, they will help relieve the fiscal strains of an aging society. Regrettably, this is not true. At every stage of the life cycle, unlawful immigrants, on average, generate fiscal deficits (benefits exceed taxes). Unlawful immigrants, on average, are always tax consumers; they never once generate a “fiscal surplus””— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Many policymakers believe that after amnesty, unlawful immigrants will help make Social Security solvent. It is true that unlawful immigrants currently pay FICA taxes and would pay more after amnesty, but with average earnings of $24,800 per year, the typical unlawful immigrant will pay only about $3,700 per year in FICA taxes. After retirement, that individual is likely to draw more than $3.00 in Social Security and Medicare (adjusted for inflation) for every dollar in FICA taxes he has paid.”— The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer
“Unlike its rivals, whose populations are shrinking, the United States enjoys a growing workforce, buoyed by high levels of immigration.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“the country is an economic citadel, packed with resources and blessed by ocean borders that shield it from invasion while connecting it to global trade.”— The Strange Triumph of a Broken America
“immigration must not lower wages because the 1980 Mariel boatlift from Cuba didn’t cause pay in Miami to drop relative to several other cities from 1980 to 1984. I responded that Miami in those exact years was enjoying the most notorious Cocaine Boom in pop cultural history (Scarface, Miami Vice)”— What’s the Matter With Economists?
““The requested data is not readily accessible from published statistics, and could only be collated and verified for the purpose of answering this question at a disproportionate cost.” That was not true. ... “The Home Office does not hold any central record of the requested information.” That was not true.”— Illegal Migrants: Unknown Whereabouts - Hansard - UK Parliament
“Using U.S. Census Bureau data, it focuses on immigrants present in the Census regardless of their legal status and on men between the ages of 18 and 40... the first nationally representative dataset of incarceration rates for immigrants and the U.S.-born going back 170 years.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“Instead, Abramitzky and his collaborators chose to analyze incarceration rates, which they say are better indicators of serious crime because they often require a conviction.”— The mythical tie between immigration and crime
“With new access to Texas’ computerized criminal history data for more than 1.8 million arrests over six years, UW–Madison sociology professor Michael Light and co-authors Jingying He and Jason Robey”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“Previous studies, including others published by Light, have drawn similar, though less direct, conclusions. These studies were limited to comparing crime rate trends to immigration trends, because records matching crimes to the immigration status of perpetrators weren’t available.”— Undocumented immigrants far less likely to commit crimes in U.S. than citizens
“In 2023, Latinos contributed $4.1 trillion to the United States’ gross domestic product, with California alone, accounting for approximately $1 trillion. Without Latino workers and consumers, California’s global economic ranking would have dropped from fifth to eighth place.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“Immigrants make up 43% of the United States’s working-age Latino population, underscoring their central role in sustaining economic growth. Latino immigrants are essential to the U.S. labor force, representing 14.1 million workers nationwide.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“For example, in states such as Florida, the number of Latino immigrants in construction increased by roughly 71%, while the overall industry only grew by 37%.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“In California, which produces 12% of total U.S. agricultural output, over half of all agricultural workers are Latino immigrants... Given that the ACS undercounts undocumented workers, the true scale of their contribution is almost certainly higher.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“It’s a phenomenon dubbed the “immigration surplus,” and while a small share of additional GDP accrues to natives — typically 0.2 to 0.4 percent — it still amounts to $36 to $72 billion per year.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Immigrants grease the wheels of the labor market by flowing into industries and areas where there is a relative need for workers — where bottlenecks or shortages might otherwise damp growth.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Forty-four percent of medical scientists are foreign born, for example, as are 42 percent of computer software developers.”— Benefits of Immigration Outweigh the Costs
“Using data from the Census Bureau’s 2023 American Community Survey (ACS), this brief examines the economic contributions of Latino immigrant labor in U.S. states with the largest Latino immigrant populations.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“In 2023, Latinos contributed $4.1 trillion to the United States’ gross domestic product, with California alone, accounting for approximately $1 trillion.”— What the United States Economy Stands to Lose: Latino Immigrant Labor in the Crosshairs
“By incorporating previously unavailable data on migration along the southwest border into the government’s economic and fiscal outlook... Census 2023 estimates (July to July) put net immigration at 1.1 million, far from CBO’s calendar-year 2023 estimate of 3.3 million”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“In 2023 alone, Customs and Border Protection (CBP) personnel encountered 2.54 million migrants at the southwest border... Border Patrol encounters do not include got-aways, or unauthorized immigrants, who escape the notice of Border Patrol”— Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output
“Findings from the Dallas Fed Texas Business Outlook Surveys (TBOS) suggest immigration policy changes will negatively affect the ability to hire and retain foreign-born workers at one in five Texas businesses this year.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“When the immigration surge was at its peak, economists estimated that U.S. break-even job growth was around 250,000 jobs per month... Current estimates of break-even employment growth are approaching 30,000 jobs.”— Immigration crackdown likely contributing to weak Texas job growth
“Studies abounded in the growth years of the late 1970s and 1980s that assured citizens and political leaders that immigration meant enrichment — more tax revenues and less demand for services, job creation, rejuvenation of the social security system, and a major boost to the all- important consumer spending.”— The Costs of Immigration
“The studies tended to discount concerns about rising fiscal costs of increasingly dependent and less-educated flows of immigrants entering in larger numbers through the non-job-related family reunification, humanitarian and illegal channels.”— The Costs of Immigration
“Representatives in Congress are apportioned among the states according to their total populations, not their total number of U.S. citizens. That means that the approximately 20 million noncitizens in the census — legal and illegal, temporary and permanent — bolster the congressional representation of high-immigration states without actually increasing the number of eligible voters in those states.”— How Immigrants Redistribute Political Power — Without Voting
“Eventually published in January 2001, the innocuously labelled "RDS Occasional Paper no. 67", "Migration: an economic and social analysis" focused heavily on the labour market case. But the earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural. [...] the "social outcomes" it talks about are solely those for immigrants.”— Don't listen to the whingers - London needs immigrants
“Earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural.”— Labour wanted mass immigration to make UK more multicultural, says former adviser
“He said it would be a “start,” but that he “would hope that it would be even more expansive than that.” He went on to say when considering who should get amnesty that it would be determined by their age when they came to the U.S., not their present age. So, a 56-year old who came to the country when they were 2 would qualify for amnesty under Mayorkas vision.”— What a Glimpse of Biden’s Cabinet Tells Us About His Immigration Policy
“For example, Table 5-2 from the report lists several major studies measuring immigration’s impact on wages. Notice the negative values in the “Wage Effect” column:”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“After considering over 50 studies of immigration in developed countries, the author concludes that “immigration can create winners and losers among the native-born workers”. Because low-skill immigration tends to make low-skill natives the “losers” and high-skill natives the “winners”, rising inequality is a natural consequence.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“a 2022 study-of-studies (a meta-analysis) by C. Nedoncelle and others analyzed 64 papers published between 1972 and 2019. They found, “…an average negative, close-to-zero wage effect.””— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“Card, now a Nobel Laureate, had identified a unique “natural experiment” in the 1980 Mariel Boatlift... he found that the arrival of these immigrants had no effect on wages or unemployment rates of low-skilled Miami natives.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“The aging of the US population means that immigration will be essential to sustaining the US labor force and standard of living in coming decades.”— Immigration Economics - UHERO
“there is an overwhelming consensus among economists that it is, on the whole, a great blessing. What’s more, this consensus cuts not only across political, but also methodological lines, with classical liberal, neo-classical, Chicago school, Austrian, and even some Keynesian economists agreeing that relatively unfettered labor mobility maximizes economic growth.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“But this Malthusian worldview, I will argue, is ultimately flawed-even dangerously so.”— Immigration Policy: An Argument for Opening America's Borders
“The first of these studies presents estimates of the effect of immigration on crime for England and Wales over the period 2002–2009 [2]. The impact on violent and property crime of two large immigrant flows that occurred over the period is examined.”— Crime and immigration
“The standard framework that economists use to think about crime is the model developed by Becker [1].”— Crime and immigration
“Does low-skilled immigration really hurt the native working class? I’m not going to do a detailed survey of the literature, but the short answer is: yes it does.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“high-skilled migrants are universally preferred, and for good reason: they tend to have low crime rates and tend to make positive fiscal contributions”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Chapters 4 and 5 review the theoretical and empirical research on how immigration affects the labor market, making it clear that immigration is costly to certain groups of Americans. For example, Table 5-2 from the report lists several major studies measuring immigration’s impact on wages. Notice the negative values in the “Wage Effect” column.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“This paper shows that a common “instrumental variables” technique to deal with that problem still unintentionally captures more than just the initial impact of immigration... Giovanni Peri, an economist known for downplaying the negative impact of immigration, has 12 different papers on the list.”— A Compendium of Recent Academic Work Showing Negative Impacts of Immigration
“In all Western European countries this process began after the Second World War due to labour shortages. Soon Europe got hooked on the migration and could not stop the flow even if it had wanted to.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“All the time Europeans found ways to pretend this could work. By insisting, for instance, that such immigration was normal. Or that if integration did not happen with the first generation then it might happen with their children, grandchildren or another generation yet to come. Or that it didn’t matter whether people integrated or not.”— The Strange Death of Europe
“Europe, beginning after World War I and particularly following World War II, lost faith in religion, progress, and itself. After witnessing the worst of humanity, Europe has dismissed ideologies, the lessons of the Enlightenment, and reason as a guide for action.”— How Europe Forgot Itself
“Europe’s structure of rights, laws and institutions could not exist without the Christian base from which they developed. The secular focus on ‘human rights’ derives from moral equality in God’s eyes, a concept developed by Christian thinkers in the Middle Ages. As atheist theologian Don Cupitt put it, ‘the modern Western secular world is itself a Christian creation.’”— How Europe Forgot Itself
““American blacks had a hard enough time competing with American whites. Putting them up against ever more of the cleverest and most ambitious of four billion Asians is increasingly a wipe-out.””— Steve Sailer: Still noticing after all these years
“Nowrasteh seems to believe the only negative impact brain drain has on the sending country is purely compositional: people of above-average productivity leave, so average productivity goes down, but no individual in the sending country is worse off than he was before.”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“High-skilled emigration must be good, he reasons, since it is “voluntary and mutually beneficial” (both the migrants and the receiving country benefit).”— Are "nativists" wrong about brain drain?
“For example, Smith cites a paper which studied the emigration of Filipino nurses and found that “for each nurse migrant, 10 additional nurses were licensed”. He cites another paper which studied the emigration of Indian IT workers and found that “as the number of US visas were capped, many remained in India, enabling the growth of an Indian IT sector”.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Economists have traditionally viewed “human capital” as analogous to physical capital like factories and computers; indeed, that’s where the very term comes from. Individuals “invest” in new skills, thereby becoming more “productive”. And while there is some truth in this view (learning to code really will make you a better IT worker) it is largely mistaken. Why? Because it ignores the role of genes.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“As Smith points out, several studies have found a positive association between high-skilled emigration and skill formation, such that countries with high rates of emigration often end up with more high-skilled people than they had before.”— Skilled migration does not benefit sending countries...
“Some economists maintain that skilled migration is actually good for sending countries, but their arguments aren’t convincing – as I’ve mentioned before. They can’t explain why fast-tracking visas for highly qualified Russians would be an effective way to destabilise Russia’s economy, yet doing the same for highly qualified Haitians would somehow have the opposite effect.”— Why is Haiti such a mess?
“The claim that high-skilled emigration somehow benefits sending countries, because migrants send back remittances, was always bogus.”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“This is particularly true given that such countries’ smart fractions tend to be small to begin with (a lower average has a disproportionate impact in the tails).”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“Indeed, if we look at homicide rates (the most internationally comparable crime statistics), Albania’s is only 1.7 per 100,000 – putting it below Estonia, Israel, New Zealand, Canada and the US. Of course, Albania may have higher rates of other kinds of crime like theft or fraud. But you still wouldn’t expect Albanians to be overrepresented in British prisons by a factor of 30.”— Immigrant selection and crime in Britain
“They care about the principle that people not be held back by morally arbitrary barriers like national borders. And they care about the well-being of the immigrants: just because someone happened to be born in a different country, they reason, why should his or her interests be discounted?”— The fundamental problem for immigration activists
“A 2018 report from the Cato Institute found that arrest and conviction rates for undocumented immigrants are lower than those of native-born individuals (12). Research by the Crime Prevention Research Center in that same year, however, reached the exact opposite conclusion (13).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“lacking legal status limits their legitimate economic opportunities, and thus, undocumented immigrants may turn to illegitimate economic pursuits (15).”— Comparing crime rates between undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants, and native-born US citizens in Texas | PNAS
“In one study, researchers compared incarceration rates for foreign-born and U.S.-born men, ages 18-39, and found that the incarceration of the foreign-born was one-fourth that of the native-born.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Foreign-born Hispanic men had an incarceration rate that was one-seventh that of U.S.-born Hispanic men.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
““…the major finding of a century of research on immigration and crime is that immigrants…nearly always exhibit lower crime rates than native groups.””— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“All of the studies found that the more immigrants live in an area, the lower the crime rate tends to be. Using a wide range of methods, data, and levels of aggregation, these studies have also found that the crime drop observed between 1990 and 2000 can be partially explained by increases in immigration.”— ISSUE BRIEF: Crime
“Most notably, this body of work has mainly been confined to assessments of the overall or Latino foreign-born populations (Feldmeyer, 2009; Martinez, Stowell, and Lee, 2010; Ousey and Kubrin, 2009; Wadsworth, 2010) because of the paucity of data accounting for unauthorized immigrants separately."”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“in a recent meta-analysis of the 51 macro-level immigration–crime studies conducted between 1994 and 2014, not one was aimed at explicitly examining unauthorized immigration flows (Ousey and Kubrin, 2017).”— DOES UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRATION INCREASE VIOLENT CRIME?
“life expectancy, HDI, and GDP per capita are some of the more common ones. But how to weigh each of these is not obvious; you can never be sure you’re not missing something important. Furthermore, these things are very heavily influenced by demographics and geography, which are not (in the short term) the result of governance.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“In the absence of immigration, massive flows from blue to red states would weaken the Democratic Party at the federal level. Immigration breaks this link.”— Wrecking the Laboratories of Democracy
“If immigrants possess or come to acquire the same partisan predispositions as natives and divide their votes in the same way, there is not likely to be much political change resulting from their emergence into the electorate.”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“the propensity for immigrants, and especially Latinos, to be swing voters has been greatly exaggerated by wishful-thinking Republican politicians and business-seeking pollsters who refuse to acknowledge the stability of individual party identification”— Immigration's Impact on Republican Political Prospects, 1980 to 2012
“As of the most recent census, if we take the approximately 11 million undocumented immigrants present in 2019 and divide by 761,952, that would equal 14 congressional seats and could be where some Republican officeholders get the “13 seats” calculation. The 20 seats cited by Elon Musk is unsupported by any reasonable calculation of the number of undocumented immigrants living in America. But we hasten to add the obvious: this is not 14 additional congressional seats. The number is capped at 435, and illegal immigrants are dispersed to every state in America—blue and red.”— Is Illegal Immigration Really a Democratic Plot to Sway Congressional Apportionment?
“if you think the only things that vary between societies are institutions and policies—that we humans are otherwise interchangeable widgets, so people moving from countries with worse institutions to better ones is unproblematically a net gain—then treating immigrants as if they are interchangeable widgets may make a certain superficial sense.”— Why we should stop listening to economists on immigration
“Supporting the joys of a multicultural society has been a marker of being enlightened and progressive for decades now. It got repackaged as “diversity is our strength”, but it is an extension of the same underlying idea.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“They want “diversity” as a performative moral marker, and no more. They want multi-ethnic—like my local cafe—but not multicultural.”— No one in the West wants to live in a multicultural society
“There is a straightforward, respectable view on immigration to Western countries. More people means more transactions, means more gains from trade, so immigration is a good thing. Immigration grows the economy, it increases GDP, so sensible folk support immigration.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“There are extra bells and whistles, such as providing needed skills; compensating for falling fertility; willingness to do jobs locals are not. All the extra bells and whistles have responses. Why not train locals (i.e., citizens)? Won’t the immigrants’ fertility also fall? (Yes, though possibly more slowly.) The real willingness is to do jobs at lower wages and conditions than the locals would accept.”— Collapse of confidence, destruction of trust
“The fundamental idea of the neoliberal policy regime is that more transactions are good—as that means more gains from trade. Transaction costs should therefore be reduced so that there are fewer frictions that inhibit transacting. By this logic, immigration is inherently positive, as it means more transactors, more gains from trade.”— Where do we go from here?
“Mainstream Economics—especially in its Samuelsonian “social physics” form—naturally treats people as interchangeable “social particles.” That makes the maths much easier. So, there was no problem with replacement migration as the incoming immigrants would be the same sort of economic “social particles” as the locals.”— Where do we go from here?
“This shows what ridiculous nonsense open-border economics is. People are not interchangeable widgets. People from different cultures, faced with the same set of possibilities and payoffs, make different decisions”— The failure of economists...
“More people=more transactions=more gains from trade is a ludicrously simplistic way to look at the complexities of human interactions.”— The failure of economists...
“Economic analysis of migration has a persistent tendency to leave things out, such as the implications of endemic cousin marriage. The Morocco-to-Pakistan region has high rates of cousin marriage.”— The failure of economists...
“immigration can definitely reverse population decline, it can’t do much for population aging. Assuming immigrant age-structure and fertility remain constant, the difference in the working-age share of the population in 2060 between zero net migration and 2019 levels of migration in the United States is… 2% (57% vs 59%).”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“immigrants and their children are a fiscal cost, not a benefit. This is clearest in Denmark, which keeps very precise records of public benefits used and taxes paid. Average net contribution to public finances by year in Denmark. MENAPT migrants are a cost at all ages.”— Immigration does not solve population decline
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do. (In fact, they don’t.)”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“having a larger population is good for the total size of the economy, but it’s bad (or irrelevant) for the standard of living.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“many debates over the economic impacts of immigration compare the fiscal impact or income of immigrants with natives, which is how you get charts like this one: Fiscal effects of immigration on Britain, 1995-2011. ... But since immigrants cluster in high-productivity areas, thereby driving natives away, immigrants’ incomes are artificially inflated.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“This is exactly what you’d expect from both common sense and basic economic theory. But Canada, Germany, the United States, and above all France and Britain, show the opposite pattern.”— Fleeing Opportunity
“Major League Baseball (MLB) received a commendable grade of an A because players of color (POC, a different term for non-white) comprise 38% of the league. But the National Basketball Association (NBA) received an impeccable A+ because players of color comprise 83.2% of the league.”— The Diversity Lie
“National IQ is the best predictor of economic growth and development, explaining roughly 70% of the variance in GDP per capita by itself. Combine this with the allocative benefits underlying mainstream economists’ support for immigration and the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco, and the argument for admitting high-skilled immigration is strong.”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“the innovative benefits of getting more smart people into cognitive clusters like San Francisco ... European immigrants make up 12% of US immigrants, but 39% of US immigrant innovators. Meanwhile, Asian immigrants make up 31% of non-other US immigrants and 56% of non-other US immigrant innovators. ... Among the US-born, Asians are actually under represented among innovators”— Increasing skilled immigration is a mistake
“Canada has some of the world’s smartest immigrants. Note, however, that the PISA tests 16 year-olds, which means the less-selective Trudeau wave is not getting picked up in these data.”— The Canadian Question
“having a larger population is good for the total size of the economy, but it’s bad (or irrelevant) for the standard of living.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“People see a study that finds, say, an overrepresentation of immigrants among the founders of Fortune 500 companies. And they conclude that immigrants in general must be more likely to found such companies. Hint: just because high-skilled immigrants in America found a lot of companies, doesn’t mean low-skilled immigrants in Europe do.”— Is "immigration" good for the economy?
“Progressive initiatives to override our instincts, usually labelled under the umbrella term “anti-racism,” are not based on real world evidence. They are aspirational concepts designed to demonstrate moral superiority.”— Dead Man’s Brake
““Immigration is America’s superpower” is a common thought-terminating cliché in US political discourse. Proponents claim that the US can absorb the world’s human capital like a sponge and use it for geopolitical advantage, with many wanting more skilled immigration to “beat China”.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“The hubris lies in the belief that the United States is so incredibly amazing that every capable person on Earth wants to be an American. The lack of respect lies in the belief that immigrants and their descendants don’t have their own views on how things should be run.”— Brain Drain as Geopolitical Strategy
“the typical mainstream economist will retreat to their last stand: abstract economic models, long-run “what-ifs”, and elegant equations where immigration magically boosts national prosperity through indirect channels. Specifically, they free up high-skilled natives to focus on more complex work, boosting economic growth through specialization of labor.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Of the 525 civilian occupations identified in Census Bureau data, only five are majority immigrant (either legal or illegal) — with just one, “manicurists and pedicurists”, exceeding 60 percent. The five majority-immigrant occupations account for only 0.6 percent of the civilian U.S. workforce. Moreover, native-born Americans still comprise 40 percent of workers in these occupations. Many occupations often thought to be overwhelmingly foreign-born are in fact majority native-born: Maids and housekeepers: 51 percent native Construction laborers: 61 percent native Home health aides: 61 percent native Landscaping workers: 66 percent native Janitors: 71 percent native”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Individuals with high IQs generate positive externalities for their fellow citizens: less criminality, more cooperation, greater trust (which leads to less demand for government regulations) and higher economic literacy. Indeed, national IQ is positively correlated with almost everything good and negatively correlated with almost everything bad. We therefore shouldn’t be surprised that it’s the single best predictor of economic growth and also an excellent predictor of socioeconomic development.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Alberto Simpser looked at various immigrant groups from Europe and their children, obtaining two key results. Second generation European immigrants clearly resemble their home countries when it comes to their tolerance towards bribery, even when controlling for many factors. And tolerance towards bribery does indeed translate into offering and taking bribes.”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“Ran Abramitzky and colleagues examined the labour market effects of the 1920s immigration restrictions in the U.S., and found that they caused an inflow of rural Americans into cities. How did farmers compensate for the loss of workers? They shifted toward capital-intensive agriculture—in other words, they mechanized. ... Katja Mann and Dario Pozzoli analysed changes in the share of non-Western immigrants in the local workforce across Danish municipalities. ... a one percentage point increase in the share of non-Western migrants decreases the probability of robot adoption by 12%”— Externalities from low-skilled migration
“First, Martin Luther King fought and died for his people. That is why they loved him and still do. He chose to advance the interests of the African-American community by campaigning for their civil rights.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Hitchens claims that he believes there is only one race, the human race. This is not a credible position. Just as there is not one family, the human family, there is also a plurality of genetically distinct populations sometimes called races.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Ferguson is relaxed about racial changes not only because he ignores negative impacts of diversity, but also because he holds there are no functional racial differences, just superficial ones such as skin colour.”— Leading conservatives are confused about race
“Many analysts claim, of course, that without immigration, nobody would fill many of the jobs in the United States, but this ignores the fact that the labor-force participation rate for prime-age men (especially low-skilled prime-age men) is staggeringly low.”— It's the immigration, stupid.
“In both the US and the UK, ethnic minorities vote overwhelmingly for left-wing parties. At the last Presidential Election, only 26% of non-whites voted Republican. And at the last General Election, only 21% voted Conservative or Reform.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“immigrants are more supportive of immigration than are natives. According to my calculations, the difference amounts to about 0.33sd in the UK and about 0.30sd in the US.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“he scoffs at those obtuse Republicans who insist that immigrants will soon reveal their “natural conservatism” at the ballot box by voting Republican rather than Democrat.”— Winning the argument on immigration
“Increasingly, corporate think tanks are also pushing for immigration as a means to drive economic growth by boosting consumer demand, even at the cost of lower GDP per capita (Malde, 2023; Singer, 2024).”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“But is it more naïve than the Republican goal of unlimited economic and demographic growth?”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“Free market conservatives will say “better.” If labor can circulate freely, it will be distributed more efficiently around the world, thus creating optimal conditions for the creation of wealth.”— Trump: White America’s savior?
“the countries of the Western Bloc opened their doors to large numbers of non-Western migrants – ostensibly to address labour shortages after the war.”— Was it better to be in the Eastern Bloc?
“Immigration advocates claim that foreigners make America richer, increase productivity and kickstart entrepreneurship. They churn out studies touting the benefits of immigration. ... repeating statistics that showcase some groups’ accomplishments can’t change the fact that other groups accomplish much less. Like talent in America, the abilities of immigrants are unequally distributed.”— Does it matter where immigrants come from?
“In 2015, the country had a centre-left government in trouble and a right-wing populist party surging in the polls, with immigration increasingly worrying voters. Downing Street is interested in how a centre-left party managed to defeat the Danish People’s Party”— British Labour Government Considers Danish Social Democratic Government's Anti-Immigration Policies
“In the Electoral College, to be precise. In 2000, Bush lost narrowly in a number of northern Rust Belt states like Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, so if he had only performed three percentage points better among whites in every state, he would have cruised to an Electoral College landslide of 367 to 171 instead of squeaking to his notoriously thin edge.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“the bipartisan consensus that the only way the Republicans could possibly win another presidential election was via amnesty for illegal aliens and other immigration-boosting devices.”— Why I Wasn't Profiled in The New Yorker
“One of the reasons why this is rarely considered is because immigrants are treated as not varying in any way that matters—that immigrants can be just assessed as a single analytical category. Another reason is immigrants are treated as the only humans in history who cannot make things worse. A third reason is that commerce is treated as if it is the only relevant mechanism of cooperation”— Individualism and cooperation: I
“One recurrent worry among natives is that immigrants may drag down salaries, especially at the lower end of the income distribution, possibly also increasing inequality.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Even though immigration as a whole is economically beneficial to receiving countries (Dustmann and Preston, 2019), immigrants may compete with natives for jobs.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Not only natives over-estimate the size of the immigrant community; they also believe that immigrants are poorer, less skilled, and culturally or ethnically more distant than they actually are.”— The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
“Western Europe’s governments expected mass immigration to boost their economies. Instead, it produced welfare dependency, crime, terrorism and a sectarian power struggle that has permanently altered European life.”— Who’s Afraid of Renaud Camus?
“the church must be generous to "individuals that are not able to find a way of living in their own country"”— Limiting Muslim immigration is patriotic, U.S. cardinal says
“Selon l'Insee, en 2023, la population étrangère vivant en France s'élevait à 5,6 millions de personnes, soit 8,2% de la population totale, contre 6,5% en 1975.”— SONDAGE BFMTV. "Submersion migratoire": près de 7 Français sur 10 partagent ce sentiment
“Because clearly – the vast majority of people who entered this country did so to plug gaps in our workforce. Skills shortages across the country… Which have left our economy hopelessly reliant on immigration…”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“Sectors of our economy, like engineering… Where apprenticeships have almost halved in the last decade, while visas have doubled.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“I really do believe immigration can work. I believe the liberal clichés that migrants can enrich a society, working hard and injecting dynamism and diversity into the body politic. But clearly immigration is not working in Britain today.”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“We have had two lengthy ecclesial documents on the subject: the 1990 note of the Ecclesial Commission “Justice and Peace,” titled, People of Different Cultures: From Conflict to Solidarity; and the 1993 Pastoral Guidelines of the Episcopal Commission for Migration, titled, I Was a Stranger and You Welcomed Me. Both documents—very extensive and analytical—are above all (and rightly) aimed at building and spreading a “culture of welcome” in Christianity. The studies, though, lack a bit of realism”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“Nor can we sensibly expect the emergency to end quickly: it is unlikely that everything will be resolved almost autonomously, without deliberate intervention, and that tensions are on the verge of dissipating like a summer storm—which is usually short-lived and of no lasting concern.”— Cardinal Giacomo Biffi: On Immigration
“According to France's national statistics agency INSEE, there were some 5.6 million foreigners living in France in 2023, representing 8.2% of the overall population, compared with 6.5% in 1975.”— French PM Bayrou sparks outrage with immigration 'submersion' remark
“Because clearly – the vast majority of people who entered this country did so to plug gaps in our workforce. Skills shortages across the country… Which have left our economy hopelessly reliant on immigration… 2.8 million people out of work on long-term sickness – a problem ignored, left to fester.”— PM speech on migration: 28 November 2024
“I really do believe immigration can work. I believe the liberal clichés that migrants can enrich a society, working hard and injecting dynamism and diversity into the body politic... Instead of mumbling pieties about how foreign students are propping up our university system, or how the NHS runs on immigrant labour”— Liberals have lost the argument on migration
“even if every single Londoner who is currently not working was trained up to do these jobs we would still have a massive number of vacancies, a record number of vacancies in the health sector, in social care sector and hospitality and tech and so forth”— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
“He used the example of an aging workforce in the construction industry and the loss of EU-born workers as proof of the need for “sensible migration””— Sadiq Khan: London needs more migrants
““the default view on the left is we need lots of migrants, I said, playing devil’s advocate, “to do the jobs we won’t do and to pay for our welfare and pensions.” “No, no, no, this is all cobblers!” “Of the last 3 million who came in from outside Europe under a Conservative government, only 20 percent are working.” “ONS (Office of National Statistics) stats.”— Nigel Farage on the Rise - Chronicles
“To say that Los Angeles schools are in a crisis is to understate the case. More than 50 percent of the students are doing failing work at their grade level. ... the school district has been following a practice of “social promotion” for more than 20 years.”— The Reconquista of California - Chronicles
“In fact, people are the great resource, and so long as we keep our economy free, more people means more growth, the more the merrier.”— Wall St. Journal 1984: “There Shall Be Open Borders”
“Most examinations of poverty in the United States have typically focused either on how broad economic trends and social welfare policy affect the size of the population living in poverty or the socio-demographic characteristics of those in poverty. Almost no research has examined immigration's impact on the incidence of poverty in the United States.”— Importing Poverty
“Throughout this nation’s history, immigrant assimilation has always meant something more than the sum of the sorts of economic and social measures outlined above. It also has a psychological dimension. Over the course of several generations, the immigrant family typically loosens its sense of identity from the old country and binds it to the new.”— Between Two Worlds: How Young Latinos Come of Age in America
“non-Germans, i.e., foreigners, are overrepresented.”— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
““If you look at the locations where the police have had to deal with knife crimes in Berlin, they are spread over almost the entire urban area. There is no one hotspot,””— Berlin Police Chief: ‘Most’ Violence Committed by Young Migrant Men
“There are three underlying – often implicit – arguments that play a role in this: ‘one should not calculate the value of a human life’, ‘one should not blame the victim’ and ‘one should not play into the hands of the extreme right’. None of these three arguments makes sense upon closer consideration.”— Borderless Welfare State 2
“Reading the celebrated economic theorists of the past and present one would think that marginal utility, cost-push inflation, multiplier effects, monopsonistic competition, Phillips curves and all the other economic simulacra could be applied to all humans indiscriminately.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Accompanying it is the built-in assumption that identical training produces an identically qualified workman whether he be a Japanese, Bushman, Eskimo, Wasp or Patagonian.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“No racial variables being permitted in economic equations, it is taken for granted that the world would eventually have entered a capitalistic age even if Northern Europeans and their descendants in America had never existed.”— Instauration 1975 12 December
“Under the old system, admission largely depended upon an immigrant's country of birth. Seventy percent of all immigrant slots were allotted to natives of just three countries — United Kingdom, Ireland and Germany — and went mostly unused, while there were long waiting lists for the small number of visas available to those born in Italy, Greece, Poland, Portugal, and elsewhere in eastern and southern Europe.”— The Legacy of the 1965 Immigration Act
“exposes the mendacity of those who lobbied for the 1965 changes that have led to today's crisis.”— A Flawed Jewel
“the claim that Irish and Italians were more similar to 19th century American natives than today's immigrants are to us is unhistorical and anachronistic.”— A Flawed Jewel
“In Deutschland haben wir seit den 1970er-Jahren einen sehr starken Rückgang der Geburtenraten. Zugleich steigt die Lebenserwartung. Ohne Zuwanderung würde das Erwerbspersonenpotenzial bis zum Jahr 2060 um 40 Prozent zurückgehen.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“Wenn wir eine Nettozuwanderung zwischen 200.000 und 400.000 Personen pro Jahr haben, und damit ist zu rechnen, dürfte dieser Anteil bis zum Jahr 2030 auf 30 bis 40 Prozent steigen.”— Jeder Dritte wird Migrationshintergrund haben
“"Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"”— "Was die Flüchtlinge uns bringen, ist wertvoller als Gold"
“But Dieter Salomon, the mayor of Freiburg warned people not to "apply perpetrator background for sweeping judgements, but to view it as an isolated incident".”— Daughter of top EU official raped and murdered by Afghan migrant
“An extensive body of research has consistently found that immigration is a huge cost to the UK Treasury - £13bn in 2014. Non-EU immigration, which is presently the fastest rising tranche of immigration, has the biggest fiscal costs.”— What is the problem?
“Migration, direct and indirect (including the children born to migrants) added around seven million people to the UK population between the 2001 and 2021 censuses - over four-fifths of total growth.”— What is the problem?
“France has become a country where “a teacher gets beheaded in front of a middle school and three persons are assassinated while praying in a church.” According to de Villiers, it will take “three, four, or five generations” to solve France’s problems with its migrant population”— Top officials warn of potential civil war in France linked to mass immigration
“A disintegration which, along with Islamism and the suburban hordes, is leading to the detachment of many parts of the nation and transforming them into territories subject to dogmas that are contrary to our constitution.”— Over 20 generals and hundreds of officers warn of potential civil war in France
“the deadly cocktail of a society of individuals based on openness and democracy and the arrival of entire diasporas with totally different cultural backgrounds.”— French riots show that decades of mass 'colonizing immigration' could lead to 'collapse,' says former head of French counter-intelligence agency
“There is a virtual ban on ethnoic and religious statistics — notionally reflecting the official Republican ideology of absolute “colorblindness” since the French Revolution — meaning one is often left to speculate on the performance and status of different communities”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“first generation Maghrebi immigrant women in France have almost twice as many children as the national average. Strikingly, these rates are also significantly higher than the fertility rates in the home countries”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“the children of Afro-Muslim immigrants are two to three times more likely to not have a basic high school diploma than the children of native-born”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Second generation Afro-Muslims are then three times more likely to be unemployed than children of native-born”— Race in France: A Sketch based on First- and Second-Generation Immigrants
“Violent crime rose by about 10 percent in 2015 and 2016, a study showed. It attributed more than 90 percent of that to young male refugees.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“"The situation is completely different for those who find out as soon as they arrive that they are totally undesirable here. No chance of working, of staying here," Pfeiffer said.”— Violent crime rises in Germany and is attributed to refugees
“the native-born accounted for the vast majority of growth in the working-age population (age 16 to 65) in Texas. Thus, they should have received the lion’s share of the increase in employment.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“Immigrants took jobs across the educational distribution. More than one out three (97,000) of newly arrived immigrants who took a job had at least some college.”— Who Benefited from Job Growth In Texas?
“The key mistake that economists make is they treat immigration as fundamentally an economic issue... Immigrants simply are not interchangeable “economic agents”. Their cultural distance from the receiving society—and the norms and rules its institutions are based on—matters.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“part of the problem is Samuelsonian “social physics” Economics with humans as interchangeable “economic particles”.”— Individualism and cooperation: III
“Not enough police officer were on the ground at Cologne main train station and at the plaza in front of Cologne Cathedral where the attacks took place. Police also failed to request adequate backup when the situation escalated.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“Because many perpetrators were allegedly of North African or Middle Eastern descent, anti-immigration activists used the Cologne attacks to justify anti-refugee policy proposals.”— Police could have prevented Cologne NYE attacks
“immigration had a positive and significant effect between +1.7 to +2.6% on wages of less educated native workers over the period 2000-2019”— Immigrations Effect on US Wages and Employment Redux
“Studies have found that the net fiscal impact of European immigrants overall is more likely to be positive, while that of non-European migrants overall is more likely to be negative.”— The Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the UK
“First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S.”— The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration
“The chart shows that on four questions having to do with crime, the economy, and immigration, voters preferring Kamala Harris answered far more accurately than voters preferring Donald Trump.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“Oftentimes, when we’re faced with these sorts of questions, we use heuristics to answer.”— Are Trump Voters Misinformed, Or Were Harris Voters Just Not Given A Chance To Be Misinformed?
“es contrario a la evidencia negar su mayor propensión estadística al delito.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“la propensión al homicidio es mucho mayor entre los extranjeros.”— Demografía de la delincuencia en España INFORME 21 | CEU-CEFAS
“But this rests on the assumption that the adjustments occur within the places being measured. If wages in a given city do not fall, the reasoning goes, then the labor market has absorbed the shock and no meaningful harm has occurred.”— Moving Targets
“The famous Mariel Boatlift—the influx of Cuban refugees to Miami in the 1980s—is an oft-cited case study by pro-immigration advocates as evidence that immigration doesn’t hurt native wages. But in reality, it is yet another example where native outflows hid the wage impact”— Moving Targets
“the integration of non-Western migrants into advanced European welfare states was only a matter of time, sufficient state expenditure, and appropriate social programming.”— State-Financed Rape
“This data entirely shatters the conventional progressive argument that immigration, irrespective of origin, is an inherent net positive for the economy and society.”— State-Financed Rape
“Diversity, equity, and inclusion never aimed at demographic proportionality. Leadership announced a preference: more non-white members, fewer white members.”— The West’s forbidden truth: Ethnic cleansing is now official policy
““residents are more tolerant towards cultural minorities in high trusting societies, liberal democracies, prosperous nations and in non-postcommunist societies” (Reeskens, 2012, p. 17).”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?
“Those who are confident in the government’s capacity to manage potential security risks, are less likely to support restrictive policy preferences despite their security concerns.”— Are high-trust societies more xenophobic?